Copa Libertadores
· Round of 16
August 21, 2026 02:30
Breno Bidon
(ast. M. Depay)
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Corinthians a 46% win probability (draw 28%, Rosario Central 24%). The final result was Corinthians 1–0 Rosario Central. In 1 previous meetings, Corinthians have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Rosario Central.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
0
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
5
Match Events
Raniele
36'
Raniele
58'
Pedro Raul
/ M. Depay
70'
76'
J. Fernandez
/
F. Ibarra
76'
G. Cantizano
/
J. Campaz
⚽Breno Bidon
· ast. M. Depay
80'
83'
M. Ruben
/
A. Sandez
Breno Bidon
/ Joao Pedro
87'
87'
T. Badaloni
/
F. Navarro
Kaio Cesar
/ Charles Rigon
90'
Pre-match prediction
46.5%
Corinthians ←
28.98%
X
24.52%
Rosario
we assigned to the actual result (Corinthians)
46.5%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.55
—
—
0.68
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Rosario Central?
The final score was Corinthians 1–0 Rosario Central.
What did the model predict before Corinthians vs Rosario Central?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Corinthians win, 28% to a draw, and 24% to an Rosario Central win.