Coritiba 3–3 Atletico Paranaense — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série A — September 12, 2026

← Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 27 September 12, 2026 02:00

Coritiba

#9 · 38 pts

3 – 3

Final score

Atletico Paranaense

#3 · 49 pts

Tiago Coser 45'+2

Rodrigo Moledo (ast. Josué) 90'+1

Rodrigo Moledo (ast. Josué) 90'+7

14' (ast. Lucas Esquivel) Luiz Gustavo

30' (ast. João Victor Machado Cruz) Arthur Dias

(pen.) 63' Kevin Viveros

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coritiba a 39% win probability (draw 24%, Atletico Paranaense 35%). The final result was Coritiba 3–3 Atletico Paranaense. In 1 previous meetings, Coritiba have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Paranaense.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

61%

Possession

39%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

14'

ast. Lucas Esquivel · Luiz Gustavo⚽

Joaquin Lavega

28'

30'

ast. João Victor Machado Cruz · Arthur Dias⚽

Jacy

34'

Kevin Viveros

43'

João Victor Machado Cruz

44'

Breno Lopes

45'+1

⚽Tiago Coser

45'+2

45'+5

João Vitor Silva Dantas de Oliveira

JP Chermont

45'+9

Pedro Rocha

45'+12

45'

Gilberto / Gaston Americo Benavidez ↕

45'

Carlos Teran / João Victor Machado Cruz ↕

↕ Bruno Melo / Richard

45'

↕ Pedro Rocha / Rodrigo Rodrigues

45'

↕ Joaquin Lavega / Paulo Roberto

45'

↕ JP Chermont / Rodrigo Moledo

45'

Antonio Feliphe Costa Silva / João Vitor Silva Dantas de Oliveira ↕

63'

(pen.) Kevin Viveros⚽

67'

Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno / Kevin Viveros ↕

↕ Thiago Santos / Rodrigo Silva Nascimento

74'

⚽Rodrigo Moledo · ast. Josué

90'+1

90'+3

Luiz Gustavo

90'+4

Juan Portilla / Stiven Mendoza ↕

⚽Rodrigo Moledo · ast. Josué

90'+7

Pre-match prediction

39.65%

Coritiba

24.56%

X ←

35.79%

Atletico

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 24.56% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Coritiba

1.56

—

Atletico

1.40

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	60
2	Palmeiras	28	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	49
4	Fluminense	28	48
5	Bahia	28	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	40
8	Santos	27	38
9	Coritiba	28	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	36
12	Botafogo	28	35
13	Vitoria	28	33
14	Corinthians	28	32
15	Mirassol	28	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	31
17	Gremio	28	29
18	Internacional	28	28
19	Remo	28	23
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	18

