Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 15
May 10, 2026 23:30
Raniele
(ast. R. Garro)
17'
Matheuzinho
(ast. A. Carrillo)
52'
Breno Bidon
(ast. R. Garro)
57'
41'
(ast. D. Bobadilla)
Luciano
(og)
89'
Matheuzinho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Corinthians a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Sao Paulo 32%). The final result was Corinthians 3–2 Sao Paulo.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
4
1.37
Actual xG
1.05
3
Saves
3
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
7
11
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Raniele
· ast. R. Garro
17'
41'
ast. D. Bobadilla ·
Luciano⚽
Gabriel Paulista
45'+1
Matheus Bidu
45'+1
45'+1
Jonathan Calleri
45'+1
Sabino
⚽Matheuzinho
· ast. A. Carrillo
52'
⚽Breno Bidon
· ast. R. Garro
57'
69'
Cauly
/
Ferreira
69'
Luan Silva
/
Danielzinho
73'
E. Diaz
83'
Wendell
/
E. Diaz
A. Carrillo
/ Dieguinho
83'
R. Garro
/ Z. Labyad
88'
Yuri Alberto
/ Pedro Raul
88'
89'
(og)
Matheuzinho⚽
90'+2
Andre Silva
/
D. Bobadilla
Z. Labyad
90'+4
90'+4
Luan Silva
Pedro Raul
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
35.58%
Corinthians ←
31.62%
X
32.8%
Sao
we assigned to the actual result (Corinthians)
35.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.87
1.37
+0.5
0.92
1.05
+0.13
Corinthians dominated by xG (1.37 vs 1.05).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Hugo Souza
G
Hugo Souza
G
21
Matheus Bidu
D
Matheus Bidu
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
2
Matheuzinho
2 ⚽
D
Matheuzinho
2 ⚽
D
14
Raniele
1 ⚽
M
Raniele
1 ⚽
M
19
André Carrillo
1 👟
83'
M
André Carrillo
1 👟
83'
M
77
J. Lingard
M
J. Lingard
M
8
R. Garro
2 👟
88'
M
R. Garro
2 👟
88'
M
7
Breno Bidon
1 ⚽
M
Breno Bidon
1 ⚽
M
9
Yuri Alberto
88'
F
Yuri Alberto
88'
F
Bench
80
Alex Santana
M
Alex Santana
M
5
André Ramalho
D
André Ramalho
D
61
Dieguinho
13'
M
Dieguinho
13'
M
26
Fabrizio Angileri
D
Fabrizio Angileri
D
56
Gui Negão
F
Gui Negão
F
55
Iago Machado
D
Iago Machado
D
37
Kaio César
F
Kaio César
F
51
Kauê
G
Kauê
G
23
Matheus Pereira
M
Matheus Pereira
M
20
Pedro Milans
D
Pedro Milans
D
18
Pedro Raul
8'
F
Pedro Raul
8'
F
52
Zakaria Labyad
8'
F
Zakaria Labyad
8'
F
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
13
E. Díaz
83'
D
E. Díaz
83'
D
35
Sabino
D
Sabino
D
4
Dória
D
Dória
D
21
Cédric Soares
D
Cédric Soares
D
94
Danielzinho
69'
M
Danielzinho
69'
M
16
D. Bobadilla
1 👟
89'
M
D. Bobadilla
1 👟
89'
M
11
Ferreirinha
69'
M
Ferreirinha
69'
M
10
Luciano
1 ⚽
M
Luciano
1 ⚽
M
37
Artur
M
Artur
M
9
J. Calleri
F
J. Calleri
F
Bench
17
André Silva
1'
F
André Silva
1'
F
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
80
Cauly
21'
M
Cauly
21'
M
48
Djhordney Ferreira
M
Djhordney Ferreira
M
30
Felipe Negrucci
M
Felipe Negrucci
M
14
Gonzalo Tapia
F
Gonzalo Tapia
F
40
Igor Felisberto
D
Igor Felisberto
D
33
Luan Santos
21'
M
Luan Santos
21'
M
45
Lucca
F
Lucca
F
54
Luis Osorio
D
Luis Osorio
D
46
Pedro Ferreira
M
Pedro Ferreira
M
18
Wendell
13'
D
Wendell
13'
D
Best on the pitch
R. Garro
M · Corinthians
8.20
2 👟
· 41 pass
Breno Bidon
M · Corinthians
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 33 pass
André Carrillo
M · Corinthians
7.50
1 👟
· 50 pass
Matheuzinho
D · Corinthians
7.30
2 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
D. Bobadilla
M · Sao
7.20
1 👟
· 42 pass
Luciano
M · Sao
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Souza | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 90 | 7.30 | 2 | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| André Carrillo | M | 83 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 49% | — | — | — |
| J. Lingard | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| R. Garro | M | 88 | 8.20 | — | 2 | — | 41 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 88 | 6.20 | — | — | 5 | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Raul | F | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Zakaria Labyad | F | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| E. Díaz | D | 83 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sabino | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Dória | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Cédric Soares | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Danielzinho | M | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Bobadilla | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 42 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Ferreirinha | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Calleri | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| André Silva | F | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cauly | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Luan Santos | M | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wendell | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?
The final score was Corinthians 3–2 Sao Paulo.
What did the model predict before Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Corinthians win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an Sao Paulo win.