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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 19 July 23, 2026 00:30
Coritiba
#12 · 39 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Palmeiras
#2 · 70 pts
Paulo Roberto (ast. Josué) 68'
9' (ast. Ramón Sosa) Mauricio
19' Mauricio
67' (ast. Joaquín Piquerez) Ramón Sosa
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 44% win probability (draw 24%, Coritiba 31%). The final result was Coritiba 1–3 Palmeiras.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
6
0.66
Actual xG
0.71
3
Saves
5
51%
Possession
49%
8
Corners
4
18
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
ast. Ramón Sosa · Mauricio⚽
15'
Ramón Sosa
19'
Mauricio⚽
38'
Alexander Barboza
Thiago Santos
45'
↕ Sebastian Gomez / Vini Paulista
46'
↕ Joaquín Lavega / Lucas Ronier
59'
↕ Renato Marques / Paulo Roberto
65'
↕ Bruno Melo / Felipe Jonatan
65'
67'
ast. Joaquín Piquerez · Ramón Sosa⚽
⚽Paulo Roberto · ast. Josué
68'
↕ Thiago Santos / João Pedro Chermont
77'
↕ Tinga / Brian Ocampo
77'
79'
Khellven
79'
Emiliano Martínez / Mauricio ↕
80'
Riquelme Fillipi / Jhon Arias ↕
90'
Lucas Evangelista / Andreas Pereira ↕
90'
Heittor / Ramón Sosa ↕
Pre-match prediction
31.0%
Coritiba
24.8%
X
44.2%
Palmeiras ←
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras) 44.2% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Coritiba
1.25
0.66
-0.59
Palmeiras
1.51
0.71
-0.8
xG dominance was balanced (0.66 – 0.71). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Coritiba Coritiba 4-2-3-1
22 Pedro Rangel Pedro Rangel G 6.00
26 Bruno Melo Bruno Melo 65' D 6.30
55 Jacy Jacy D 6.90
23 Tiago Cóser Tiago Cóser D 5.90
2 Tinga Tinga 77' D 6.30
19 S. Gómez S. Gómez 45' M 6.30
21 Thiago Santos Thiago Santos 77' M 6.30
77 Breno Lopes Breno Lopes M 6.60
10 Josué Josué 1 👟 M 8.60
7 J. Lavega J. Lavega 59' M 6.30
78 Renato Marques Renato Marques 65' F 6.30
Bench
17 B. Ocampo B. Ocampo 13' F 6.90
6 Felipe Jonatan Felipe Jonatan 25' D 6.30
39 Gustavo Gustavo M
44 João Pedro Chermont João Pedro Chermont 13' D 6.70
20 Keno Keno F
11 Lucas Ronier Lucas Ronier 31' F 7.50
3 Maicon Maicon D
18 Paulo Roberto Paulo Roberto 1 ⚽ 25' M 7.70
1 Pedro Luccas Pedro Luccas G
4 Rodrigo Moledo Rodrigo Moledo D
50 Tissi Tissi M
36 Vini Paulista Vini Paulista 45' F 6.90
Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-4-1-2
1 Carlos Miguel Carlos Miguel G 7.50
2 A. Barboza A. Barboza D 6.20
15 G. Gómez G. Gómez D 7.30
26 Murilo Murilo D 7.00
22 J. Piquerez J. Piquerez 1 👟 M 6.60
17 Marlon Freitas Marlon Freitas M 7.30
8 Andreas Pereira Andreas Pereira 89' M 7.50
12 Khellven Khellven M 6.30
11 J. Arias J. Arias 80' F 6.70
19 R. Sosa R. Sosa 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' F 8.20
18 Maurício Maurício 2 ⚽ 79' F 8.50
Bench
56 Arthur Arthur D
43 Benedetti Benedetti D
3 Bruno Fuchs Bruno Fuchs D
32 E. Martínez E. Martínez 11' M 6.50
45 Erick Machado Erick Machado M
39 Heittor Heittor 1' F
21 Kaique Kaique G
48 Larson Larson M
30 Lucas Evangelista Lucas Evangelista 1' M
14 Marcelo Lomba Marcelo Lomba G
37 Riquelme Fillipi Riquelme Fillipi 10' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
Josué
Josué
M · Coritiba
8.60
1 👟
4 shots · 90 pass
Maurício
Maurício
F · Palmeiras
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots · 40 pass
R. Sosa
R. Sosa
F · Palmeiras
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 21 pass
Paulo Roberto
Paulo Roberto
M · Coritiba
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
Andreas Pereira
Andreas Pereira
M · Palmeiras
7.50
1 shots · 41 pass
Lucas Ronier
Lucas Ronier
F · Coritiba
7.50
2 shots · 33 pass
Coritiba Coritiba — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Pedro Rangel G 90 6.00 — — — 28 20% — — —
Bruno Melo D 65 6.30 — — 1 25 19% 1 — —
Jacy D 90 6.90 — — 1 37 35% 4 — —
Tiago Cóser D 90 5.90 — — — 33 30% 1 — —
Tinga D 77 6.30 — — — 40 33% — — —
S. Gómez M 45 6.30 — — — 9 9% 1 — —
Thiago Santos M 77 6.30 — — 1 21 19% 1 1 —
Breno Lopes M 90 6.60 — — — 27 22% — — —
Josué M 90 8.60 — 1 4 90 82% 1 — —
J. Lavega M 59 6.30 — — — 21 17% 2 — —
Renato Marques F 65 6.30 — — 1 13 12% 1 — —
B. Ocampo F 13 6.90 — — 2 7 7% 1 — —
Felipe Jonatan D 25 6.30 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
João Pedro Chermont D 13 6.70 — — — 10 10% — — —
Lucas Ronier F 31 7.50 — — 2 33 31% — — —
Paulo Roberto M 25 7.70 1 — 1 3 3% 2 — —
Vini Paulista F 45 6.90 — — 1 30 27% 2 — —
Palmeiras Palmeiras — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Carlos Miguel G 90 7.50 — — — 25 18% — — —
A. Barboza D 90 6.20 — — — 45 32% — 1 —
G. Gómez D 90 7.30 — — — 36 31% 2 — —
Murilo D 90 7.00 — — — 58 53% 1 — —
J. Piquerez M 90 6.60 — 1 — 34 29% 1 — —
Marlon Freitas M 90 7.30 — — 1 60 57% 3 — —
Andreas Pereira M 89 7.50 — — 1 41 39% 1 — —
Khellven M 90 6.30 — — 1 30 27% 1 1 —
J. Arias F 80 6.70 — — 1 39 36% 1 — —
R. Sosa F 89 8.20 1 1 2 21 15% — 1 —
Maurício F 79 8.50 2 — 4 40 37% 1 — —
E. Martínez M 11 6.50 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Heittor F 1 — — — — — — 1 — —
Lucas Evangelista M 1 — — — — 2 2% — — —
Riquelme Fillipi F 10 6.50 — — — 1 — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Palmeiras?
The final score was Coritiba 1–3 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Coritiba win, 24% to a draw, and 44% to an Palmeiras win.