Lineups

Coritiba 4-2-3-1

Pedro Luccas G 6.03

Bruno Melo 45' D 5.32

Jacy D 5.64

Tiago Cóser 1 ⚽ D 7.07

JoÃ£o Pedro Chermont 45' D 5.49

S. Gómez M 5.73

Thiago Santos 74' M 5.71

J. Lavega 45' M 5.79

Josué 2 👟 M 7.96

Breno Lopes 45' M 4.94

Pedro Rocha 45' F 6.44

Bench

Fabinho F 0.00

Gustavo M 0.00

Maicon D 0.00

Paulo Roberto 45' M 6.06

Pedro Rangel G 0.00

Renato Marques F 0.00

Richard 45' M 5.27

Rodrigo Gelado 16' D 5.41

Rodrigo Moledo 2 ⚽ 45' D 8.67

Rodrigo Rodrigues 45' F 6.27

Tissi M 0.00

Vini Paulista F 0.00

Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1

Mycael G 6.09

Arthur Dias 1 ⚽ D 7.10

J. Aguirre D 6.38

Dantas 45' D 5.72

L. Esquivel 1 👟 M 6.63

Luiz Gustavo 1 ⚽ M 6.92

Jádson M 6.28

G. Benavídez 45' M 6.01

S. Mendoza 89' M 6.40

João Cruz 1 👟 45' M 6.58

K. Viveros 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.18

Bench

B. Zapelli M 0.00

Chiqueti M 0.00

C. Terán 45' D 5.59

Dudu M 0.00

Felipinho 45' D 6.05

Gilberto 45' D 5.93

J. Portilla 1' M 0.00

K. Vargas F 0.00

Léo D 0.00

Leozinho F 0.00

Renan 23' F 6.18

Santos G 0.00

Best on the pitch

Rodrigo Moledo

D · Coritiba

8.67

2 ⚽

4 shots · 10 pass

Josué

M · Coritiba

7.96

2 👟

3 shots · 27 pass

K. Viveros

F · Atletico

7.18

1 ⚽

5 shots · 5 pass

Arthur Dias

D · Atletico

7.10

1 ⚽

1 shots · 13 pass

Tiago Cóser

D · Coritiba

7.07

1 ⚽

3 shots · 13 pass

Luiz Gustavo

M · Atletico

6.92

1 ⚽

2 shots · 16 pass

Coritiba — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Pedro Luccas	G	90	6.03	—	—	0	35	12%	0	—	—
Bruno Melo	D	45	5.32	—	—	0	22	6%	1	—	—
Jacy	D	90	5.64	—	—	2	23	14%	0	1	—
Tiago Cóser	D	90	7.07	1	—	3	13	10%	2	—	—
JoÃ£o Pedro Chermont	D	45	5.49	—	—	0	6	2%	0	1	—
S. Gómez	M	90	5.73	—	—	3	25	16%	1	—	—
Thiago Santos	M	74	5.71	—	—	0	20	7%	1	—	—
J. Lavega	M	45	5.79	—	—	1	7	6%	0	1	—
Josué	M	90	7.96	—	2	3	27	13%	1	—	—
Breno Lopes	M	45	4.94	—	—	0	4	1%	1	—	1
Pedro Rocha	F	45	6.44	—	—	1	8	2%	2	1	—
Paulo Roberto	M	45	6.06	—	—	2	9	5%	2	—	—
Richard	M	45	5.27	—	—	1	27	17%	0	—	—
Rodrigo Gelado	D	16	5.41	—	—	0	5	2%	1	—	—
Rodrigo Moledo	D	45	8.67	2	—	4	10	4%	0	—	—
Rodrigo Rodrigues	F	45	6.27	—	—	2	11	4%	1	—	—

Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Mycael	G	90	6.09	—	—	0	19	4%	0	—	—
Arthur Dias	D	90	7.10	1	—	1	13	6%	0	—	—
J. Aguirre	D	90	6.38	—	—	0	9	5%	1	—	—
Dantas	D	45	5.72	—	—	0	7	4%	1	1	—
L. Esquivel	M	90	6.63	—	1	1	18	12%	2	—	—
Luiz Gustavo	M	90	6.92	1	—	2	16	10%	2	1	—
Jádson	M	90	6.28	—	—	1	11	3%	3	—	—
G. Benavídez	M	45	6.01	—	—	0	6	2%	3	—	—
S. Mendoza	M	89	6.40	—	—	2	16	12%	2	—	—
João Cruz	M	45	6.58	—	1	2	13	4%	1	1	—
K. Viveros	F	67	7.18	1	—	5	5	1%	0	1	—
C. Terán	D	45	5.59	—	—	0	7	2%	0	—	—
Felipinho	D	45	6.05	—	—	1	4	1%	0	—	—
Gilberto	D	45	5.93	—	—	0	9	2%	1	—	—
J. Portilla	M	1	0.00	—	—	0	3	1%	1	—	—
Renan	F	23	6.18	—	—	0	5	1%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense?

The final score was Coritiba 3–3 Atletico Paranaense.

What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense?

The model assigned 39% probability to a Coritiba win, 24% to a draw, and 35% to an Atletico Paranaense win.