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← Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.

Congo - Comoros

Africa Cup of Nations - Qual. November 15, 2026 18:00
Congo
#4 · 1 pts
vs
Comoros
#2 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.9%
Win
Congo
33.04%
Draw
32.07%
Win
Comoros
0.97
Expected xG
0.76

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.66%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 33%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 65%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Congo a 34% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Comoros. Expected goals are 1.0 for Congo and 0.8 for Comoros (total 1.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.66% probability.

Season Stats

Congo
0W 1D 1L
Comoros
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.5
4.5
Shots OT
3.5
6.0
Corners
5.5
43%
Poss.
43%
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Congo Comoros →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.7% 13.5% 5.2% 1.3% 0.3% —
1 17.1% 13.1% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% —
2 8.3% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% —
3 2.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% — —
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% — — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Congo Congo
D Cameroon 1–1
L Namibia 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Comoros Comoros
W Namibia 1–0
L Cameroon 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Congo Congo
Attack
31
Defence
72
Form
41
Comoros Comoros
Attack
18
Defence
72
Form
35
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Group G

# Team G Pts
1 Cameroon Cameroon 2 4
2 Comoros Comoros 2 3
3 Namibia Namibia 2 3
4 Congo Congo 2 1

What's at stake · Group G

Top 2 advance to the next round

Congo Comoros
Current #4 #2
→ Congo #2 #4
→ Draw #4 #2
→ Comoros #4 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Congo vs Comoros?
The model gives Congo a 34% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 32% for an Comoros win.
How many goals are expected in Congo vs Comoros?
Expected goals: Congo 1.0, Comoros 0.8 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Congo vs Comoros?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.66%.