Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 25
August 30, 2026 21:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Corinthians, result Santos wins
33'
C. Oliva
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Corinthians a 52% win probability (draw 25%, Santos 22%). The final result was Corinthians 0–1 Santos. In 1 previous meetings, Corinthians have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Santos.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
4
0.85
Actual xG
1.16
3
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
8
Corners
1
9
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
10'
A. Barreal
20'
Willian Arao
24'
C. Oliva
/
Gustavo Henrique
Gabriel Paulista
31'
33'
C. Oliva⚽
R. Garro
45'+2
Raniele
45'+4
45'+4
Lucas Verissimo
Allan
/ Pedro Raul
64'
66'
Rony
/
Gabriel Bontempo
73'
D. Fernandes
/
A. Barreal
73'
B. Rollheiser
/
Gabriel Barbosa
Dieguinho
/ Gui Negao
77'
Raniele
/ M. Pereira
84'
Pre-match prediction
52.39%
Corinthians
25.3%
X
22.31%
Santos ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Santos)
22.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
0.85
-0.64
0.86
1.16
+0.3
Santos dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.85).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Hugo Souza
G
Hugo Souza
G
21
Matheus Bidu
D
Matheus Bidu
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
2
Matheuzinho
D
Matheuzinho
D
14
Raniele
84'
M
Raniele
84'
M
29
Allan
64'
M
Allan
64'
M
61
Dieguinho
77'
M
Dieguinho
77'
M
8
R. Garro
M
R. Garro
M
37
Kaio César
M
Kaio César
M
10
M. Depay
F
M. Depay
F
Bench
80
Alex Santana
M
Alex Santana
M
35
Charles
M
Charles
M
26
F. Angileri
D
F. Angileri
D
56
Guilherme Inácio
21'
F
Guilherme Inácio
21'
F
46
Hugo
D
Hugo
D
55
I. Machado
D
I. Machado
D
4
João Pedro
D
João Pedro
D
51
Kauê Camargo
G
Kauê Camargo
G
64
Luiz Fernando
F
Luiz Fernando
F
23
Matheus Pereira
14'
M
Matheus Pereira
14'
M
18
Pedro Raul
34'
F
Pedro Raul
34'
F
20
P. Milans
D
P. Milans
D
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
G. Escobar
D
G. Escobar
D
14
Luan Peres
D
Luan Peres
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
18
Igor Vinicius
D
Igor Vinicius
D
15
Willian Arão
M
Willian Arão
M
48
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
24'
M
Gustavo Henrique Pereira
24'
M
22
Á. Barreal
73'
M
Á. Barreal
73'
M
10
Neymar
M
Neymar
M
8
Gabriel Bontempo
66'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
66'
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
73'
F
Gabriel Barbosa
73'
F
Bench
32
B. Rollheiser
25'
F
B. Rollheiser
25'
F
28
C. Oliva
1 ⚽
74'
M
C. Oliva
1 ⚽
74'
M
27
D. Fernandes
25'
F
D. Fernandes
25'
F
1
Diógenes
G
Diógenes
G
17
G. Caballero
F
G. Caballero
F
26
João Paulo Ananias
D
João Paulo Ananias
D
21
Moisés
F
Moisés
F
30
M. Terceros
M
M. Terceros
M
38
Rafael Gonzaga
D
Rafael Gonzaga
D
11
Rony
32'
F
Rony
32'
F
81
S. Pierri
M
S. Pierri
M
16
Thaciano
M
Thaciano
M
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Brazão
G · Santos
7.30
· 33 pass
C. Oliva
M · Santos
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
Neymar
M · Santos
7.20
1 shots
· 49 pass
R. Garro
M · Corinthians
7.20
1 shots
· 66 pass
Hugo Souza
G · Corinthians
7.00
· 16 pass
D. Fernandes
F · Santos
7.00
· 2 pass
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Souza | G | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 65 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 68% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 60% | — | 1 | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 58% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Allan | M | 64 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Garro | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 52% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kaio César | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Depay | F | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Inácio | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Raul | F | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 20% | — | — | — |
| G. Escobar | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Igor Vinicius | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique Pereira | M | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Á. Barreal | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Neymar | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| B. Rollheiser | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Oliva | M | 74 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Fernandes | F | 25 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Rony | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Santos?
The final score was Corinthians 0–1 Santos.
What did the model predict before Corinthians vs Santos?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Corinthians win, 25% to a draw, and 22% to an Santos win.