Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 16, 2026 02:30
Raniele
(ast. Gustavo Henrique)
51'
Gustavo Henrique
(ast. R. Garro)
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Corinthians a 47% win probability (draw 31%, Santa Fe 21%). The final result was Corinthians 2–0 Santa Fe. In 1 previous meetings, Corinthians have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Santa Fe.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
1
1.24
Actual xG
0.30
1
Saves
7
65%
Possession
35%
8
Corners
5
14
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Raniele
· ast. Gustavo Henrique
51'
Gabriel Paulista
57'
Breno Bidon
/ A. Carrillo
76'
Raniele
/ Allan
76'
77'
E. Mosquera
/
O. Fernandez
79'
F. Fagundez
/
J. Torres
⚽Gustavo Henrique
· ast. R. Garro
80'
Kayke
/ J. Lingard
81'
Yuri Alberto
/ Pedro Raul
86'
R. Garro
/ Z. Labyad
87'
87'
A. Zapata
/
D. Torres
87'
N. Bustos
/
H. Rodallega
Pre-match prediction
47.47%
Corinthians ←
31.0%
X
21.54%
Santa
we assigned to the actual result (Corinthians)
47.47%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.21
1.24
+0.03
0.64
0.30
-0.34
Corinthians dominated by xG (1.24 vs 0.30).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
2
Matheuzinho
D
Matheuzinho
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Gustavo Henrique
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
21
Matheus Bidu
D
Matheus Bidu
D
7
Breno Bidon
76'
M
Breno Bidon
76'
M
49
Andre
M
Andre
M
14
Raniele
1 ⚽
76'
M
Raniele
1 ⚽
76'
M
31
Kayke
81'
M
8
R. Garro
1 👟
87'
F
R. Garro
1 👟
87'
F
9
Yuri Alberto
86'
F
Yuri Alberto
86'
F
Bench
29
Allan
14'
M
Allan
14'
M
5
André Ramalho
D
André Ramalho
D
61
Dieguinho
M
Dieguinho
M
77
J. Lingard
9'
M
J. Lingard
9'
M
51
Kauê Camargo
G
Kauê Camargo
G
23
Matheus Pereira
M
Matheus Pereira
M
20
P. Milans
D
P. Milans
D
11
Vitinho
F
Vitinho
F
1
A. Mosquera
G
A. Mosquera
G
13
H. Palacios
D
H. Palacios
D
18
E. Olivera
D
E. Olivera
D
3
V. Moreno
D
V. Moreno
D
32
C. Mafla
D
C. Mafla
D
7
Jhojan Torres
79'
M
Jhojan Torres
79'
M
16
D. Torres
87'
M
D. Torres
87'
M
6
K. Toscano
M
K. Toscano
M
14
L. Palacios
F
L. Palacios
F
11
H. Rodallega
87'
F
H. Rodallega
87'
F
8
O. Fernández
77'
F
O. Fernández
77'
F
Bench
10
A. Zapata
8'
M
A. Zapata
8'
M
9
F. Fagúndez
11'
F
F. Fagúndez
11'
F
15
I. Scarpeta
D
I. Scarpeta
D
19
N. Bustos
8'
F
N. Bustos
8'
F
Best on the pitch
Gustavo Henrique
D · Corinthians
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 64 pass
R. Garro
F · Corinthians
8.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 61 pass
Raniele
M · Corinthians
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 55 pass
Matheus Bidu
D · Corinthians
7.60
2 shots
· 55 pass
Gabriel Paulista
D · Corinthians
7.30
· 59 pass
Andre
M · Corinthians
7.30
· 43 pass
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Matheuzinho | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 55% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 9.50 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 64 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Andre | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 76 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 55 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Kayke | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Garro | F | 87 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 61 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Lingard | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mosquera | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 6% | — | — | — |
| H. Palacios | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| E. Olivera | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Mafla | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | M | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Torres | M | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | — | — | — |
| K. Toscano | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Palacios | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | — | — | — |
| H. Rodallega | F | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| O. Fernández | F | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Zapata | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F. Fagúndez | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| N. Bustos | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Santa Fe?
The final score was Corinthians 2–0 Santa Fe.
What did the model predict before Corinthians vs Santa Fe?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Corinthians win, 31% to a draw, and 21% to an Santa Fe win.