Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 9
April 02, 2026 03:30
A. Saldivia
90'
(og)
24'
(ast. Paulo Henrique)
Tche Tche
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coritiba a 34% win probability (draw 30%, Vasco DA Gama 34%). The final result was Coritiba 1–1 Vasco DA Gama.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
2
1.49
Actual xG
0.49
1
Saves
4
65%
Possession
35%
3
Corners
4
11
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
24'
ast. Paulo Henrique ·
Tche Tche⚽
Willian Oliveira
/ Vini Paulista
46'
Joaquín Lavega
62'
62'
Cauan Barros
/
Hugo Moura
62'
Brenner
/
David
J. Lavega
/ Keno
63'
Vini Paulista
69'
72'
Matheus Franca
/
N. Moreira
Bruno Melo
/ Felipe Jonatan
77'
Tinga
/ Joao Pedro Chermont
77'
S. Gomez
/ Fabinho
78'
85'
Riquelme Avellar
/
Lucas Piton
85'
Joao Vitor
/
M. Hinestroza
90'+3
Paulo Henrique
⚽A. Saldivia
(og)
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.76%
Coritiba
30.28%
X ←
34.96%
Vasco
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.08
1.49
+0.41
1.30
0.49
-0.81
Coritiba dominated by xG (1.49 vs 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Pedro Rangel
G
Pedro Rangel
G
26
Bruno Melo
77'
D
Bruno Melo
77'
D
55
Jacy
D
Jacy
D
23
Tiago Cóser
D
Tiago Cóser
D
2
Tinga
77'
D
Tinga
77'
D
29
Willian Oliveira
45'
M
Willian Oliveira
45'
M
7
J. Lavega
63'
M
J. Lavega
63'
M
19
Sebastian Gomez
78'
M
Sebastian Gomez
78'
M
10
Josué
M
Josué
M
11
Lucas Ronier
M
Lucas Ronier
M
32
Pedro Rocha
F
Pedro Rocha
F
Bench
6
Felipe Jonatan
13'
D
Felipe Jonatan
13'
D
44
João Pedro Chermont
13'
D
João Pedro Chermont
13'
D
78
Renato Marques
F
Renato Marques
F
21
Thiago Santos
M
Thiago Santos
M
36
Vini Paulista
45'
F
Vini Paulista
45'
F
1
Léo Jardim
G
Léo Jardim
G
6
Lucas Piton
85'
D
Lucas Piton
85'
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
4
Alan Saldivia
1 ⚽
D
Alan Saldivia
1 ⚽
D
96
Paulo Henrique
1 👟
D
Paulo Henrique
1 👟
D
25
Hugo Moura
62'
M
Hugo Moura
62'
M
3
Tchê Tchê
1 ⚽
M
Tchê Tchê
1 ⚽
M
17
Nuno Moreira
72'
M
Nuno Moreira
72'
M
23
Thiago Mendes
M
Thiago Mendes
M
18
Marino Hinestroza
85'
M
Marino Hinestroza
85'
M
7
David
62'
F
David
62'
F
Bench
28
Adson
F
Adson
F
20
Brenner
28'
F
Brenner
28'
F
88
Cauan Barros
28'
M
Cauan Barros
28'
M
46
C. Cuesta
D
C. Cuesta
D
10
Johan Rojas
F
Johan Rojas
F
98
JP
M
JP
M
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
9
Matheus França
18'
F
Matheus França
18'
F
82
Riquelme Avellar
15'
D
Riquelme Avellar
15'
D
Best on the pitch
Josué
M · Coritiba
7.90
1 shots
· 90 pass
Tchê Tchê
M · Vasco
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
Jacy
D · Coritiba
7.30
1 shots
· 75 pass
Marino Hinestroza
M · Vasco
7.20
2 shots
· 19 pass
Lucas Ronier
M · Coritiba
7.20
4 shots
· 52 pass
Thiago Mendes
M · Vasco
7.00
1 shots
· 25 pass
Coritiba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Rangel | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 56 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacy | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 86 | 79% | — | — | — |
| Tinga | D | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Willian Oliveira | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Lavega | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sebastian Gomez | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Josué | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 90 | 81% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Ronier | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 52 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Jonatan | D | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| João Pedro Chermont | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Alan Saldivia | D | 90 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 45 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Hugo Moura | M | 62 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Tchê Tchê | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Marino Hinestroza | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| David | F | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Brenner | F | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Matheus França | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Avellar | D | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Vasco DA Gama?
The final score was Coritiba 1–1 Vasco DA Gama.
What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Coritiba win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Vasco DA Gama win.