Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 22
August 09, 2026 01:30
✓Model correct — prediction Coritiba
Tiago Coser
31'
Pedro Rocha
(ast. J. Lavega)
82'
90'+5
(ast. K. Ramirez)
Tulio
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coritiba a 58% win probability (draw 26%, Chapecoense-sc 14%). The final result was Coritiba 2–1 Chapecoense-sc. In 1 previous meetings, Coritiba have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Chapecoense-sc.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
1.27
Actual xG
0.38
2
Saves
2
36%
Possession
64%
5
Corners
6
9
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Tiago Coser
31'
Bruno Melo
32'
Josue
/ B. Ocampo
37'
38'
Tulio
/
Max Alves
44'
Bruno Melo
/ Felipe Jonatan
46'
B. Ocampo
/ Vini Paulista
48'
Jacy
/ Rodrigo Moledo
48'
56'
Rubens Ricoldi
62'
K. Ramirez
/
Marcinho
62'
F. Rossi
/
Rubens Ricoldi
77'
Bruno Pacheco
/
Fernando
78'
Enio
/
Camilo Reijers
⚽Pedro Rocha
· ast. J. Lavega
82'
Pedro Rocha
/ Maicon
84'
90'+5
ast. K. Ramirez ·
Tulio⚽
Pre-match prediction
58.07%
Coritiba ←
26.95%
X
14.98%
Chapecoense-sc
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Coritiba)
58.07%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
1.27
-0.09
0.51
0.38
-0.13
Coritiba dominated by xG (1.27 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Pedro Morisco
G
Pedro Morisco
G
26
Bruno Melo
45'
D
Bruno Melo
45'
D
55
Jacy Maranhão
48'
D
Jacy Maranhão
48'
D
23
Tiago Cóser
1 ⚽
D
Tiago Cóser
1 ⚽
D
2
Tinga
D
Tinga
D
21
Thiago Santos
M
Thiago Santos
M
19
Sebastian Gomez
M
Sebastian Gomez
M
77
Breno Lopes
M
Breno Lopes
M
10
Josué
37'
M
Josué
37'
M
7
Joaquín Lavega
1 👟
M
Joaquín Lavega
1 👟
M
32
Pedro Rocha
1 ⚽
84'
F
Pedro Rocha
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
17
Brian Ocampo
11'
F
Brian Ocampo
11'
F
28
Fabinho
F
Fabinho
F
6
Felipe Jonatan
53'
D
Felipe Jonatan
53'
D
44
João Pedro Chermont
D
João Pedro Chermont
D
13
Keiller
G
Keiller
G
20
Keno
F
Keno
F
3
Maicon
14'
D
Maicon
14'
D
18
Paulo Roberto
M
Paulo Roberto
M
4
Rodrigo Moledo
50'
D
Rodrigo Moledo
50'
D
99
Rodrigo Rodrigues
F
Rodrigo Rodrigues
F
36
Vini Paulista
50'
F
Vini Paulista
50'
F
50
Vitor Gonçalves Tissi
M
Vitor Gonçalves Tissi
M
98
Anderson
G
Anderson
G
12
Fernando
77'
D
Fernando
77'
D
21
Kauan
D
Kauan
D
3
Eduardo Doma
D
Eduardo Doma
D
26
Everton
D
Everton
D
16
Bruno Matias
M
Bruno Matias
M
27
Camilo
78'
M
Camilo
78'
M
7
Marcinho
62'
M
Marcinho
62'
M
22
Max
38'
M
Max
38'
M
70
Rubens Tadeu
62'
M
Rubens Tadeu
62'
M
10
Giovanni Augusto
F
Giovanni Augusto
F
Bench
91
Bruno Pacheco
21'
D
Bruno Pacheco
21'
D
19
David Antunes
M
David Antunes
M
97
Ênio
20'
M
Ênio
20'
M
29
Franco Rossi
36'
F
Franco Rossi
36'
F
50
Kassio
F
Kassio
F
94
Kevin Ramírez
1 👟
36'
F
Kevin Ramírez
1 👟
36'
F
30
Matheus
G
Matheus
G
18
Neto Pessoa
F
Neto Pessoa
F
15
Rafael Thyere
D
Rafael Thyere
D
39
Rodrigo Endrio
F
Rodrigo Endrio
F
9
Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira
1 ⚽
60'
F
Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira
1 ⚽
60'
F
17
Vinicius Balieiro
M
Vinicius Balieiro
M
Best on the pitch
Tiago Cóser
D · Coritiba
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
Thiago Santos
M · Coritiba
7.50
· 31 pass
Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira
F · Chapecoense-sc
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 3 pass
Pedro Rocha
F · Coritiba
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
Josué
M · Coritiba
7.20
· 18 pass
Breno Lopes
M · Coritiba
7.20
1 shots
· 33 pass
Coritiba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Morisco | G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jacy Maranhão | D | 48 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 98 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Tinga | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Santos | M | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Sebastian Gomez | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Breno Lopes | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Josué | M | 37 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquín Lavega | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 84 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Brian Ocampo | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Jonatan | D | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Maicon | D | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Moledo | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | F | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | G | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Fernando | D | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Kauan | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Doma | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 79 | 71% | — | — | — |
| Everton | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Matias | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Camilo | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcinho | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Max | M | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Rubens Tadeu | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Giovanni Augusto | F | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Ênio | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Franco Rossi | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Ramírez | F | 36 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira | F | 60 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc?
The final score was Coritiba 2–1 Chapecoense-sc.
What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Coritiba win, 26% to a draw, and 14% to an Chapecoense-sc win.