Covadonga - Valladolid
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.1%
Win
Covadonga
29.55%
Draw
42.35%
Win
Valladolid
1.46
1.82
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.65%)
1X2 Result
1
28%
X
30%
2
42%
Double Chance
1X
58%
X2
72%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Valladolid a 42% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Covadonga. Expected goals are 1.5 for Covadonga and 1.8 for Valladolid (total 3.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.65% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Covadonga
Valladolid →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Playing profile
Covadonga
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Valladolid
Attack
45
Defence
62
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Covadonga vs Valladolid?
The model gives Covadonga a 28% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 42% for an Valladolid win.
How many goals are expected in Covadonga vs Valladolid?
Expected goals: Covadonga 1.5, Valladolid 1.8 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Covadonga vs Valladolid?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.65%.