Marçal
22'
(og)
34'
(ast. Cristian Medina)
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 40% win probability (draw 20%, Coritiba 38%). The final result was Coritiba 1–1 Botafogo. In 1 previous meetings, Coritiba have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Botafogo.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
18
3
Shots on target
5
1.16
Actual xG
0.93
4
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
8
Corners
7
11
Tackles
9
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Marçal
(og)
22'
26'
34'
ast. Cristian Medina ·
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira⚽
Fabricio Bustos
45'+3
Sebastián Gómez
45'+4
45'
Allan
Thiago Santos
52'
Fabricio Bustos
/ Tinga
56'
Thiago Santos
/ Nicolas Fonseca
56'
Felipe Jonatan
/ Rodrigo Silva Nascimento
64'
Joaquin Lavega
/ Breno Lopes
64'
66'
Marçal
Tiago Coser
66'
73'
domingos andrade
/
Hakim Ziyech
74'
Júnior Santos
/
Allan
77'
Tiquinho Soares
/
Arthur Cabral
77'
Álvaro Montoro
/
Cristian Medina
Josué
/ Renato Marques
84'
86'
Paulinho
/
Matheus Martins
Rodrigo Silva Nascimento
88'
Pre-match prediction
38.89%
Coritiba
20.91%
X ←
40.2%
Botafogo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.91%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.90
1.16
-0.74
1.98
0.93
-1.05
xG dominance was balanced (1.16 – 0.93).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Pedro Luccas
G
Pedro Luccas
G
6
Felipe Jonatan
64'
D
Felipe Jonatan
64'
D
55
Jacy
D
Jacy
D
23
Tiago Cóser
D
Tiago Cóser
D
14
F. Bustos
56'
D
F. Bustos
56'
D
19
S. Gómez
M
S. Gómez
M
21
Thiago Santos
56'
M
Thiago Santos
56'
M
7
J. Lavega
64'
M
J. Lavega
64'
M
10
Josué
84'
M
Josué
84'
M
32
Pedro Rocha
M
Pedro Rocha
M
18
Paulo Roberto
F
Paulo Roberto
F
Bench
17
B. Ocampo
F
B. Ocampo
F
77
Breno Lopes
26'
F
Breno Lopes
26'
F
39
Gustavo
M
Gustavo
M
3
Maicon
D
Maicon
D
5
N. Fonseca
34'
M
N. Fonseca
34'
M
22
Pedro Rangel
G
Pedro Rangel
G
78
Renato Marques
6'
F
Renato Marques
6'
F
66
Rodrigo Gelado
26'
D
Rodrigo Gelado
26'
D
4
Rodrigo Moledo
D
Rodrigo Moledo
D
99
Rodrigo Rodrigues
F
Rodrigo Rodrigues
F
2
Tinga
34'
D
Tinga
34'
D
36
Vini Paulista
F
Vini Paulista
F
12
Gabriel Batista
G
Gabriel Batista
G
13
Alex Telles
D
Alex Telles
D
21
Marçal
1 ⚽
D
Marçal
1 ⚽
D
5
N. Ferraresi
D
N. Ferraresi
D
2
Vitinho
D
Vitinho
D
25
Allan
74'
M
Allan
74'
M
8
Danilo Santos
1 ⚽
M
Danilo Santos
1 ⚽
M
11
Matheus Martins
86'
M
Matheus Martins
86'
M
6
C. Medina
1 👟
77'
M
C. Medina
1 👟
77'
M
22
H. Ziyech
73'
M
H. Ziyech
73'
M
19
Arthur Cabral
77'
F
Arthur Cabral
77'
F
Bench
10
Álvaro Montoro
13'
M
Álvaro Montoro
13'
M
90
Danilo
F
Danilo
F
91
Domingos Andrade
17'
M
Domingos Andrade
17'
M
34
G. Justino
D
G. Justino
D
75
Huguinho
M
Huguinho
M
7
Júnior Santos
16'
F
Júnior Santos
16'
F
59
Kauan Toledo
M
Kauan Toledo
M
37
K. Barria
F
K. Barria
F
4
M. Ponte
D
M. Ponte
D
29
Paulinho
4'
D
Paulinho
4'
D
9
Tiquinho Soares
13'
F
Tiquinho Soares
13'
F
17
Warleson
G
Warleson
G
Best on the pitch
Danilo Santos
M · Botafogo
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 31 pass
Pedro Luccas
G · Coritiba
7.70
· 38 pass
Alex Telles
D · Botafogo
7.49
1 shots
· 36 pass
C. Medina
M · Botafogo
7.44
1 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
N. Ferraresi
D · Botafogo
7.11
1 shots
· 64 pass
Josué
M · Coritiba
6.98
2 shots
· 41 pass
Coritiba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Luccas | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Felipe Jonatan | D | 64 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Jacy | D | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 0 | 1 | — |
| F. Bustos | D | 56 | 5.95 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Gómez | M | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Thiago Santos | M | 56 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Lavega | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| Josué | M | 84 | 6.98 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | M | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Paulo Roberto | F | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 3 | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Breno Lopes | F | 26 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Fonseca | M | 34 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Renato Marques | F | 6 | 6.67 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Gelado | D | 26 | 5.98 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Tinga | D | 34 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
Botafogo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Batista | G | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Alex Telles | D | 90 | 7.49 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Marçal | D | 90 | 6.03 | 1 | — | 0 | 75 | 67% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Ferraresi | D | 90 | 7.11 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Vitinho | D | 90 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 74 | 6.62 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Danilo Santos | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 31 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| Matheus Martins | M | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Medina | M | 77 | 7.44 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Ziyech | M | 73 | 6.54 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 77 | 6.22 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 13 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Domingos Andrade | M | 17 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Júnior Santos | F | 16 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Paulinho | D | 4 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Tiquinho Soares | F | 13 | 6.57 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Botafogo?
The final score was Coritiba 1–1 Botafogo.
What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Botafogo?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Coritiba win, 20% to a draw, and 40% to an Botafogo win.