Y. Wissa
68'
(pen.)
F. Mayele
78'
Y. Wissa
(ast. M. Elia)
90'+1
10'
(ast. A. Mozgovoy)
E. Shomurodov
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Congo DR a 54% win probability (draw 28%, Uzbekistan 17%). The final result was Congo DR 3–1 Uzbekistan.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
1
2.35
Actual xG
0.27
1
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
2
Corners
4
20
Tackles
29
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
10'
ast. A. Mozgovoy ·
E. Shomurodov⚽
17'
N. Sadiki
21'
43'
A. Khusanov
N. Mbuku
45'+5
48'
S. Nasrullaev
C. Bakambu
/ F. Mayele
51'
59'
A. Ganiev
/
D. Khamdamov
59'
O. Khamrobekov
/
O. Shukurov
S. Moutoussamy
62'
⚽Y. Wissa
(pen.)
68'
B. Cipenga
/ T. Bongonda
72'
S. Moutoussamy
/ N. Mukau
72'
N. Mbuku
/ M. Elia
72'
73'
O. Urunov
/
A. Fayzullaev
⚽F. Mayele
78'
82'
I. Sergeev
/
J. Urozov
82'
J. Iskanderov
/
A. Mozgovoy
A. Masuaku
/ J. Kayembe
83'
⚽Y. Wissa
· ast. M. Elia
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
54.14%
Congo ←
28.28%
X
17.59%
Uzbekistan
we assigned to the actual result (Congo DR)
54.14%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.72
2.35
+0.63
0.68
0.27
-0.41
Congo DR dominated by xG (2.35 vs 0.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
L. Mpasi
G
L. Mpasi
G
26
Arthur Masuaku
83'
D
Arthur Masuaku
83'
D
4
A. Tuanzebe
D
A. Tuanzebe
D
22
C. Mbemba
D
C. Mbemba
D
2
A. Wan-Bissaka
D
A. Wan-Bissaka
D
9
B. Cipenga
72'
M
B. Cipenga
72'
M
14
N. Sadiki
M
N. Sadiki
M
8
S. Moutoussamy
72'
M
S. Moutoussamy
72'
M
7
Nathanaël Mbuku
72'
M
Nathanaël Mbuku
72'
M
20
Y. Wissa
2 ⚽
F
Y. Wissa
2 ⚽
F
17
C. Bakambu
51'
F
C. Bakambu
51'
F
Bench
15
A. Tshibola
M
A. Tshibola
M
18
C. Pickel
M
C. Pickel
M
5
Dylan Batubinsika
D
Dylan Batubinsika
D
25
E. Kayembe
M
E. Kayembe
M
19
F. Mayele
1 ⚽
48'
F
F. Mayele
1 ⚽
48'
F
11
Gaël Kakuta
M
Gaël Kakuta
M
24
G. Kalulu
D
12
J. Kayembe
16'
D
J. Kayembe
16'
D
21
Matthieu Epolo
G
Matthieu Epolo
G
13
M. Elia
1 👟
27'
F
M. Elia
1 👟
27'
F
6
N. Mukau
27'
M
N. Mukau
27'
M
23
S. Banza
F
S. Banza
F
3
S. Kapuadi
D
S. Kapuadi
D
10
T. Bongonda
27'
M
T. Bongonda
27'
M
16
Timothy Fayulu
G
Timothy Fayulu
G
12
Abduvokhid Nematov
G
Abduvokhid Nematov
G
26
J. Urozov
82'
D
J. Urozov
82'
D
2
A. Khusanov
D
A. Khusanov
D
5
R. Ashurmatov
D
R. Ashurmatov
D
13
S. Nasrullayev
M
S. Nasrullayev
M
7
O. Shukurov
59'
M
O. Shukurov
59'
M
6
A. Mozgovoy
1 👟
82'
M
A. Mozgovoy
1 👟
82'
M
3
K. Alijonov
M
K. Alijonov
M
22
Abbosbek Fayzullaev
73'
F
Abbosbek Fayzullaev
73'
F
17
D. Khamdamov
59'
F
D. Khamdamov
59'
F
14
Eldor Shomurodov
1 ⚽
F
Eldor Shomurodov
1 ⚽
F
Bench
18
Abdulla Abdullaev
M
Abdulla Abdullaev
M
25
Avazbek Ulmasaliyev
D
Avazbek Ulmasaliyev
D
20
Azizbek Amanov
F
Azizbek Amanov
F
19
Azizjon Ganiev
40'
M
Azizjon Ganiev
40'
M
24
Bekhruz Karimov
D
Bekhruz Karimov
D
16
B. Ergashev
G
B. Ergashev
G
4
F. Sayfiyev
D
F. Sayfiyev
D
21
Igor Sergeev
17'
F
Igor Sergeev
17'
F
8
J. Iskanderov
17'
M
J. Iskanderov
17'
M
9
O. Hamrobekov
40'
M
O. Hamrobekov
40'
M
11
O. O'runov
26'
M
O. O'runov
26'
M
10
Ruslanbek Jiyanov
M
23
Sherzod Esanov
M
Sherzod Esanov
M
15
Umarbek Eshmuradov
D
Umarbek Eshmuradov
D
1
Utkir Yusupov
G
Utkir Yusupov
G
Best on the pitch
Y. Wissa
F · Congo
8.00
2 ⚽
6 shots
· 19 pass
N. Sadiki
M · Congo
7.70
· 56 pass
Arthur Masuaku
D · Congo
7.00
· 69 pass
A. Tuanzebe
D · Congo
7.00
· 55 pass
C. Mbemba
D · Congo
7.00
1 shots
· 53 pass
S. Moutoussamy
M · Congo
7.00
· 54 pass
Congo DR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mpasi | G | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Masuaku | D | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 69 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Tuanzebe | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Mbemba | D | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Wan-Bissaka | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | — | — | — |
| B. Cipenga | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Sadiki | M | 99 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 56 | 53% | 4 | 1 | — |
| S. Moutoussamy | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 44% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Nathanaël Mbuku | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Y. Wissa | F | 99 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 6 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| C. Bakambu | F | 51 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Mayele | F | 48 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 5 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Kayembe | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Elia | F | 27 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Mukau | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| T. Bongonda | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Uzbekistan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abduvokhid Nematov | G | 99 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Urozov | D | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Khusanov | D | 99 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Ashurmatov | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| S. Nasrullayev | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Shukurov | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| A. Mozgovoy | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Alijonov | M | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | 6 | — | — |
| Abbosbek Fayzullaev | F | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Khamdamov | F | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Eldor Shomurodov | F | 99 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Azizjon Ganiev | M | 40 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 5 | — | — |
| Igor Sergeev | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Iskanderov | M | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| O. Hamrobekov | M | 40 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| O. O'runov | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?
The final score was Congo DR 3–1 Uzbekistan.
What did the model predict before Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Congo DR win, 28% to a draw, and 17% to an Uzbekistan win.