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Coquimbo Unido - A. Italiano

Primera División May 16, 2026 02:00
Coquimbo Unido
#8 · 16 pts
vs
A. Italiano
#13 · 11 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
52.51%
Win
Coquimbo Unido
23.86%
Draw
23.63%
Win
A. Italiano
2.17
Expected xG
1.14

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Coquimbo Unido a 52% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 23% for A. Italiano. Expected goals are 2.2 for Coquimbo Unido and 1.1 for A. Italiano (total 3.3), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.8% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Coquimbo Unido A. Italiano →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.9% 9.0% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.8% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.2% 7.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.4% 3.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% —
Recent form
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
L Colo Colo 3–1
W Union La Calera 1–2
D Nublense 1–1
W Cobresal 3–2
L Universidad de Chile 0–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 12%
A. Italiano A. Italiano
D Deportes Limache 2–2
L Huachipato 3–2
L U. Catolica 3–4
L O'Higgins 2–1
W Concepción 3–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 19%
Playing profile
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
Attack
39
Defence
54
Form
46
A. Italiano A. Italiano
Attack
33
Defence
53
Form
36
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Colo Colo Colo Colo 11 24
2 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 11 21
3 Huachipato Huachipato 11 19
4 O'Higgins O'Higgins 11 19
5 U. Catolica U. Catolica 11 17
6 Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 11 17
7 Nublense Nublense 11 17
8 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 11 16
9 Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 11 15
10 D. La Serena D. La Serena 11 14
11 Palestino Palestino 11 14
12 Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 11 14
13 A. Italiano A. Italiano 11 11
14 Cobresal Cobresal 11 10
15 Union La Calera Union La Calera 11 10
16 Concepción Concepción 11 8
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Coquimbo Unido vs A. Italiano?
The model gives Coquimbo Unido a 52% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 23% for an A. Italiano win.
How many goals are expected in Coquimbo Unido vs A. Italiano?
Expected goals: Coquimbo Unido 2.2, A. Italiano 1.1 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Coquimbo Unido vs A. Italiano?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.8%.