Congo DR - Equatorial Guinea
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 24, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.59%
Win
Congo DR
31.16%
Draw
20.25%
Win
Equatorial Guinea
1.36
0.62
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.17%)
1X2 Result
1
49%
X
31%
2
20%
Double Chance
1X
80%
X2
51%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
49%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Congo DR a 48% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 20% for Equatorial Guinea. Expected goals are 1.4 for Congo DR and 0.6 for Equatorial Guinea (total 2.0), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.17% probability.
Season Stats
4W
2D
3L
0W
0D
3L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
0.7
0.8
Conceded
2.0
2.4
Shots OT
—
3.6
Corners
—
41%
Poss.
—
Percentages
56%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
67%
44%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 9 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
3W
0D
0L
· at home
0W
0D
1L
· away
1.7
gls/g
1.0
0.3
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
33%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
100%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Congo DR
Equatorial Guinea →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.8% | 8.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
No data available
Playing profile
Congo DR
Attack
27
Defence
74
Form
49
Equatorial Guinea
Attack
15
Defence
72
Form
41
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Congo DR vs Equatorial Guinea?
The model gives Congo DR a 48% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 20% for an Equatorial Guinea win.
How many goals are expected in Congo DR vs Equatorial Guinea?
Expected goals: Congo DR 1.4, Equatorial Guinea 0.6 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Congo DR vs Equatorial Guinea?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.17%.