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Corinthians - Rosario Central

Copa Libertadores August 18, 2026 22:00
Corinthians
#1 · 11 pts
vs
Rosario Central
#2 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
53.11%
Win
Corinthians
22.96%
Draw
23.93%
Win
Rosario Central
2.34
Expected xG
1.09

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.95%)
1X2 Result ✓ 70.6% hit rate (17 picks)
1 53%
X 23%
2 24%
Double Chance
1X 76%
X2 47%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 62%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Corinthians a 53% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Rosario Central. Expected goals are 2.3 for Corinthians and 1.1 for Rosario Central (total 3.4), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.95% probability.

Season Stats

Corinthians
3W 2D 1L
Rosario Central
4W 1D 1L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.5
0.7
Conceded
0.2
5.2
Shots OT
6.2
5.0
Corners
5.2
65%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
33%
0%
O 2.5
33%
33%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
83%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Corinthians
2W 0D 1L · at home
Rosario Central
2W 0D 1L · away
1.3
gls/g
1.3
0.7
Conceded
0.3
67%
Win %
67%
67%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
33%
0%
O 2.5
33%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
67%
33%
Failed to Score
33%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Corinthians Rosario Central →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% —
1 7.6% 8.3% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.7% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.9% 7.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.0% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Corinthians Corinthians
L Platense 0–2
D Penarol 1–1
D Santa Fe 1–1
W Penarol 2–0
W Santa Fe 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 51%
Rosario Central Rosario Central
L Independiente del Valle 1–0
W UCV 4–0
W Libertad Asuncion 1–0
W UCV 0–3
W Libertad Asuncion 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Corinthians Corinthians
Attack
37
Defence
75
Form
59
Rosario Central Rosario Central
Attack
30
Defence
64
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Corinthians vs Rosario Central?
The model gives Corinthians a 53% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 23% for an Rosario Central win.
How many goals are expected in Corinthians vs Rosario Central?
Expected goals: Corinthians 2.3, Rosario Central 1.1 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Corinthians vs Rosario Central?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.95%.