Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 12
April 19, 2026 21:00
Breno Lopes
7'
Pedro Rocha
58'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coritiba a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Atletico-MG 29%). The final result was Coritiba 2–0 Atletico-MG.
Match statistics
2
Total shots
16
2
Shots on target
7
1.04
Actual xG
1.15
7
Saves
0
23%
Possession
77%
2
Corners
8
22
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Breno Lopes
7'
Bruno Melo
/ Felipe Jonatan
34'
S. Gomez
45'+2
Breno Lopes
/ J. Lavega
58'
Josue
/ Thiago Santos
58'
⚽Pedro Rocha
58'
65'
Lyanco
66'
Dudu
/
Natanael
66'
M. Cisse
/
Maycon
72'
M. Cassierra
/
Hulk
84'
Bernard
/
Reinier
84'
A. Preciado
/
Cuello
Pedro Rocha
/ Renato Marques
86'
Vini Paulista
/ Tiago Coser
86'
Thiago Santos
88'
Renato Marques
90'
90'
R. Lodi
Pre-match prediction
38.45%
Coritiba ←
31.75%
X
29.79%
Atletico-MG
we assigned to the actual result (Coritiba)
38.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
1.04
-0.07
0.88
1.15
+0.27
xG dominance was balanced (1.04 – 1.15).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
Pedro Rangel
G
Pedro Rangel
G
26
Bruno Melo
34'
D
Bruno Melo
34'
D
55
Jacy
D
Jacy
D
3
Maicon
D
Maicon
D
2
Tinga
D
Tinga
D
36
Vini Paulista
86'
M
Vini Paulista
86'
M
19
S. Gómez
M
S. Gómez
M
77
Breno Lopes
1 ⚽
58'
M
Breno Lopes
1 ⚽
58'
M
10
Josué
58'
M
Josué
58'
M
11
Lucas Ronier
M
Lucas Ronier
M
32
Pedro Rocha
1 ⚽
86'
F
Pedro Rocha
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
6
Felipe Jonatan
61'
D
Felipe Jonatan
61'
D
7
J. Lavega
37'
F
J. Lavega
37'
F
44
João Pedro Chermont
D
João Pedro Chermont
D
78
Renato Marques
4'
F
Renato Marques
4'
F
21
Thiago Santos
37'
M
Thiago Santos
37'
M
23
Tiago Cóser
9'
D
Tiago Cóser
9'
D
29
Willian Oliveira
M
Willian Oliveira
M
22
G
16
Renan Lodi
D
Renan Lodi
D
13
Lyanco
D
Lyanco
D
4
Ruan Tressoldi
D
Ruan Tressoldi
D
2
Natanael
66'
D
Natanael
66'
D
28
T. Cuello
84'
M
T. Cuello
84'
M
8
Maycon
66'
M
Maycon
66'
M
21
A. Franco
M
A. Franco
M
30
Victor Hugo
M
Victor Hugo
M
19
Reinier
84'
F
Reinier
84'
F
7
Hulk
72'
F
Hulk
72'
F
Bench
5
Alexsander
M
Alexsander
M
23
Ángelo Preciado
11'
D
Ángelo Preciado
11'
D
11
Bernard
11'
M
Bernard
11'
M
92
Dudu
29'
F
Dudu
29'
F
10
Gustavo Scarpa
M
Gustavo Scarpa
M
17
Igor Gomes
M
Igor Gomes
M
6
Junior Alonso
D
Junior Alonso
D
39
Mamady Cisse
29'
M
Mamady Cisse
29'
M
9
M. Cassierra
23'
F
M. Cassierra
23'
F
25
T. Pérez
M
T. Pérez
M
14
Vitor Hugo
D
Vitor Hugo
D
Best on the pitch
Pedro Rangel
G · Coritiba
9.30
· 30 pass
Pedro Rocha
F · Coritiba
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Tinga
D · Coritiba
7.50
· 27 pass
Maicon
D · Coritiba
7.20
· 16 pass
Vini Paulista
M · Coritiba
7.20
· 16 pass
Breno Lopes
M · Coritiba
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
Coritiba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Rangel | G | 95 | 9.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacy | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Maicon | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Tinga | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Gómez | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Breno Lopes | M | 58 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Josué | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Ronier | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 86 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Jonatan | D | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lavega | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Renato Marques | F | 4 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 1 |
| Thiago Santos | M | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Atletico-MG — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Renan Lodi | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 73% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Lyanco | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 93 | 86% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ruan Tressoldi | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 84 | 79% | — | — | — |
| Natanael | D | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Cuello | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 49 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Maycon | M | 66 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 55% | — | — | — |
| A. Franco | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Victor Hugo | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Reinier | F | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Hulk | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ángelo Preciado | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Bernard | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Dudu | F | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Mamady Cisse | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cassierra | F | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Atletico-MG?
The final score was Coritiba 2–0 Atletico-MG.
What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Atletico-MG?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Coritiba win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an Atletico-MG win.