Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 33
October 31, 2026 20:00
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
✗Model wrong — prediction Vitoria, result Coritiba wins
Pedro Rocha
58'
Tinga
(ast. Tiago Coser)
69'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vitoria a 54% win probability (draw 20%, Coritiba 25%). The final result was Coritiba 2–0 Vitoria. In 1 previous meetings, Coritiba have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vitoria.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
1
2.16
Actual xG
0.52
1
Saves
5
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
4
12
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Pedro Rocha
58'
62'
E. Britez
67'
Matheuzinho
/
E. Britez
68'
Baralhas
/
Caique Goncalves
68'
Renato Kayzer
/
Ze Vitor
⚽Tinga
· ast. Tiago Coser
69'
S. Gomez
/ Vini Paulista
80'
Pedro Rocha
/ J. Lavega
80'
N. Fonseca
/ Tissi
85'
Bruno Melo
/ Rodrigo Gelado
85'
87'
Alex Bruno
/
Rene
87'
Lucas Silva
/
Emmanuel Martinez
Josue
/ Rodrigo Moledo
89'
Tissi
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
25.25%
Coritiba ←
20.23%
X
54.52%
Vitoria
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Coritiba)
25.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.12
2.16
+1.04
2.20
0.52
-1.68
Coritiba dominated by xG (2.16 vs 0.52).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Pedro Morisco
G
Pedro Morisco
G
26
Bruno Melo
85'
D
Bruno Melo
85'
D
55
Jacy Maranhão
D
Jacy Maranhão
D
23
Tiago Cóser
1 👟
D
Tiago Cóser
1 👟
D
2
Tinga
1 ⚽
D
Tinga
1 ⚽
D
19
Sebastián Gómez
80'
M
Sebastián Gómez
80'
M
21
Thiago Santos
M
Thiago Santos
M
32
Pedro Rocha
1 ⚽
80'
M
Pedro Rocha
1 ⚽
80'
M
5
Nicolas Fonseca
85'
M
Nicolas Fonseca
85'
M
77
Breno Lopes
M
Breno Lopes
M
10
Josué
89'
F
Josué
89'
F
Bench
17
Brian Ocampo
F
Brian Ocampo
F
14
Fabricio Bustos
D
Fabricio Bustos
D
7
Joaquín Lavega
13'
F
Joaquín Lavega
13'
F
3
Maicon
D
Maicon
D
18
Paulo Roberto
M
Paulo Roberto
M
22
Pedro Rangel
G
Pedro Rangel
G
25
Richard
M
Richard
M
66
Rodrigo Gelado
8'
D
Rodrigo Gelado
8'
D
4
Rodrigo Moledo
4'
D
Rodrigo Moledo
4'
D
99
Rodrigo Rodrigues
F
Rodrigo Rodrigues
F
36
Vini Paulista
13'
F
Vini Paulista
13'
F
50
Vitor Gonçalves Tissi
8'
M
Vitor Gonçalves Tissi
8'
M
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
Lucas Arcanjo
G
2
Emanuel Brítez
67'
D
Emanuel Brítez
67'
D
25
Cacá
D
Cacá
D
26
Edenilson
D
Edenilson
D
59
Gean de Jesus Soares
D
Gean de Jesus Soares
D
95
Caíque
68'
M
Caíque
68'
M
12
D. Tarzia
87'
M
D. Tarzia
87'
M
6
E. Martínez
M
E. Martínez
M
88
Zé Vitor
68'
M
Zé Vitor
68'
M
33
Erick
M
Erick
M
91
Rene
87'
F
Rene
87'
F
Bench
9
Alex Bruno
6'
F
Alex Bruno
6'
F
3
Darlan
D
Darlan
D
23
Fabrício Santos
F
Fabrício Santos
F
44
Gabriel Baralhas
25'
M
Gabriel Baralhas
25'
M
77
Ignacio Laquintana
M
Ignacio Laquintana
M
20
Lucas Silva
6'
F
Lucas Silva
6'
F
10
Matheuzinho
26'
M
Matheuzinho
26'
M
79
Renato Kayzer
25'
F
Renato Kayzer
25'
F
16
Rúben Ramos Ismael
M
Rúben Ramos Ismael
M
8
Tomás Pochettino
M
Tomás Pochettino
M
69
Wanderson Estrela Oliveira
D
Wanderson Estrela Oliveira
D
71
Yuri Sena
G
Yuri Sena
G
Best on the pitch
Tiago Cóser
D · Coritiba
8.20
1 👟
· 35 pass
Tinga
D · Coritiba
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 38 pass
Gean de Jesus Soares
D · Vitoria
7.70
· 38 pass
Breno Lopes
M · Coritiba
7.70
1 shots
· 45 pass
Josué
F · Coritiba
7.50
1 shots
· 68 pass
Lucas Arcanjo
G · Vitoria
7.30
· 24 pass
Coritiba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Morisco | G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Jacy Maranhão | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 93 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Tinga | D | 93 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 38 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Gómez | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Thiago Santos | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | M | 80 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Fonseca | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Breno Lopes | M | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Josué | F | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquín Lavega | F | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Gelado | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Moledo | D | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Vitor Gonçalves Tissi | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo | G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Brítez | D | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cacá | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Gean de Jesus Soares | D | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Caíque | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| D. Tarzia | M | 87 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Erick | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Rene | F | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Alex Bruno | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Baralhas | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | F | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | M | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Renato Kayzer | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Vitoria?
The final score was Coritiba 2–0 Vitoria.
What did the model predict before Coritiba vs Vitoria?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Coritiba win, 20% to a draw, and 54% to an Vitoria win.