Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 17
May 24, 2026 23:30
Z. Labyad
(ast. Matheuzinho)
88'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Corinthians 33%). The final result was Corinthians 1–0 Atletico-MG.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
0.56
Actual xG
1.63
2
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
3
Corners
0
11
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
37'
Cuello
J. Lingard
/ Kaio Cesar
46'
55'
Ruan Tressoldi
Andre
/ M. Depay
61'
Raniele
/ Allan
61'
Yuri Alberto
62'
67'
A. Minda
/
Victor Hugo
R. Garro
/ Z. Labyad
77'
79'
M. Cisse
/
Bernard
Breno Bidon
/ A. Carrillo
81'
⚽Z. Labyad
· ast. Matheuzinho
88'
90'+1
Caua
/
A. Franco
Pre-match prediction
33.77%
Corinthians ←
26.78%
X
39.45%
Atletico-MG
we assigned to the actual result (Corinthians)
33.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
0.56
-0.35
1.36
1.63
+0.27
Atletico-MG dominated by xG (1.63 vs 0.56).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Hugo Souza
G
Hugo Souza
G
21
Matheus Bidu
D
Matheus Bidu
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
2
Matheuzinho
1 👟
D
Matheuzinho
1 👟
D
14
Raniele
61'
M
Raniele
61'
M
49
André Luiz
61'
M
André Luiz
61'
M
77
J. Lingard
45'
M
J. Lingard
45'
M
8
Rodrigo Garro
77'
M
Rodrigo Garro
77'
M
7
Breno Bidon
81'
M
Breno Bidon
81'
M
9
Yuri Alberto
F
Yuri Alberto
F
Bench
29
Allan
35'
M
Allan
35'
M
19
André Carrillo
15'
M
André Carrillo
15'
M
5
André Ramalho
D
André Ramalho
D
61
Dieguinho
M
Dieguinho
M
26
Fabrizio Angileri
D
Fabrizio Angileri
D
37
Kaio César
51'
F
Kaio César
51'
F
51
Kauê
G
Kauê
G
23
Matheus Pereira
M
Matheus Pereira
M
10
M. Depay
35'
F
M. Depay
35'
F
20
Pedro Milans
D
Pedro Milans
D
18
Pedro Raul
F
Pedro Raul
F
52
Zakaria Labyad
1 ⚽
19'
F
Zakaria Labyad
1 ⚽
19'
F
22
Everson
G
Everson
G
16
Renan Lodi
D
Renan Lodi
D
6
J. Alonso
D
J. Alonso
D
4
Ruan
D
Ruan
D
2
Natanael
D
Natanael
D
8
Maycon
M
Maycon
M
11
Bernard
79'
M
Bernard
79'
M
21
A. Franco
M
A. Franco
M
30
Victor Hugo
67'
M
Victor Hugo
67'
M
28
Tomás Cuello
M
Tomás Cuello
M
9
Mateo Cassierra
F
Mateo Cassierra
F
Bench
27
Alan Minda
29'
F
Alan Minda
29'
F
5
Alexsander
M
Alexsander
M
23
Ángelo Preciado
D
Ángelo Preciado
D
29
Cauã Campos Soares
5'
F
92
Dudu
F
Dudu
F
1
Gabriel Delfim
G
Gabriel Delfim
G
36
Kauã Pascini
D
Kauã Pascini
D
13
Lyanco
D
Lyanco
D
39
Mamady Cissé
17'
M
Mamady Cissé
17'
M
19
Reinier
M
Reinier
M
25
Tomás Pérez
M
Tomás Pérez
M
14
Vitor Hugo
D
Vitor Hugo
D
Best on the pitch
Hugo Souza
G · Corinthians
8.00
· 19 pass
Zakaria Labyad
F · Corinthians
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Matheus Bidu
D · Corinthians
7.30
· 57 pass
Matheuzinho
D · Corinthians
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 50 pass
Renan Lodi
D · Atletico-MG
7.30
1 shots
· 40 pass
Gabriel Paulista
D · Corinthians
7.20
· 48 pass
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Souza | G | 96 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 50 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| André Luiz | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lingard | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Garro | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Allan | M | 35 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 35% | — | — | — |
| André Carrillo | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Kaio César | F | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Depay | F | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Labyad | F | 19 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Atletico-MG — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everson | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Renan Lodi | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Alonso | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 63 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Ruan | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | — | 1 | — |
| Natanael | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Maycon | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Bernard | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Franco | M | 91 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Hugo | M | 67 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Cuello | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mateo Cassierra | F | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Alan Minda | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Cauã Campos Soares | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamady Cissé | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Atletico-MG?
The final score was Corinthians 1–0 Atletico-MG.
What did the model predict before Corinthians vs Atletico-MG?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Corinthians win, 26% to a draw, and 39% to an Atletico-MG win.