Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 24
August 24, 2026 00:30
Pedro Rocha
(ast. Joao Pedro Chermont)
40'
Paulo Roberto
(ast. Joao Pedro Chermont)
75'
90'+3
(ast. Allan)
Raniele
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Corinthians a 34% win probability (draw 33%, Coritiba 32%). The final result was Coritiba 2–1 Corinthians. In 1 previous meetings, Coritiba have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Corinthians.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
3
0.37
Actual xG
0.60
2
Saves
1
36%
Possession
64%
4
Corners
14
20
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Pedro Rocha
· ast. Joao Pedro Chermont
40'
Thiago Santos
42'
42'
Breno Bidon
46'
M. Pereira
/
P. Milans
46'
M. Depay
/
Pedro Raul
Pedro Rocha
/ Paulo Roberto
62'
Thiago Santos
/ Tissi
62'
Tissi
67'
67'
M. Pereira
71'
Gui Negao
/
Breno Bidon
72'
Dieguinho
/
A. Carrillo
J. Lavega
/ Fabinho
72'
⚽Paulo Roberto
· ast. Joao Pedro Chermont
75'
82'
J. Lingard
/
Kaio Cesar
Josue
/ Fernando Sobral
84'
Joao Pedro Chermont
/ Lucas Taverna
84'
90'+3
ast. Allan ·
Raniele⚽
Pre-match prediction
32.17%
Coritiba ←
33.11%
X
34.72%
Corinthians
we assigned to the actual result (Coritiba)
32.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.79
0.37
-0.42
0.86
0.60
-0.26
xG dominance was balanced (0.37 – 0.60).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Pedro Luccas
G
Pedro Luccas
G
26
Bruno Melo
D
Bruno Melo
D
55
Jacy
D
Jacy
D
23
Tiago Cóser
D
Tiago Cóser
D
44
João Pedro Chermont
2 👟
84'
D
João Pedro Chermont
2 👟
84'
D
19
S. Gómez
M
S. Gómez
M
21
Thiago Santos
62'
M
Thiago Santos
62'
M
77
Breno Lopes
M
Breno Lopes
M
10
Josué
84'
M
Josué
84'
M
7
J. Lavega
72'
M
J. Lavega
72'
M
32
Pedro Rocha
1 ⚽
62'
F
Pedro Rocha
1 ⚽
62'
F
Bench
28
Fabinho
26'
F
Fabinho
26'
F
6
Felipe Jonatan
D
Felipe Jonatan
D
88
Fernando Sobral
14'
M
Fernando Sobral
14'
M
16
João Almeida
D
João Almeida
D
13
Keiller
G
Keiller
G
86
Lucas Taverna
14'
D
Lucas Taverna
14'
D
3
Maicon
D
Maicon
D
18
Paulo Roberto
1 ⚽
36'
M
Paulo Roberto
1 ⚽
36'
M
78
Renato Marques
F
Renato Marques
F
4
Rodrigo Moledo
D
Rodrigo Moledo
D
99
Rodrigo Rodrigues
F
Rodrigo Rodrigues
F
50
Tissi
36'
M
Tissi
36'
M
51
Kauê Camargo
G
Kauê Camargo
G
26
F. Angileri
D
F. Angileri
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
20
P. Milans
45'
D
P. Milans
45'
D
29
Allan
1 👟
M
Allan
1 👟
M
14
Raniele
1 ⚽
M
Raniele
1 ⚽
M
19
A. Carrillo
72'
M
A. Carrillo
72'
M
7
Breno
71'
M
Breno
71'
M
37
Kaio César
82'
M
Kaio César
82'
M
18
Pedro Raul
45'
F
Pedro Raul
45'
F
Bench
80
Alex Santana
M
Alex Santana
M
35
Charles
M
Charles
M
61
Dieguinho
26'
M
Dieguinho
26'
M
40
Felipe Longo
G
Felipe Longo
G
56
Guilherme Inácio
27'
F
Guilherme Inácio
27'
F
46
Hugo
D
Hugo
D
55
I. Machado
D
I. Machado
D
77
J. Lingard
16'
M
J. Lingard
16'
M
4
João Pedro
D
João Pedro
D
54
Luiz Gustavo Bahia
M
Luiz Gustavo Bahia
M
23
Matheus Pereira
53'
M
Matheus Pereira
53'
M
10
M. Depay
53'
F
M. Depay
53'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Gómez
M · Coritiba
7.70
· 25 pass
Pedro Rocha
F · Coritiba
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
João Pedro Chermont
D · Coritiba
7.60
2 👟
1 shots
· 23 pass
Allan
M · Corinthians
7.50
1 👟
· 96 pass
Paulo Roberto
M · Coritiba
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Jacy
D · Coritiba
7.20
· 30 pass
Coritiba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Luccas | G | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacy | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| João Pedro Chermont | D | 84 | 7.60 | — | 2 | 1 | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Gómez | M | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| Thiago Santos | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Breno Lopes | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Josué | M | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 56 | 49% | — | — | — |
| J. Lavega | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 62 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Sobral | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Taverna | D | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulo Roberto | M | 36 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Tissi | M | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauê Camargo | G | 98 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | — | — | — |
| F. Angileri | D | 98 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 64% | — | — | — |
| P. Milans | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 98 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 96 | 90% | 2 | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 98 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Carrillo | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Breno | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kaio César | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Raul | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Inácio | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Lingard | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 53 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Depay | F | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Corinthians?
The final score was Coritiba 2–1 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Coritiba win, 33% to a draw, and 34% to an Corinthians win.