Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 19
July 23, 2026 00:30
Paulo Roberto
(ast. Josué)
68'
9'
(ast. Ramón Sosa)
Mauricio
19'
Mauricio
67'
(ast. Joaquín Piquerez)
Ramón Sosa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 44% win probability (draw 24%, Coritiba 31%). The final result was Coritiba 1–3 Palmeiras.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
6
0.66
Actual xG
0.71
3
Saves
5
51%
Possession
49%
8
Corners
4
18
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
ast. Ramón Sosa ·
Mauricio⚽
15'
Ramón Sosa
19'
Mauricio⚽
38'
Alexander Barboza
Thiago Santos
45'
Sebastian Gomez
/ Vini Paulista
46'
Joaquín Lavega
/ Lucas Ronier
59'
Renato Marques
/ Paulo Roberto
65'
Bruno Melo
/ Felipe Jonatan
65'
67'
ast. Joaquín Piquerez ·
Ramón Sosa⚽
⚽Paulo Roberto
· ast. Josué
68'
Thiago Santos
/ João Pedro Chermont
77'
Tinga
/ Brian Ocampo
77'
79'
Khellven
79'
Emiliano Martínez
/
Mauricio
80'
Riquelme Fillipi
/
Jhon Arias
90'
Lucas Evangelista
/
Andreas Pereira
90'
Heittor
/
Ramón Sosa
Pre-match prediction
31.0%
Coritiba
24.8%
X
44.2%
Palmeiras ←
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
44.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
0.66
-0.59
1.51
0.71
-0.8
xG dominance was balanced (0.66 – 0.71).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Pedro Rangel
G
Pedro Rangel
G
26
Bruno Melo
65'
D
Bruno Melo
65'
D
55
Jacy
D
Jacy
D
23
Tiago Cóser
D
Tiago Cóser
D
2
Tinga
77'
D
Tinga
77'
D
19
S. Gómez
45'
M
S. Gómez
45'
M
21
Thiago Santos
77'
M
Thiago Santos
77'
M
77
Breno Lopes
M
Breno Lopes
M
10
Josué
1 👟
M
Josué
1 👟
M
7
J. Lavega
59'
M
J. Lavega
59'
M
78
Renato Marques
65'
F
Renato Marques
65'
F
Bench
17
Brian Ocampo
13'
F
Brian Ocampo
13'
F
6
Felipe Jonatan
25'
D
Felipe Jonatan
25'
D
39
Gustavo
M
Gustavo
M
44
João Pedro Chermont
13'
D
João Pedro Chermont
13'
D
20
Keno
F
Keno
F
11
Lucas Ronier
31'
F
Lucas Ronier
31'
F
3
Maicon
D
Maicon
D
18
Paulo Roberto
1 ⚽
25'
M
Paulo Roberto
1 ⚽
25'
M
1
Pedro Luccas
G
Pedro Luccas
G
4
Rodrigo Moledo
D
Rodrigo Moledo
D
50
Tissi
M
Tissi
M
36
Vini Paulista
45'
F
Vini Paulista
45'
F
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
2
A. Barboza
D
A. Barboza
D
15
G. Gómez
D
G. Gómez
D
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
22
J. Piquerez
1 👟
M
J. Piquerez
1 👟
M
17
Marlon Freitas
M
Marlon Freitas
M
8
Andreas Pereira
89'
M
Andreas Pereira
89'
M
12
Khellven
M
Khellven
M
11
J. Arias
80'
F
J. Arias
80'
F
19
R. Sosa
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
F
R. Sosa
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
F
18
Maurício
2 ⚽
79'
F
Maurício
2 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
56
Arthur
D
Arthur
D
43
Benedetti
D
Benedetti
D
3
Bruno Fuchs
D
Bruno Fuchs
D
32
E. Martínez
11'
M
E. Martínez
11'
M
45
Erick Machado
M
Erick Machado
M
39
Heittor
1'
F
Heittor
1'
F
21
Kaique
G
Kaique
G
48
Larson
M
Larson
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
1'
M
Lucas Evangelista
1'
M
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
37
Riquelme Fillipi
10'
F
Riquelme Fillipi
10'
F
Best on the pitch
Josué
M · Coritiba
8.60
1 👟
4 shots
· 90 pass
Maurício
F · Palmeiras
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 40 pass
R. Sosa
F · Palmeiras
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 21 pass
Paulo Roberto
M · Coritiba
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Andreas Pereira
M · Palmeiras
7.50
1 shots
· 41 pass
Lucas Ronier
F · Coritiba
7.50
2 shots
· 33 pass
Coritiba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Rangel | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacy | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Tinga | D | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | — | — |
| S. Gómez | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Santos | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Breno Lopes | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Josué | M | 90 | 8.60 | — | 1 | 4 | 90 | 82% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lavega | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Renato Marques | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Brian Ocampo | F | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Jonatan | D | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| João Pedro Chermont | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ronier | F | 31 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Roberto | M | 25 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. Barboza | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 58 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Piquerez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Khellven | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Arias | F | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Sosa | F | 89 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Maurício | F | 79 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 4 | 40 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Heittor | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Fillipi | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Palmeiras?
The final score was Coritiba 1–3 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Coritiba win, 24% to a draw, and 44% to an Palmeiras win.