Premier League
· Regular Season - 8
October 24, 2026 16:00
Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
80'
(ast. Josh King)
Oscar Bobb
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fulham a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Coventry 32%). The final result was Coventry 0–1 Fulham.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
3
0.58
Actual xG
0.61
2
Saves
2
36%
Possession
64%
4
Corners
6
9
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
36'
Shea Charles
Bobby Thomas
/ Stephen Mfuni
60'
63'
Sander Berge
/
Hugo Larsson
Caleb Yirenkyi
/ Frank Onyeka
67'
Sidiki Cherif
/ Taiwo Awoniyi
67'
Brandon Thomas-Asante
/ Ephron Mason-Clark
67'
74'
Rodrigo Muniz
/
Gonzalo García
74'
Cesar Palacios Perez
/
Alex Iwobi
80'
ast. Josh King ·
Oscar Bobb⚽
81'
Kenny Tete
/
Oscar Bobb
81'
Tom Cairney
/
Josh King
82'
Antonee Robinson
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
/ Gustavo Hamer
86'
Pre-match prediction
32.9%
Coventry
30.77%
X
36.33%
Fulham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Fulham)
36.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
0.58
-0.38
1.11
0.61
-0.5
xG dominance was balanced (0.58 – 0.61).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
19
C. Rushworth
G
C. Rushworth
G
3
J. Dasilva
D
J. Dasilva
D
2
E. Pinnock
D
E. Pinnock
D
4
B. Thomas
60'
D
B. Thomas
60'
D
27
M. van Ewijk
D
M. van Ewijk
D
8
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
67'
M
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
67'
M
6
M. Grimes
M
M. Grimes
M
23
B. Thomas-Asante
67'
M
B. Thomas-Asante
67'
M
5
J. Rudoni
M
J. Rudoni
M
7
T. Sakamoto
86'
M
T. Sakamoto
86'
M
49
S. Cherif
67'
F
S. Cherif
67'
F
Bench
25
D. Bentley
G
D. Bentley
G
10
E. Mason-Clark
23'
M
E. Mason-Clark
23'
M
16
F. Onyeka
23'
M
F. Onyeka
23'
M
38
G. Hamer
4'
M
G. Hamer
4'
M
20
K. Kesler-Hayden
D
K. Kesler-Hayden
D
12
S. Mfuni
30'
D
S. Mfuni
30'
D
14
T. Awoniyi
23'
F
T. Awoniyi
23'
F
29
V. Torp
M
V. Torp
M
34
Y. Gboho
F
Y. Gboho
F
1
B. Leno
G
B. Leno
G
33
A. Robinson
D
A. Robinson
D
3
C. Bassey
D
C. Bassey
D
22
D. Affengruber
D
D. Affengruber
D
21
T. Castagne
D
T. Castagne
D
19
S. Charles
M
S. Charles
M
15
H. Larsson
63'
M
H. Larsson
63'
M
17
A. Iwobi
74'
M
A. Iwobi
74'
M
24
Joshua King
1 👟
81'
M
Joshua King
1 👟
81'
M
14
Oscar Bobb
1 ⚽
81'
M
Oscar Bobb
1 ⚽
81'
M
7
Gonzalo García
74'
F
Gonzalo García
74'
F
Bench
23
B. Lecomte
G
B. Lecomte
G
8
César Palacios
16'
M
César Palacios
16'
M
5
J. Andersen
D
J. Andersen
D
11
Kevin
F
Kevin
F
2
K. Tete
9'
D
K. Tete
9'
D
20
Manuel Ángel
M
Manuel Ángel
M
9
Rodrigo Muniz
16'
F
Rodrigo Muniz
16'
F
16
S. Berge
27'
M
S. Berge
27'
M
10
T. Cairney
9'
M
T. Cairney
9'
M
Best on the pitch
Oscar Bobb
M · Fulham
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
Joshua King
M · Fulham
7.70
1 👟
4 shots
· 38 pass
B. Leno
G · Fulham
7.27
· 36 pass
S. Berge
M · Fulham
7.20
· 35 pass
C. Bassey
D · Fulham
7.14
1 shots
· 95 pass
S. Charles
M · Fulham
7.06
1 shots
· 77 pass
Coventry — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rushworth | G | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Dasilva | D | 90 | 6.78 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Pinnock | D | 90 | 6.97 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Thomas | D | 60 | 6.57 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| M. van Ewijk | D | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi | M | 67 | 5.84 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Grimes | M | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 51% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Thomas-Asante | M | 67 | 5.91 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Rudoni | M | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Sakamoto | M | 86 | 6.24 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Cherif | F | 67 | 6.66 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Mason-Clark | M | 23 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Onyeka | M | 23 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Hamer | M | 4 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Mfuni | D | 30 | 5.98 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Awoniyi | F | 23 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Fulham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Leno | G | 90 | 7.27 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Robinson | D | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Bassey | D | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 1 | 95 | 87% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Affengruber | D | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 98 | 93% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Castagne | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 47% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Charles | M | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 71% | 2 | 1 | — |
| H. Larsson | M | 63 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Iwobi | M | 74 | 6.69 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Joshua King | M | 81 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 4 | 38 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 81 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| Gonzalo García | F | 74 | 6.38 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| César Palacios | M | 16 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Tete | D | 9 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Muniz | F | 16 | 6.75 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Berge | M | 27 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Cairney | M | 9 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coventry vs Fulham?
The final score was Coventry 0–1 Fulham.
What did the model predict before Coventry vs Fulham?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Coventry win, 30% to a draw, and 36% to an Fulham win.