Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 2
April 16, 2026 02:30
Raniele
(ast. Gustavo Henrique)
51'
Gustavo Henrique
(ast. R. Garro)
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Corinthians a 47% win probability (draw 31%, Santa Fe 21%). The final result was Corinthians 2–0 Santa Fe. In 1 previous meetings, Corinthians have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Santa Fe.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
1
1.24
Actual xG
0.30
1
Saves
7
65%
Possession
35%
8
Corners
5
14
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Raniele
· ast. Gustavo Henrique
51'
Gabriel Paulista
57'
Breno Bidon
/ A. Carrillo
76'
Raniele
/ Allan
76'
77'
E. Mosquera
/
O. Fernandez
79'
F. Fagundez
/
J. Torres
⚽Gustavo Henrique
· ast. R. Garro
80'
Kayke
/ J. Lingard
81'
Yuri Alberto
/ Pedro Raul
86'
R. Garro
/ Z. Labyad
87'
87'
A. Zapata
/
D. Torres
87'
N. Bustos
/
H. Rodallega
Pre-match prediction
47.47%
Corinthians ←
31.0%
X
21.54%
Santa
we assigned to the actual result (Corinthians)
47.47%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.21
1.24
+0.03
0.64
0.30
-0.34
Corinthians dominated by xG (1.24 vs 0.30).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
2
Matheuzinho
D
Matheuzinho
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Gustavo Henrique
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
21
Matheus Bidu
D
Matheus Bidu
D
7
Breno Bidon
76'
M
Breno Bidon
76'
M
49
André Luiz
M
André Luiz
M
14
Raniele
1 ⚽
76'
M
Raniele
1 ⚽
76'
M
31
Kayke
81'
M
8
Rodrigo Garro
1 👟
87'
F
Rodrigo Garro
1 👟
87'
F
9
Yuri Alberto
86'
F
Yuri Alberto
86'
F
Bench
29
Allan
14'
M
Allan
14'
M
5
André Ramalho
D
André Ramalho
D
61
Dieguinho
M
Dieguinho
M
77
Jesse Lingard
9'
M
Jesse Lingard
9'
M
51
Kauê
G
Kauê
G
23
Matheus Pereira
M
Matheus Pereira
M
20
Pedro Milans
D
Pedro Milans
D
11
Vitinho
F
1
Andrés Mosquera
G
Andrés Mosquera
G
13
Helibelton Palacios
D
Helibelton Palacios
D
18
Emanuel Olivera
D
Emanuel Olivera
D
3
V. Moreno
D
V. Moreno
D
32
Christian Mafla
D
Christian Mafla
D
7
Jhojan Torres
79'
M
Jhojan Torres
79'
M
16
Daniel Torres
87'
M
Daniel Torres
87'
M
6
Kilian Toscano
M
Kilian Toscano
M
14
Luis Angel Palacios
F
Luis Angel Palacios
F
11
H. Rodallega
87'
F
H. Rodallega
87'
F
8
O. Fernández
77'
F
O. Fernández
77'
F
Bench
10
Alexis Zapata
8'
M
Alexis Zapata
8'
M
9
Franco Fagúndez
11'
F
Franco Fagúndez
11'
F
15
Ivan Scarpeta
D
Ivan Scarpeta
D
19
N. Bustos
8'
F
N. Bustos
8'
F
Best on the pitch
Gustavo Henrique
D · Corinthians
9.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 64 pass
Rodrigo Garro
F · Corinthians
8.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 61 pass
Raniele
M · Corinthians
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 55 pass
Matheus Bidu
D · Corinthians
7.60
2 shots
· 55 pass
Gabriel Paulista
D · Corinthians
7.30
· 59 pass
André Luiz
M · Corinthians
7.30
· 43 pass
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Matheuzinho | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 55% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 9.50 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 64 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| André Luiz | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 76 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 55 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Kayke | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Garro | F | 87 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 61 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Jesse Lingard | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Mosquera | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Helibelton Palacios | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Olivera | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian Mafla | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | M | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Torres | M | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Kilian Toscano | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Angel Palacios | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | — | — | — |
| H. Rodallega | F | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| O. Fernández | F | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexis Zapata | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Franco Fagúndez | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| N. Bustos | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Santa Fe?
The final score was Corinthians 2–0 Santa Fe.
What did the model predict before Corinthians vs Santa Fe?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Corinthians win, 31% to a draw, and 21% to an Santa Fe win.