Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 15
May 09, 2026 21:00
J. Lavega
(ast. Josue)
28'
Rodrigo Moledo
(ast. Tinga)
84'
69'
R. Borre
90'+6
F. Torres
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Internacional a 41% win probability (draw 27%, Coritiba 31%). The final result was Coritiba 2–2 Internacional.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
15
3
Shots on target
4
0.42
Actual xG
3.15
2
Saves
1
36%
Possession
64%
3
Corners
8
18
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Lucas Ronier
17'
⚽J. Lavega
· ast. Josue
28'
29'
S. Rochet
45'
F. Torres
46'
Vitinho
/
Allex
62'
R. Borre
/
Matheus Bahia
Vini Paulista
/ Wallisson
64'
J. Lavega
/ Rodrigo Moledo
64'
Fernando Seabra
68'
69'
R. Borre⚽
Josue
/ Gustavo
75'
Pedro Rocha
/ Renato Marques
81'
Felipe Jonatan
/ Fernando Sobral
81'
81'
Bruno Tabata
/
Alerrandro
81'
Alan Patrick
/
J. Carbonero
81'
Thiago Maia
/
Bruno Henrique
83'
Victor Gabriel
⚽Rodrigo Moledo
· ast. Tinga
84'
90'+6
F. Torres⚽
Pre-match prediction
31.16%
Coritiba
27.42%
X ←
41.42%
Internacional
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.04
0.42
-0.62
1.39
3.15
+1.76
Internacional dominated by xG (3.15 vs 0.42).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Pedro Rangel
G
Pedro Rangel
G
6
Felipe Jonatan
81'
D
Felipe Jonatan
81'
D
26
Bruno Melo
D
Bruno Melo
D
55
Jacy
D
Jacy
D
2
Tinga
1 👟
D
Tinga
1 👟
D
36
Vini Paulista
64'
M
Vini Paulista
64'
M
19
Sebastian Gomez
M
Sebastian Gomez
M
7
J. Lavega
1 ⚽
64'
M
J. Lavega
1 ⚽
64'
M
10
Josué
1 👟
75'
M
Josué
1 👟
75'
M
11
Lucas Ronier
M
Lucas Ronier
M
32
Pedro Rocha
80'
F
Pedro Rocha
80'
F
Bench
67
Benassi
G
Benassi
G
33
David Alves França
F
David Alves França
F
14
Enzo
F
Enzo
F
88
Fernando Sobral
9'
M
Fernando Sobral
9'
M
87
Gabriel Leite
G
Gabriel Leite
G
39
Gustavo
15'
M
Gustavo
15'
M
44
João Pedro Chermont
D
João Pedro Chermont
D
86
Lucas Taverna
D
Lucas Taverna
D
78
Renato Marques
10'
F
Renato Marques
10'
F
4
Rodrigo Moledo
1 ⚽
26'
D
Rodrigo Moledo
1 ⚽
26'
D
8
Wallisson Luiz
26'
M
Wallisson Luiz
26'
M
29
Willian Oliveira
M
Willian Oliveira
M
1
Sergio Rochet
G
Sergio Rochet
G
6
Matheus Bahia
61'
D
Matheus Bahia
61'
D
41
Victor Gabriel
D
Victor Gabriel
D
4
F. Torres
1 ⚽
D
F. Torres
1 ⚽
D
15
Bruno Gomes
D
Bruno Gomes
D
31
Allex
45'
D
Allex
45'
D
26
A. Bernabéi
M
A. Bernabéi
M
5
Rodrigo Villagra
M
Rodrigo Villagra
M
8
Bruno Henrique
81'
M
Bruno Henrique
81'
M
7
J. Carbonero
81'
M
J. Carbonero
81'
M
9
Alerrandro
81'
F
Alerrandro
81'
F
Bench
10
Alan Patrick
9'
M
Alan Patrick
9'
M
14
Alan Rodríguez
M
Alan Rodríguez
M
12
Anthoni
G
Anthoni
G
35
Braian Aguirre
D
Braian Aguirre
D
17
Bruno Tabata
9'
F
Bruno Tabata
9'
F
18
Jose Juninho
D
Jose Juninho
D
11
Kayky
F
Kayky
F
19
Rafael Borré
1 ⚽
29'
F
Rafael Borré
1 ⚽
29'
F
16
Ronaldo
M
Ronaldo
M
29
Thiago Maia
9'
M
Thiago Maia
9'
M
28
Vitinho
45'
F
Vitinho
45'
F
Best on the pitch
Rafael Borré
F · Internacional
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
J. Lavega
M · Coritiba
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Rodrigo Moledo
D · Coritiba
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Rodrigo Villagra
M · Internacional
7.30
1 shots
· 72 pass
Tinga
D · Coritiba
7.30
1 👟
· 33 pass
F. Torres
D · Internacional
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 68 pass
Coritiba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Rangel | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Jonatan | D | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacy | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Tinga | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Sebastian Gomez | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Lavega | M | 64 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Josué | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Ronier | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Fernando Sobral | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Renato Marques | F | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Moledo | D | 26 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Wallisson Luiz | M | 26 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Internacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Rochet | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Matheus Bahia | D | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 68 | 55% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Torres | D | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 68 | 55% | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 74 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Allex | D | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Bernabéi | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Villagra | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | M | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| J. Carbonero | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Alerrandro | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Alan Patrick | M | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Tabata | F | 9 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Borré | F | 29 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Maia | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Internacional?
The final score was Coritiba 2–2 Internacional.
What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Internacional?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Coritiba win, 27% to a draw, and 41% to an Internacional win.