Skip to main content
← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 22 August 09, 2026 01:30
Coritiba
#12 · 39 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Chapecoense-sc
#20 · 21 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Coritiba
Tiago Coser 31'
Pedro Rocha (ast. J. Lavega) 82'
90'+5 (ast. K. Ramirez) Tulio
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coritiba a 58% win probability (draw 26%, Chapecoense-sc 14%). The final result was Coritiba 2–1 Chapecoense-sc. In 1 previous meetings, Coritiba have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Chapecoense-sc.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
1.27
Actual xG
0.38
2
Saves
2
36%
Possession
64%
5
Corners
6
9
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Tiago Coser
31'
Bruno Melo
32'
↕ Josue / B. Ocampo
37'
38'
Tulio / Max Alves ↕
44'
↕ Bruno Melo / Felipe Jonatan
46'
↕ B. Ocampo / Vini Paulista
48'
↕ Jacy / Rodrigo Moledo
48'
56'
Rubens Ricoldi
62'
K. Ramirez / Marcinho ↕
62'
F. Rossi / Rubens Ricoldi ↕
77'
Bruno Pacheco / Fernando ↕
78'
Enio / Camilo Reijers ↕
⚽Pedro Rocha · ast. J. Lavega
82'
↕ Pedro Rocha / Maicon
84'
90'+5
ast. K. Ramirez · Tulio⚽
Pre-match prediction
58.07%
Coritiba ←
26.95%
X
14.98%
Chapecoense-sc
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Coritiba) 58.07% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Coritiba
1.36
1.27
-0.09
Chapecoense-sc
0.51
0.38
-0.13
Coritiba dominated by xG (1.27 vs 0.38). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Coritiba Coritiba 4-2-3-1
1 Pedro Luccas Pedro Luccas G 6.30
26 Bruno Melo Bruno Melo 45' D 6.60
55 Jacy Jacy 48' D 7.00
23 Tiago Cóser Tiago Cóser 1 ⚽ D 7.60
2 Tinga Tinga D 6.90
21 Thiago Santos Thiago Santos M 7.50
19 S. Gómez S. Gómez M 6.90
77 Breno Lopes Breno Lopes M 7.20
10 Josué Josué 37' M 7.20
7 J. Lavega J. Lavega 1 👟 M 6.60
32 Pedro Rocha Pedro Rocha 1 ⚽ 84' F 7.20
Bench
17 B. Ocampo B. Ocampo 11' F 6.50
28 Fabinho Fabinho F
6 Felipe Jonatan Felipe Jonatan 53' D 6.30
44 João Pedro Chermont João Pedro Chermont D
13 Keiller Keiller G
20 Keno Keno F
3 Maicon Maicon 14' D 6.50
18 Paulo Roberto Paulo Roberto M
4 Rodrigo Moledo Rodrigo Moledo 50' D 6.90
99 Rodrigo Rodrigues Rodrigo Rodrigues F
50 Tissi Tissi M
36 Vini Paulista Vini Paulista 50' F 6.30
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 4-2-3-1
98 Anderson Anderson G 6.20
12 Fernando Fernando 77' D 6.90
21 Kauan Faria Gomes Kauan Faria Gomes D 6.20
3 Doma Doma D 6.60
26 Everton Everton D 6.30
16 Bruno Matias Bruno Matias M 7.00
27 Camilo Camilo 78' M 6.90
7 Marcinho Marcinho 62' M 6.30
22 Max Max 38' M 6.30
70 Rubens Rubens 62' M 6.20
10 Giovanni Augusto Giovanni Augusto F 7.00
Bench
91 Bruno Pacheco Bruno Pacheco 21' D 6.70
19 David Antunes David Antunes M
97 Ênio Ênio 20' M 6.70
29 F. Rossi F. Rossi 36' F 6.70
50 Kassio Kassio F
94 K. Ramírez K. Ramírez 1 👟 36' F 6.90
30 Matheus Aurélio Matheus Aurélio G
18 Neto Pessoa Neto Pessoa F
15 Rafael Thyere Rafael Thyere D
39 Rodrigo Rodrigo F
9 Tulio Eduardo Tulio Eduardo 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.20
17 Vinicius Balieiro Vinicius Balieiro M
Best on the pitch
Tiago Cóser
Tiago Cóser
D · Coritiba
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
Thiago Santos
Thiago Santos
M · Coritiba
7.50
· 31 pass
Tulio Eduardo
Tulio Eduardo
F · Chapecoense-sc
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 3 pass
Pedro Rocha
Pedro Rocha
F · Coritiba
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
Josué
Josué
M · Coritiba
7.20
· 18 pass
Breno Lopes
Breno Lopes
M · Coritiba
7.20
1 shots · 33 pass
Coritiba Coritiba — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pedro Luccas G 98 6.30 — — — 25 13% — — —
Bruno Melo D 45 6.60 — — — 12 8% 1 1 —
Jacy D 48 7.00 — — — 19 17% 2 — —
Tiago Cóser D 98 7.60 1 — 2 23 20% — — —
Tinga D 98 6.90 — — 1 32 23% — — —
Thiago Santos M 98 7.50 — — — 31 22% 3 — —
S. Gómez M 98 6.90 — — — 17 16% 1 — —
Breno Lopes M 98 7.20 — — 1 33 29% — — —
Josué M 37 7.20 — — — 18 16% 1 — —
J. Lavega M 98 6.60 — 1 2 26 18% — — —
Pedro Rocha F 84 7.20 1 — 2 12 7% — — —
B. Ocampo F 11 6.50 — — — 5 5% — — —
Felipe Jonatan D 53 6.30 — — — 12 12% — — —
Maicon D 14 6.50 — — — — — — — —
Rodrigo Moledo D 50 6.90 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
Vini Paulista F 50 6.30 — — 1 4 4% — — —
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anderson G 98 6.20 — — — 36 24% — — —
Fernando D 77 6.90 — — — 39 31% 1 — —
Kauan Faria Gomes D 98 6.20 — — — 61 54% — — —
Doma D 98 6.60 — — — 79 71% — — —
Everton D 98 6.30 — — — 37 31% 1 — —
Bruno Matias M 98 7.00 — — — 61 54% 2 — —
Camilo M 78 6.90 — — 1 45 42% 1 — —
Marcinho M 62 6.30 — — — 9 5% — — —
Max M 38 6.30 — — — 13 11% — — —
Rubens M 62 6.20 — — — 8 6% 1 1 —
Giovanni Augusto F 98 7.00 — — 1 56 51% — — —
Bruno Pacheco D 21 6.70 — — — 13 9% 1 — —
Ênio M 20 6.70 — — 1 14 14% — — —
F. Rossi F 36 6.70 — — — 10 7% — — —
K. Ramírez F 36 6.90 — 1 3 13 12% 1 — —
Tulio Eduardo F 60 7.20 1 — 2 3 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc?
The final score was Coritiba 2–1 Chapecoense-sc.
What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Coritiba win, 26% to a draw, and 14% to an Chapecoense-sc win.