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Corinthians - Estudiantes L.P.

Copa Libertadores September 17, 2026 02:30
#1 · 11 pts
vs
#2 · 9 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.77%
Win
Corinthians
29.96%
Draw
40.27%
Win
Estudiantes L.P.
0.83
Expected xG
1.15

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (15.04%)
1X2 Result
1 30%
X 30%
2 40%
Double Chance
1X 60%
X2 70%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 63%
Over 2.5 36%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Estudiantes L.P. a 40% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Corinthians. Expected goals are 0.8 for Corinthians and 1.2 for Estudiantes L.P. (total 2.0), with a 62% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 15.04% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Corinthians have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Estudiantes L.P..

Season Stats

Corinthians
4W 4D 1L
Estudiantes L.P.
3W 5D 1L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.2
0.6
Conceded
0.8
4.1
Shots OT
5.3
3.8
Corners
5.2
59%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
78%
O 1.5
78%
0%
O 2.5
22%
33%
BTTS
67%
56%
Clean Sht
22%
Based on the last 9 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Corinthians
3W 0D 1L · at home
Estudiantes L.P.
1W 2D 1L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.2
0.5
Conceded
0.8
75%
Win %
25%
75%
Win or Draw
75%
75%
O 1.5
75%
0%
O 2.5
25%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
75%
Clean Sht
25%
25%
Failed to Score
25%
last 4
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Corinthians Estudiantes L.P. →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.8% 15.9% 9.2% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.4% 13.2% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.7% 5.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1%

Recent form

D Estudiantes L.P. 1–1
W Rosario Central 1–0
D Rosario Central 0–0
L Platense 0–2
D Penarol 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
D Corinthians 1–1
W U. Catolica 0–3
D U. Catolica 1–1
W Independiente Medellin 1–0
L Flamengo 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Corinthians Corinthians
Attack
28
Defence
71
Form
48
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
Attack
48
Defence
77
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Corinthians
1
Draw
0
Estudiantes L.P.
10 Sep 2026 Copa Libertadores 1–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.?
The model gives Corinthians a 29% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 40% for an Estudiantes L.P. win.
How many goals are expected in Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Expected goals: Corinthians 0.8, Estudiantes L.P. 1.2 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 62%.
What is the most likely score in Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.04%.