Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 11
April 12, 2026 23:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 35% win probability (draw 33%, Corinthians 31%). The final result was Corinthians 0–0 Palmeiras. In 2 previous meetings, Corinthians have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Palmeiras.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
4
0.55
Actual xG
0.67
5
Saves
4
32%
Possession
68%
2
Corners
7
15
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
34'
André Luiz
35'
Matheuzinho
44'
70'
Matheuzinho
71'
71'
Arthur Gabriel
/
Khellven
71'
Luighi
/
A. Giay
72'
Felipe Anderson
/
Mauricio
R. Garro
/ A. Carrillo
73'
76'
Marlon Freitas
Kayke
/ J. Lingard
83'
83'
Lucas Evangelista
/
Marlon Freitas
Raniele
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
31.52%
Corinthians
33.17%
X ←
35.31%
Palmeiras
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
33.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.71
0.55
-0.16
1.02
0.67
-0.35
xG dominance was balanced (0.55 – 0.67).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
21
Matheus Bidu
D
Matheus Bidu
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
2
Matheuzinho
71'
D
Matheuzinho
71'
D
31
Kayke
83'
M
14
Raniele
M
Raniele
M
49
André Luiz
35'
M
André Luiz
35'
M
7
Breno Bidon
M
Breno Bidon
M
8
Rodrigo Garro
73'
F
Rodrigo Garro
73'
F
9
Yuri Alberto
F
Yuri Alberto
F
Bench
29
Allan
M
Allan
M
61
Dieguinho
M
Dieguinho
M
77
J. Lingard
14'
M
J. Lingard
14'
M
51
Kauê
G
Kauê
G
23
Matheus Pereira
M
Matheus Pereira
M
11
Vitinho
F
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
12
Khellven
71'
D
Khellven
71'
D
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
15
Gustavo Gómez
D
Gustavo Gómez
D
4
Agustín Giay
71'
D
Agustín Giay
71'
D
17
Marlon Freitas
83'
M
Marlon Freitas
83'
M
8
Andreas Pereira
M
Andreas Pereira
M
19
Ramón Sosa
M
Ramón Sosa
M
18
Mauricio
72'
M
Mauricio
72'
M
40
Allan
M
Allan
M
42
José Manuel López
F
José Manuel López
F
Bench
56
Arthur Gabriel
19'
D
Arthur Gabriel
19'
D
45
Erick Belé
M
7
Felipe Anderson
19'
M
Felipe Anderson
19'
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
14'
M
Lucas Evangelista
14'
M
31
Luighi Hanri
18'
F
Luighi Hanri
18'
F
50
Luis Pacheco
M
Luis Pacheco
M
Best on the pitch
Khellven
D · Palmeiras
7.90
· 26 pass
Carlos Miguel
G · Palmeiras
7.90
· 14 pass
Gustavo Henrique
D · Corinthians
7.70
· 21 pass
Murilo
D · Palmeiras
7.70
· 55 pass
Andreas Pereira
M · Palmeiras
7.50
1 shots
· 79 pass
Marlon Freitas
M · Palmeiras
7.50
· 74 pass
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Kayke | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 4 | 1 | — |
| André Luiz | M | 35 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Breno Bidon | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Garro | F | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Lingard | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Khellven | D | 71 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Gómez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustín Giay | D | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 83 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 74 | 68% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| Ramón Sosa | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| José Manuel López | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur Gabriel | D | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luighi Hanri | F | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Palmeiras?
The final score was Corinthians 0–0 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before Corinthians vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Corinthians win, 33% to a draw, and 35% to an Palmeiras win.