← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 12 April 19, 2026 23:00
Coritiba
#9 · 20 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Atletico-MG
#13 · 18 pts
Breno Lopes 7'
Pedro Rocha 58'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coritiba a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Atletico-MG 29%). The final result was Coritiba 2–0 Atletico-MG.

Match statistics
2
Total shots
16
2
Shots on target
7
1.04
Actual xG
1.15
7
Saves
0
23%
Possession
77%
2
Corners
8
22
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Breno Lopes
7'
↕ Bruno Melo / Felipe Jonatan
34'
S. Gomez
45'+2
↕ Breno Lopes / J. Lavega
58'
↕ Josue / Thiago Santos
58'
⚽Pedro Rocha
58'
65'
Lyanco
66'
Dudu / Natanael ↕
66'
M. Cisse / Maycon ↕
72'
M. Cassierra / Hulk ↕
84'
Bernard / Reinier ↕
84'
A. Preciado / Cuello ↕
↕ Pedro Rocha / Renato Marques
86'
↕ Vini Paulista / Tiago Coser
86'
Thiago Santos
88'
Renato Marques
90'
90'
R. Lodi
Pre-match prediction
38.45%
Coritiba ←
31.75%
X
29.79%
Atletico-MG
we assigned to the actual result (Coritiba) 38.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Coritiba
1.11
1.04
-0.07
Atletico-MG
0.88
1.15
+0.27
xG dominance was balanced (1.04 – 1.15). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 15 34
2 Flamengo Flamengo 14 30
3 Fluminense Fluminense 15 27
4 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 15 24
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 15 23
6 Bahia Bahia 14 22
7 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 15 20
8 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 15 20
9 Coritiba Coritiba 15 20
10 Vitoria Vitoria 14 19
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 15 19
12 Botafogo Botafogo 14 18
13 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 15 18
14 Internacional Internacional 15 18
15 Santos Santos 15 18
16 Corinthians Corinthians 15 18
17 Gremio Gremio 15 17
18 Mirassol Mirassol 14 13
19 Remo Remo 15 12
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 14 9
Lineups
Coritiba Coritiba 4-2-3-1
22 Pedro Rangel Pedro Rangel G 9.30
26 Bruno Melo Bruno Melo 34' D 6.90
55 Jacy Maranhão Jacy Maranhão D 7.00
3
Maicon D 7.20
2 Tinga Tinga D 7.50
36 Vini Paulista Vini Paulista 86' M 7.20
19 Sebastian Gomez Sebastian Gomez M 6.20
77
Breno Lopes 1 ⚽ 58' M 7.20
10 Josué Josué 58' M 6.90
11 Lucas Ronier Lucas Ronier M 6.60
32 Pedro Rocha Pedro Rocha 1 ⚽ 86' F 7.90
Bench
6 Felipe Jonatan Felipe Jonatan 61' D 6.90
44 João Pedro Chermont João Pedro Chermont D
7 Joaquín Lavega Joaquín Lavega 37' F 6.20
78 Renato Marques Renato Marques 4' F 6.30
21
Thiago Santos 37' M 6.70
23
Tiago Coser 9' D 6.60
29 Willian Oliveira Willian Oliveira M
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4-4-2
22
G 6.30
16 Renan Lodi Renan Lodi D 6.50
13
Lyanco D 6.50
4 Ruan Ruan D 6.30
2 Natanael Natanael 66' D 6.20
28 T. Cuello T. Cuello 84' M 6.20
8 Maycon Maycon 66' M 6.70
21
A. Franco M 6.70
30
Victor Hugo M 6.50
19 Reinier Reinier 84' F 6.60
7
Hulk 72' F 6.30
Bench
5 Alexsander Alexsander M
23 Ángelo Preciado Ángelo Preciado 11' D 6.90
11 Bernard Bernard 11' M 6.60
92 Dudu Dudu 29' F 7.00
10
Gustavo Scarpa M
17 Igor Gomes Igor Gomes M
6 J. Alonso J. Alonso D
39 Mamady Cissé Mamady Cissé 29' M 6.60
9 Mateo Cassierra Mateo Cassierra 23' F 6.90
25 Tomás Pérez Tomás Pérez M
14 Vitor Hugo Vitor Hugo D
Best on the pitch
Pedro Rangel
Pedro Rangel
G · Coritiba
9.30
· 30 pass
Pedro Rocha
Pedro Rocha
F · Coritiba
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
Tinga
Tinga
D · Coritiba
7.50
· 27 pass
Maicon
D · Coritiba
7.20
· 16 pass
Vini Paulista
Vini Paulista
M · Coritiba
7.20
· 16 pass
Breno Lopes
M · Coritiba
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
Coritiba Coritiba — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pedro Rangel G 95 9.30 — — — 30 16% — — —
Bruno Melo D 34 6.90 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
Jacy Maranhão D 95 7.00 — — — 14 11% 4 — —
Maicon D 95 7.20 — — — 16 14% — — —
Tinga D 95 7.50 — — — 27 15% 3 — —
Vini Paulista M 86 7.20 — — — 16 10% 5 — —
Sebastian Gomez M 95 6.20 — — — 17 12% 3 1 —
Breno Lopes M 58 7.20 1 — 1 6 4% — — —
Josué M 58 6.90 — — — 14 10% 2 — —
Lucas Ronier M 95 6.60 — — — 19 14% 3 — —
Pedro Rocha F 86 7.90 1 — 1 8 1% — — —
Felipe Jonatan D 61 6.90 — — — 7 7% 1 — —
Joaquín Lavega F 37 6.20 — — — 8 3% — — —
Renato Marques F 4 6.30 — — — 2 — — — 1
Thiago Santos M 37 6.70 — — — 3 2% — 1 —
Tiago Coser D 9 6.60 — — — 1 1% — — —
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.30 — — — 31 25% — — —
Renan Lodi D 90 6.50 — — 1 79 73% 1 — 1
Lyanco D 95 6.50 — — 3 93 86% 1 1 —
Ruan D 95 6.30 — — — 84 79% — — —
Natanael D 66 6.20 — — 1 37 36% 3 — —
T. Cuello M 84 6.20 — — 3 49 35% 1 — —
Maycon M 66 6.70 — — 1 61 55% — — —
A. Franco M 95 6.70 — — — 54 50% — — —
Victor Hugo M 95 6.50 — — 1 46 40% 1 — —
Reinier F 84 6.60 — — 1 31 30% — — —
Hulk F 72 6.30 — — 2 25 19% — — —
Ángelo Preciado D 11 6.90 — — — 7 7% — — —
Bernard M 11 6.60 — — — 6 6% — — —
Dudu F 29 7.00 — — 2 11 10% — — —
Mamady Cissé M 29 6.60 — — 1 22 21% 1 — —
Mateo Cassierra F 23 6.90 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Atletico-MG?
The final score was Coritiba 2–0 Atletico-MG.
What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Atletico-MG?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Coritiba win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an Atletico-MG win.