90'+2
(ast. Francis Amuzu)
Martin Braithwaite
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coritiba a 39% win probability (draw 23%, Gremio 37%). The final result was Coritiba 0–1 Gremio. In 1 previous meetings, Coritiba have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gremio.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
6
1.21
Actual xG
1.87
5
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
5
Corners
10
15
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
6'
João Pedro
/
Diego Caito Barcellos Oliveira dos Santos
Tinga
40'
59'
José Enamorado
/
Cristian Pavón
59'
Filip Krovinović
/
Fabián Balbuena
Pedro Rocha
/ Breno Lopes
60'
Tinga
/ Fabricio Bustos
69'
Sebastián Gómez
/ Richard
69'
Joaquin Lavega
/ Brian Ocampo
76'
Nicolas Fonseca
/ Vitor Gonçalves Tissi
77'
82'
Martin Braithwaite
/
Erick Noriega
82'
Caio Paulista
/
Marlon
90'+2
ast. Francis Amuzu ·
Martin Braithwaite⚽
Pre-match prediction
39.18%
Coritiba
23.06%
X
37.76%
Gremio ←
we assigned to the actual result (Gremio)
37.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.65
1.21
-0.44
1.76
1.87
+0.11
Gremio dominated by xG (1.87 vs 1.21).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Pedro Luccas
G
Pedro Luccas
G
26
Bruno Melo
D
Bruno Melo
D
55
Jacy
D
Jacy
D
23
Tiago Cóser
D
Tiago Cóser
D
2
Tinga
69'
D
Tinga
69'
D
19
S. Gómez
69'
M
S. Gómez
69'
M
5
N. Fonseca
77'
M
N. Fonseca
77'
M
32
Pedro Rocha
60'
M
Pedro Rocha
60'
M
10
Josué
M
Josué
M
7
J. Lavega
76'
M
J. Lavega
76'
M
18
Paulo Roberto
F
Paulo Roberto
F
Bench
17
B. Ocampo
14'
F
B. Ocampo
14'
F
77
Breno Lopes
30'
F
Breno Lopes
30'
F
28
Fabinho
F
Fabinho
F
14
F. Bustos
21'
D
F. Bustos
21'
D
6
Felipe Jonatan
D
Felipe Jonatan
D
13
Keiller
G
Keiller
G
3
Maicon
D
Maicon
D
25
Richard
21'
M
Richard
21'
M
4
Rodrigo Moledo
D
Rodrigo Moledo
D
99
Rodrigo Rodrigues
F
Rodrigo Rodrigues
F
50
Tissi
13'
M
Tissi
13'
M
36
Vini Paulista
F
Vini Paulista
F
1
Weverton
G
Weverton
G
82
Wallace
D
Wallace
D
2
Fabián Balbuena
59'
D
Fabián Balbuena
59'
D
6
Gustavo Martins
D
Gustavo Martins
D
23
Marlon
82'
M
Marlon
82'
M
20
Mathias Villasanti
M
Mathias Villasanti
M
8
Erick Noriega
82'
M
Erick Noriega
82'
M
27
Diego Caito
6'
M
Diego Caito
6'
M
9
Francis Amuzu
1 👟
F
Francis Amuzu
1 👟
F
95
Carlos Vinícius
F
Carlos Vinícius
F
7
C. Pavón
59'
F
C. Pavón
59'
F
Bench
38
Caio Paulista
8'
D
Caio Paulista
8'
D
17
Dodi
M
Dodi
M
10
Filip Krovinović
31'
M
Filip Krovinović
31'
M
12
Gabriel Grando
G
Gabriel Grando
G
18
João Pedro
84'
D
João Pedro
84'
D
99
José Enamorado
31'
F
José Enamorado
31'
F
14
Marcos Rocha
D
Marcos Rocha
D
22
Martin Braithwaite
1 ⚽
8'
F
Martin Braithwaite
1 ⚽
8'
F
30
Matheus Nascimento
F
Matheus Nascimento
F
11
Tetê
F
Tetê
F
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
50
Zortéa
M
Zortéa
M
Best on the pitch
Martin Braithwaite
F · Gremio
7.74
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Wallace
D · Gremio
7.62
2 shots
· 55 pass
C. Pavón
F · Gremio
7.50
1 shots
· 18 pass
João Pedro
D · Gremio
7.44
1 shots
· 35 pass
Francis Amuzu
F · Gremio
7.37
1 👟
5 shots
· 27 pass
Marlon
M · Gremio
7.29
· 45 pass
Coritiba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Luccas | G | 90 | 7.29 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Jacy | D | 90 | 7.15 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Tinga | D | 69 | 5.77 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Gómez | M | 69 | 6.47 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Fonseca | M | 77 | 6.83 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | M | 60 | 6.75 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Josué | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lavega | M | 76 | 6.39 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Paulo Roberto | F | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Ocampo | F | 14 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Breno Lopes | F | 30 | 6.29 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Bustos | D | 21 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Richard | M | 21 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Tissi | M | 13 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weverton | G | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Wallace | D | 90 | 7.62 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabián Balbuena | D | 59 | 7.06 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 90 | 7.19 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| Marlon | M | 82 | 7.29 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| Mathias Villasanti | M | 90 | 6.78 | — | — | 0 | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 82 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Diego Caito | M | 6 | 6.78 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Francis Amuzu | F | 90 | 7.37 | — | 1 | 5 | 27 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Pavón | F | 59 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Caio Paulista | D | 8 | 7.04 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Filip Krovinović | M | 31 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| João Pedro | D | 84 | 7.44 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| José Enamorado | F | 31 | 6.71 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Martin Braithwaite | F | 8 | 7.74 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Gremio?
The final score was Coritiba 0–1 Gremio.
What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Gremio?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Coritiba win, 23% to a draw, and 37% to an Gremio win.