← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 15 May 10, 2026 23:30
Corinthians
#16 · 18 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Sao Paulo
#4 · 24 pts
Raniele (ast. R. Garro) 17'
Matheuzinho (ast. A. Carrillo) 52'
Breno Bidon (ast. R. Garro) 57'
41' (ast. D. Bobadilla) Luciano
(og) 89' Matheuzinho

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Corinthians a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Sao Paulo 32%). The final result was Corinthians 3–2 Sao Paulo.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
4
1.37
Actual xG
1.05
3
Saves
3
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
7
11
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Raniele · ast. R. Garro
17'
41'
ast. D. Bobadilla · Luciano⚽
Gabriel Paulista
45'+1
Matheus Bidu
45'+1
45'+1
Jonathan Calleri
45'+1
Sabino
⚽Matheuzinho · ast. A. Carrillo
52'
⚽Breno Bidon · ast. R. Garro
57'
69'
Cauly / Ferreira ↕
69'
Luan Silva / Danielzinho ↕
73'
E. Diaz
83'
Wendell / E. Diaz ↕
↕ A. Carrillo / Dieguinho
83'
↕ R. Garro / Z. Labyad
88'
↕ Yuri Alberto / Pedro Raul
88'
89'
(og) Matheuzinho⚽
90'+2
Andre Silva / D. Bobadilla ↕
Z. Labyad
90'+4
90'+4
Luan Silva
Pedro Raul
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
35.58%
Corinthians ←
31.62%
X
32.8%
Sao
we assigned to the actual result (Corinthians) 35.58% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Corinthians
0.87
1.37
+0.5
Sao
0.92
1.05
+0.13
Corinthians dominated by xG (1.37 vs 1.05). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 15 34
2 Flamengo Flamengo 14 30
3 Fluminense Fluminense 15 27
4 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 15 24
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 15 23
6 Bahia Bahia 14 22
7 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 15 20
8 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 15 20
9 Coritiba Coritiba 15 20
10 Vitoria Vitoria 14 19
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 15 19
12 Botafogo Botafogo 14 18
13 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 15 18
14 Internacional Internacional 15 18
15 Santos Santos 15 18
16 Corinthians Corinthians 15 18
17 Gremio Gremio 15 17
18 Mirassol Mirassol 14 13
19 Remo Remo 15 12
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 14 9
Lineups
Corinthians Corinthians 4-2-3-1
1 Hugo Souza Hugo Souza G 6.20
21 Matheus Bidu Matheus Bidu D 6.20
13 Gustavo Henrique Gustavo Henrique D 6.20
3 Gabriel Paulista Gabriel Paulista D 6.60
2 Matheuzinho Matheuzinho 2 ⚽ D 7.30
14 Raniele Raniele 1 ⚽ M 6.90
19 André Carrillo André Carrillo 1 👟 83' M 7.50
77 J. Lingard J. Lingard M 6.60
8 R. Garro R. Garro 2 👟 88' M 8.20
7 Breno Bidon Breno Bidon 1 ⚽ M 7.90
9 Yuri Alberto Yuri Alberto 88' F 6.20
Bench
80 Alex Santana Alex Santana M
5 André Ramalho André Ramalho D
61 Dieguinho Dieguinho 13' M 6.20
26 Fabrizio Angileri Fabrizio Angileri D
56 Gui Negão Gui Negão F
55 Iago Machado Iago Machado D
37 Kaio César Kaio César F
51 Kauê Kauê G
23 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira M
20 Pedro Milans Pedro Milans D
18 Pedro Raul Pedro Raul 8' F 6.60
52 Zakaria Labyad Zakaria Labyad 8' F 6.60
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1
23 Rafael Rafael G 6.20
13 Enzo Díaz Enzo Díaz 83' D 5.90
35 Sabino Sabino D 6.20
4 Dória Dória D 6.30
21 Cédric Soares Cédric Soares D 6.00
94 Danielzinho Danielzinho 69' M 7.00
16 Damián Bobadilla Damián Bobadilla 1 👟 89' M 7.20
11 Ferreirinha Ferreirinha 69' M 6.30
10 Luciano Luciano 1 ⚽ M 7.20
37 Artur Artur M 6.30
9 J. Calleri J. Calleri F 6.50
Bench
17 André Silva André Silva 1' F
31 Carlos Coronel Carlos Coronel G
80 Cauly Cauly 21' M 6.60
48 Djhordney Ferreira Djhordney Ferreira M
30 Felipe Negrucci Felipe Negrucci M
14 Gonzalo Tapia Gonzalo Tapia F
40 Igor Felisberto Igor Felisberto D
33 Luan Santos Luan Santos 21' M 6.50
45 Lucca Lucca F
54 Luis Osorio Luis Osorio D
46 Pedro Ferreira Pedro Ferreira M
18 Wendell Wendell 13' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
R. Garro
R. Garro
M · Corinthians
8.20
2 👟
· 41 pass
Breno Bidon
Breno Bidon
M · Corinthians
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
André Carrillo
André Carrillo
M · Corinthians
7.50
1 👟
· 50 pass
Matheuzinho
Matheuzinho
D · Corinthians
7.30
2 ⚽
1 shots · 36 pass
Damián Bobadilla
Damián Bobadilla
M · Sao
7.20
1 👟
· 42 pass
Luciano
Luciano
M · Sao
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 22 pass
Corinthians Corinthians — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Hugo Souza G 90 6.20 — — — 22 12% — — —
Matheus Bidu D 90 6.20 — — — 38 31% 2 1 —
Gustavo Henrique D 90 6.20 — — — 34 27% — — —
Gabriel Paulista D 90 6.60 — — — 34 28% 2 1 —
Matheuzinho D 90 7.30 2 — 1 36 30% 2 — —
Raniele M 90 6.90 1 — 2 26 20% 1 — —
André Carrillo M 83 7.50 — 1 — 50 49% — — —
J. Lingard M 90 6.60 — — 2 35 30% — — —
R. Garro M 88 8.20 — 2 — 41 31% 1 — —
Breno Bidon M 90 7.90 1 — 1 33 28% 3 — —
Yuri Alberto F 88 6.20 — — 5 27 20% — — —
Dieguinho M 13 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Pedro Raul F 8 6.60 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
Zakaria Labyad F 8 6.60 — — — 2 2% — 1 —
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rafael G 90 6.20 — — — 24 15% — — —
Enzo Díaz D 83 5.90 — — 1 37 33% 1 1 —
Sabino D 90 6.20 — — — 45 34% 2 1 —
Dória D 90 6.30 — — — 40 36% 1 — —
Cédric Soares D 90 6.00 — — — 38 26% 2 — —
Danielzinho M 69 7.00 — — — 52 48% 2 — —
Damián Bobadilla M 89 7.20 — 1 — 42 37% 3 — —
Ferreirinha M 69 6.30 — — 1 18 12% 1 — —
Luciano M 90 7.20 1 — 1 22 20% 1 — —
Artur M 90 6.30 — — — 35 27% 1 — —
J. Calleri F 90 6.50 — — — 16 14% — 1 —
André Silva F 1 — — — 1 — — — — —
Cauly M 21 6.60 — — — 9 6% 1 — —
Luan Santos M 21 6.50 — — — 13 9% 1 1 —
Wendell D 13 6.70 — — — 10 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?
The final score was Corinthians 3–2 Sao Paulo.
What did the model predict before Corinthians vs Sao Paulo?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Corinthians win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an Sao Paulo win.