EFL Cup
· Round of 32
September 16, 2026 21:00
Victor Torp
27'
7'
(ast. George Hemmings)
Tammy Abraham
40'
(ast. Ibrahim Mbaye)
Ross Barkley
59'
(ast. Ross Barkley)
Tammy Abraham
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coventry a 46% win probability (draw 24%, Aston Villa 28%). The final result was Coventry 1–3 Aston Villa.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
18
5
Shots on target
9
6
Saves
4
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
9
19
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
7'
ast. George Hemmings ·
Tammy Abraham⚽
Aurele Amenda
/ Ethan Pinnock
12'
Stephen Mfuni
23'
26'
Ross Barkley
⚽Victor Torp
27'
40'
ast. Ibrahim Mbaye ·
Ross Barkley⚽
43'
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
45'
Zion Suzuki
/
Marco Bizot
Caleb Yirenkyi
46'
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
/ Loum Tchaouna
57'
Sidiki Cherif
/ Ellis Simms
58'
59'
ast. Ross Barkley ·
Tammy Abraham⚽
64'
Johan Manzambi
/
John McGinn
64'
Emiliano Buendía
/
Ibrahim Mbaye
69'
Nicolas Jackson
/
Tammy Abraham
Caleb Yirenkyi
/ Frank Onyeka
73'
Stephen Mfuni
/ Jake Bidwell
73'
79'
Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
/
George Hemmings
Frank Onyeka
87'
90'
Emiliano Buendía
Pre-match prediction
46.55%
Coventry
24.64%
X
28.81%
Aston ←
we assigned to the actual result (Aston Villa)
28.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.78
—
—
1.45
—
—
Lineups
25
D. Bentley
G
D. Bentley
G
12
S. Mfuni
73'
D
S. Mfuni
73'
D
24
A. Amenda
12'
D
A. Amenda
12'
D
4
B. Thomas
D
B. Thomas
D
22
J. Latibeaudiere
D
J. Latibeaudiere
D
29
V. Torp
1 ⚽
M
V. Torp
1 ⚽
M
8
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
73'
M
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
73'
M
34
Y. Gboho
M
Y. Gboho
M
38
G. Hamer
M
G. Hamer
M
7
T. Sakamoto
57'
M
T. Sakamoto
57'
M
49
S. Cherif
58'
F
S. Cherif
58'
F
Bench
23
B. Thomas-Asante
F
B. Thomas-Asante
F
13
B. Wilson
G
B. Wilson
G
10
E. Mason-Clark
M
E. Mason-Clark
M
2
E. Pinnock
78'
D
E. Pinnock
78'
D
9
E. Simms
32'
F
E. Simms
32'
F
16
F. Onyeka
17'
M
F. Onyeka
17'
M
21
J. Bidwell
17'
D
J. Bidwell
17'
D
17
L. Tchaouna
33'
F
L. Tchaouna
33'
F
6
M. Grimes
M
M. Grimes
M
40
M. Bizot
45'
G
M. Bizot
45'
G
13
M. Ruggeri
D
M. Ruggeri
D
5
T. Mings
D
T. Mings
D
4
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
29
A. Wan-Bissaka
D
A. Wan-Bissaka
D
6
R. Barkley
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
R. Barkley
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
26
L. Bogarde
M
L. Bogarde
M
53
George Hemmings
1 👟
79'
M
George Hemmings
1 👟
79'
M
7
J. McGinn
64'
M
J. McGinn
64'
M
19
I. Mbaye
1 👟
64'
M
I. Mbaye
1 👟
64'
M
18
T. Abraham
2 ⚽
69'
F
T. Abraham
2 ⚽
69'
F
Bench
17
A. Garnacho
F
A. Garnacho
F
47
Alysson Edward
11'
F
Alysson Edward
11'
F
8
B. Kamara
M
B. Kamara
M
10
E. Buendía
26'
M
E. Buendía
26'
M
44
J. Manzambi
26'
M
J. Manzambi
26'
M
2
M. Cash
D
M. Cash
D
11
N. Jackson
21'
F
N. Jackson
21'
F
3
V. Lindelöf
D
V. Lindelöf
D
1
Z. Suzuki
45'
G
Z. Suzuki
45'
G
Best on the pitch
R. Barkley
M · Aston
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 70 pass
T. Abraham
F · Aston
8.85
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
V. Torp
M · Coventry
8.02
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 48 pass
I. Mbaye
M · Aston
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 27 pass
George Hemmings
M · Aston
7.33
1 👟
2 shots
· 15 pass
M. Ruggeri
D · Aston
7.17
1 shots
· 46 pass
Coventry — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bentley | G | 90 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Mfuni | D | 73 | 5.46 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 17% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. Amenda | D | 12 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Thomas | D | 90 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 64 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Latibeaudiere | D | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Torp | M | 90 | 8.02 | 1 | — | 5 | 48 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi | M | 73 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Y. Gboho | M | 90 | 5.58 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Hamer | M | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Sakamoto | M | 57 | 5.96 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Cherif | F | 58 | 6.58 | — | — | 4 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Pinnock | D | 78 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Simms | F | 32 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Onyeka | M | 17 | 5.58 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 16% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Bidwell | D | 17 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Tchaouna | F | 33 | 6.71 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Aston Villa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bizot | G | 45 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ruggeri | D | 90 | 7.17 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 42% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Mings | D | 90 | 6.78 | — | — | 0 | 61 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Harwood-Bellis | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 65% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Wan-Bissaka | D | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 42% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Barkley | M | 90 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 70 | 65% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Bogarde | M | 90 | 6.83 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| George Hemmings | M | 79 | 7.33 | — | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| J. McGinn | M | 64 | 7.01 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Mbaye | M | 64 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Abraham | F | 69 | 8.85 | 2 | — | 3 | 11 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Alysson Edward | F | 11 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Buendía | M | 26 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 26 | 6.93 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Jackson | F | 21 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Z. Suzuki | G | 45 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coventry vs Aston Villa?
The final score was Coventry 1–3 Aston Villa.
What did the model predict before Coventry vs Aston Villa?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Coventry win, 24% to a draw, and 28% to an Aston Villa win.