Yuri Alberto
66'
(pen.)
45'+1
Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Corinthians a 42% win probability (draw 21%, Vitoria 35%). The final result was Corinthians 1–1 Vitoria. In 1 previous meetings, Corinthians have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Vitoria.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
5
1.64
Actual xG
0.84
4
Saves
5
68%
Possession
32%
9
Corners
1
19
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
45'+1
Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira⚽
53'
Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira
62'
⚽Yuri Alberto
(pen.)
66'
Vitinho
/ Kaio César
67'
Jesse Lingard
/ Matheus Bidu
79'
André
/ Charles
80'
80'
Zé Vitor
/
Matheuzinho
80'
Lucas Silva
/
Diego Tarzia
85'
Fabri
/
Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira
89'
Yuri Alberto
/ Gui Negão
90'+3
90'+4
Walace
/
Caíque Gonçalves
90'+4
Ignacio Laquintana
/
Erick
Rodrigo Garro
90'+13
Pre-match prediction
42.91%
Corinthians
21.28%
X ←
35.81%
Vitoria
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.86
1.64
-0.22
1.98
0.84
-1.14
Corinthians dominated by xG (1.64 vs 0.84).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Hugo Souza
G
Hugo Souza
G
26
F. Angileri
D
F. Angileri
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
2
Matheuzinho
D
Matheuzinho
D
7
Breno
M
Breno
M
49
Andre
80'
M
Andre
80'
M
77
J. Lingard
79'
M
J. Lingard
79'
M
8
R. Garro
M
R. Garro
M
11
Vitinho
67'
M
Vitinho
67'
M
9
Yuri Alberto
1 ⚽
89'
F
Yuri Alberto
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
19
A. Carrillo
M
A. Carrillo
M
29
Allan
M
Allan
M
5
André Ramalho
D
André Ramalho
D
35
Charles
10'
M
Charles
10'
M
61
Dieguinho
M
Dieguinho
M
56
Guilherme Inácio
1'
F
Guilherme Inácio
1'
F
4
João Pedro
D
João Pedro
D
37
Kaio César
23'
F
Kaio César
23'
F
51
Kauê Camargo
G
Kauê Camargo
G
21
Matheus Bidu
11'
D
Matheus Bidu
11'
D
18
Pedro Raul
F
Pedro Raul
F
20
P. Milans
D
P. Milans
D
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
Lucas Arcanjo
G
83
Jamerson
D
Jamerson
D
36
Luan Cândido
D
Luan Cândido
D
2
E. Brítez
D
E. Brítez
D
98
Mateusinho
D
Mateusinho
D
6
E. Martínez
M
E. Martínez
M
12
D. Tarzia
80'
M
D. Tarzia
80'
M
95
Caíque
89'
M
Caíque
89'
M
10
Matheuzinho
80'
M
Matheuzinho
80'
M
33
Erick
89'
M
Erick
89'
M
91
Rene
1 ⚽
85'
F
Rene
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
9
Alex Bruno
F
Alex Bruno
F
26
Edenilson
M
Edenilson
M
23
Fabrício
5'
F
Fabrício
5'
F
77
I. Laquintana
1'
M
I. Laquintana
1'
M
20
Lucas Silva
10'
F
Lucas Silva
10'
F
7
Marinho
F
Marinho
F
79
Renato Kayzer
F
Renato Kayzer
F
16
Rúben Ismael
M
Rúben Ismael
M
8
T. Pochettino
M
T. Pochettino
M
15
Walace
1'
M
Walace
1'
M
71
Yuri Sena
G
Yuri Sena
G
88
Zé Vitor
10'
M
Zé Vitor
10'
M
Best on the pitch
Lucas Arcanjo
G · Vitoria
7.72
· 31 pass
F. Angileri
D · Corinthians
7.17
1 shots
· 74 pass
Gabriel Paulista
D · Corinthians
7.08
1 shots
· 86 pass
Breno
M · Corinthians
7.05
2 shots
· 85 pass
Yuri Alberto
F · Corinthians
7.02
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 18 pass
Rene
F · Vitoria
7.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Souza | G | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Angileri | D | 90 | 7.17 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 65% | 5 | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 82 | 78% | 0 | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 90 | 7.08 | — | — | 1 | 86 | 83% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 60 | 56% | 6 | — | — |
| Breno | M | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 2 | 85 | 76% | 0 | — | — |
| Andre | M | 80 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 39% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Lingard | M | 79 | 6.72 | — | — | 6 | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Garro | M | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 4 | 60 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Vitinho | M | 67 | 6.57 | — | — | 4 | 32 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 89 | 7.02 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Charles | M | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Guilherme Inácio | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Kaio César | F | 23 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 11 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo | G | 90 | 7.72 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| Jamerson | D | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| Luan Cândido | D | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Brítez | D | 90 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateusinho | D | 90 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Tarzia | M | 80 | 6.19 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Caíque | M | 89 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | M | 80 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| Erick | M | 89 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Rene | F | 85 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fabrício | F | 5 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Laquintana | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | F | 10 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Walace | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 10 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Vitoria?
The final score was Corinthians 1–1 Vitoria.
What did the model predict before Corinthians vs Vitoria?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Corinthians win, 21% to a draw, and 35% to an Vitoria win.