Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 17
May 26, 2026 01:00
Bruno Melo
(ast. Josue)
56'
J. Lavega
65'
Breno Lopes
(ast. J. Lavega)
68'
(og)
26'
Tiago Coser
90'+1
(ast. Everton Ribeiro)
Everaldo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coritiba a 50% win probability (draw 21%, Bahia 28%). The final result was Coritiba 3–2 Bahia.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
1
0.96
Actual xG
1.38
0
Saves
4
44%
Possession
56%
3
Corners
6
9
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
26'
(og)
Tiago Coser⚽
30'
Nicolas Acevedo
45'+6
Joao Paulo
/
Leo Vieira
⚽Bruno Melo
· ast. Josue
56'
60'
Ademir
/
M. Sanabria
⚽J. Lavega
65'
⚽Breno Lopes
· ast. J. Lavega
68'
71'
C. Olivera
/
Erick Pulga
71'
Everaldo
/
Willian Jose
71'
Michel Araujo
/
Jean Lucas
76'
Ademir
Joao Pedro Chermont
/ Lucas Taverna
78'
J. Lavega
/ Fabinho
78'
Thiago Santos
/ Willian Oliveira
78'
S. Gomez
/ Wallisson
87'
90'+1
ast. Everton Ribeiro ·
Everaldo⚽
Josue
/ Vini Paulista
90'+2
90'
R. Gomez
Pre-match prediction
50.06%
Coritiba ←
21.6%
X
28.35%
Bahia
we assigned to the actual result (Coritiba)
50.06%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.97
0.96
-1.01
1.44
1.38
-0.06
Bahia dominated by xG (1.38 vs 0.96).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Pedro Rangel
G
Pedro Rangel
G
26
Bruno Melo
1 ⚽
D
Bruno Melo
1 ⚽
D
55
Jacy Maranhão
D
Jacy Maranhão
D
23
Tiago Cóser
1 ⚽
D
Tiago Cóser
1 ⚽
D
44
João Pedro Chermont
78'
D
João Pedro Chermont
78'
D
19
Sebastian Gomez
87'
M
Sebastian Gomez
87'
M
21
Thiago Santos
78'
M
Thiago Santos
78'
M
77
Breno Lopes
1 ⚽
M
Breno Lopes
1 ⚽
M
10
Josué
1 👟
89'
M
Josué
1 👟
89'
M
7
Joaquín Lavega
1 ⚽
1 👟
78'
M
Joaquín Lavega
1 ⚽
1 👟
78'
M
32
Pedro Rocha
F
Pedro Rocha
F
Bench
33
David Alves França
F
David Alves França
F
28
Fabinho
12'
F
Fabinho
12'
F
6
Felipe Jonatan
D
Felipe Jonatan
D
88
Fernando Sobral
M
Fernando Sobral
M
39
Gustavo
M
Gustavo
M
13
Keiller
G
Keiller
G
86
Lucas Taverna
12'
D
Lucas Taverna
12'
D
78
Renato Marques
F
Renato Marques
F
4
Rodrigo Moledo
D
Rodrigo Moledo
D
36
Vini Paulista
1'
F
Vini Paulista
1'
F
8
Wallisson Luiz
10'
M
Wallisson Luiz
10'
M
29
Willian Oliveira
12'
M
Willian Oliveira
12'
M
22
Léo Vieira
44'
G
Léo Vieira
44'
G
25
Iago Borduchi
D
Iago Borduchi
D
4
Kanu
D
Kanu
D
33
David Duarte
D
David Duarte
D
31
Román Gómez
D
Román Gómez
D
5
Nicolás Acevedo
M
Nicolás Acevedo
M
16
Erick Pulga
71'
M
Erick Pulga
71'
M
6
Jean Lucas
71'
M
Jean Lucas
71'
M
10
Éverton Ribeiro
1 👟
M
Éverton Ribeiro
1 👟
M
23
Mateo Sanabria
60'
M
Mateo Sanabria
60'
M
12
Willian José
71'
F
Willian José
71'
F
Bench
7
Ademir
30'
F
Ademir
30'
F
8
Caio Alexandre
M
Caio Alexandre
M
99
Cristian Olivera
19'
F
Cristian Olivera
19'
F
63
David Martins
M
David Martins
M
27
Everaldo
1 ⚽
19'
F
Everaldo
1 ⚽
19'
F
3
Gabriel Xavier
D
Gabriel Xavier
D
2
Gilberto
D
Gilberto
D
34
João Paulo
46'
G
João Paulo
46'
G
66
José Guilherme
D
José Guilherme
D
44
Marcos Victor
D
Marcos Victor
D
15
Michel Araújo
19'
M
Michel Araújo
19'
M
21
Santiago Ramos Mingo
D
Santiago Ramos Mingo
D
Best on the pitch
Joaquín Lavega
M · Coritiba
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 23 pass
Breno Lopes
M · Coritiba
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
Bruno Melo
D · Coritiba
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 45 pass
Everaldo
F · Bahia
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Jacy Maranhão
D · Coritiba
7.20
1 shots
· 24 pass
Léo Vieira
G · Bahia
7.20
· 18 pass
Coritiba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Rangel | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacy Maranhão | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 90 | 5.50 | 1 | — | — | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| João Pedro Chermont | D | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastian Gomez | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Santos | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Breno Lopes | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Josué | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquín Lavega | M | 78 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 4 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Taverna | D | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Wallisson Luiz | M | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Willian Oliveira | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Bahia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Vieira | G | 44 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Iago Borduchi | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Kanu | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 71 | 67% | — | — | — |
| David Duarte | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Román Gómez | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nicolás Acevedo | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 37% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Erick Pulga | M | 71 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Éverton Ribeiro | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 58 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Mateo Sanabria | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Willian José | F | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Ademir | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Cristian Olivera | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Everaldo | F | 19 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| João Paulo | G | 46 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Michel Araújo | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Bahia?
The final score was Coritiba 3–2 Bahia.
What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Bahia?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Coritiba win, 21% to a draw, and 28% to an Bahia win.