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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 23 August 17, 2026 00:30
Corinthians
#18 · 33 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Cruzeiro
#3 · 57 pts
Gustavo Henrique 58'
36' Bruno Rodrigues
82' (ast. L. Rodriguez) Wanderson
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Corinthians a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Cruzeiro 31%). The final result was Corinthians 1–2 Cruzeiro. In 3 previous meetings, Corinthians have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Cruzeiro.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
6
1.33
Actual xG
1.28
4
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
3
Corners
8
23
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
36'
Bruno Rodrigues⚽
↕ Breno Bidon / J. Lingard
46'
52'
Felipe Morais
↕ Gabriel Paulista / Joao Pedro
54'
58'
Gerson / Ze Lucas ↕
58'
Matheus Pereira / Kaio Jorge ↕
58'
K. Arroyo / Felipe Morais ↕
⚽Gustavo Henrique
58'
67'
Jonathan Jesus
↕ Pedro Raul / Gui Negao
70'
70'
L. Rodriguez / Bruno Rodrigues ↕
↕ Kaio Cesar / Dieguinho
71'
79'
Wanderson / J. Costa ↕
↕ A. Carrillo / M. Pereira
80'
82'
ast. L. Rodriguez · Wanderson⚽
R. Garro
90'+1
90'
L. Villalba
90'
L. Rodriguez
Pre-match prediction
40.78%
Corinthians
27.51%
X
31.71%
Cruzeiro ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro) 31.71% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Corinthians
1.20
1.33
+0.13
Cruzeiro
1.05
1.28
+0.23
xG dominance was balanced (1.33 – 1.28). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Corinthians Corinthians 4-2-3-1
1 Hugo Souza Hugo Souza G 6.90
21 Matheus Bidu Matheus Bidu D 6.30
13 Gustavo Henrique Gustavo Henrique 1 ⚽ D 7.90
3 Gabriel Paulista Gabriel Paulista 54' D 6.70
2 Matheuzinho Matheuzinho D 6.90
29 Allan Allan M 6.90
19 A. Carrillo A. Carrillo 80' M 7.30
7 Breno Breno 45' M 6.90
8 R. Garro R. Garro M 7.00
37 Kaio César Kaio César 71' M 7.20
18 Pedro Raul Pedro Raul 70' F 6.50
Bench
80 Alex Santana Alex Santana M
35 Charles Charles M
61 Dieguinho Dieguinho 25' M 6.70
26 F. Angileri F. Angileri D
56 Guilherme Inácio Guilherme Inácio 26' F 6.90
55 I. Machado I. Machado D
77 J. Lingard J. Lingard 51' M 6.20
4 João Pedro João Pedro 42' D 7.50
51 Kauê Camargo Kauê Camargo G
23 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira 16' M 6.70
20 P. Milans P. Milans D
14 Raniele Raniele M
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4-4-2
81 Otávio Costa Otávio Costa G 6.50
25 Lucas Villalba Lucas Villalba D 6.30
34 Jonathan Jesus Jonathan Jesus D 6.90
43 João Marcelo João Marcelo D 7.30
23 Fagner Fagner D 6.90
38 Felipe Morais Felipe Morais 58' M 6.30
29 Lucas Romero Lucas Romero M 7.00
5 Zé Lucas Zé Lucas 58' M 6.60
67 João Gabriel e Costa Cesco João Gabriel e Costa Cesco 79' M 6.20
19 Kaio Jorge Kaio Jorge 58' F 6.70
9 Bruno Rodrigues Bruno Rodrigues 1 ⚽ 70' F 6.90
Bench
15 Fabrício Bruno Fabrício Bruno D
27 Gabriel Rojas Gabriel Rojas D
8 Gerson Gerson 38' M 6.60
2 Kauã Moraes Kauã Moraes D
99 Keny Arroyo Keny Arroyo 38' F 6.60
16 Lucas Silva Lucas Silva M
97 Luciano Rodríguez Luciano Rodríguez 1 👟 26' F 6.30
11 Marquinhos Marquinhos F
10 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira 38' M 6.20
51 Vitor Lamounier Rego Vitor Lamounier Rego G
94 Wanderson Wanderson 1 ⚽ 17' F 7.70
12 William Furtado William Furtado D
Best on the pitch
Gustavo Henrique
Gustavo Henrique
D · Corinthians
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 58 pass
Wanderson
Wanderson
F · Cruzeiro
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
João Pedro
João Pedro
D · Corinthians
7.50
1 shots · 18 pass
A. Carrillo
A. Carrillo
M · Corinthians
7.30
1 shots · 38 pass
João Marcelo
João Marcelo
D · Cruzeiro
7.30
· 54 pass
Kaio César
Kaio César
M · Corinthians
7.20
1 shots · 17 pass
Corinthians Corinthians — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Hugo Souza G 96 6.90 — — — 30 21% — — —
Matheus Bidu D 96 6.30 — — 1 46 37% 2 — —
Gustavo Henrique D 96 7.90 1 — 1 58 54% 2 — —
Gabriel Paulista D 54 6.70 — — — 48 44% — — —
Matheuzinho D 96 6.90 — — — 37 33% 3 — —
Allan M 96 6.90 — — 1 56 50% 3 — —
A. Carrillo M 80 7.30 — — 1 38 36% 3 — —
Breno M 45 6.90 — — — 26 25% 1 — —
R. Garro M 96 7.00 — — 3 35 28% 2 1 —
Kaio César M 71 7.20 — — 1 17 11% 1 — —
Pedro Raul F 70 6.50 — — 1 7 4% 1 — —
Dieguinho M 25 6.70 — — — 14 12% — — —
Guilherme Inácio F 26 6.90 — — 1 3 2% 2 — —
J. Lingard M 51 6.20 — — — 13 11% — — —
João Pedro D 42 7.50 — — 1 18 16% 3 — —
Matheus Pereira M 16 6.70 — — — 11 9% — — —
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Otávio Costa G 96 6.50 — — — 26 13% — — —
Lucas Villalba D 96 6.30 — — — 36 29% 1 1 —
Jonathan Jesus D 96 6.90 — — — 54 50% 2 1 —
João Marcelo D 96 7.30 — — — 54 49% 1 — —
Fagner D 96 6.90 — — 1 31 25% 3 — —
Felipe Morais M 58 6.30 — — — 5 4% 1 1 —
Lucas Romero M 96 7.00 — — — 67 59% 1 — —
Zé Lucas M 58 6.60 — — — 16 13% — — —
João Gabriel e Costa Cesco M 79 6.20 — — 2 17 14% 1 — —
Kaio Jorge F 58 6.70 — — — 15 10% — — —
Bruno Rodrigues F 70 6.90 1 — 3 16 8% 1 — —
Gerson M 38 6.60 — — 1 28 26% — — —
Keny Arroyo F 38 6.60 — — — 11 10% — — —
Luciano Rodríguez F 26 6.30 — 1 1 3 2% — 1 —
Matheus Pereira M 38 6.20 — — — 25 20% — — —
Wanderson F 17 7.70 1 — 1 6 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Cruzeiro?
The final score was Corinthians 1–2 Cruzeiro.
What did the model predict before Corinthians vs Cruzeiro?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Corinthians win, 27% to a draw, and 31% to an Cruzeiro win.