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Championship · Regular Season - 45 April 26, 2026 13:00
Coventry
3 – 1
Final score
Wrexham
#17 · 14 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Coventry
B. Thomas-Asante (ast. E. Mason-Clark) 19'
V. Torp 80'
E. Mason-Clark 90'+4
25' (ast. I. Kabore) O. Rathbone
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coventry a 69% win probability (draw 16%, Wrexham 13%). The final result was Coventry 3–1 Wrexham. In 1 previous meetings, Coventry have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Wrexham.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
2
1.19
Actual xG
1.06
1
Saves
3
61%
Possession
39%
4
Corners
4
15
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽B. Thomas-Asante · ast. E. Mason-Clark
19'
25'
ast. I. Kabore · O. Rathbone⚽
F. Onyeka
29'
40'
M. James
J. Eccles
50'
53'
O. Rathbone
60'
L. O'Brien / O. Rathbone ↕
↕ H. Wright / E. Simms
71'
↕ J. Eccles / V. Torp
71'
71'
N. Broadhead / J. Windass ↕
72'
K. Moore / S. Smith ↕
⚽V. Torp
80'
↕ B. Thomas-Asante / R. Esse
81'
↕ M. Grimes / J. Allen
87'
⚽E. Mason-Clark
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
69.49%
Coventry ←
16.77%
X
13.74%
Wrexham
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Coventry) 69.49% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Coventry
2.62
1.19
-1.43
Wrexham
0.76
1.06
+0.3
xG dominance was balanced (1.19 – 1.06). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Coventry Coventry 4-2-3-1
19
G 6.60
3 J. Dasilva J. Dasilva D 7.20
15
D 6.20
4 B. Thomas B. Thomas D 7.30
27 M. van Ewijk M. van Ewijk D 6.60
6 M. Grimes M. Grimes 87' M 7.30
16 F. Onyeka F. Onyeka M 7.90
10 E. Mason-Clark E. Mason-Clark 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.70
28 Josh Eccles Josh Eccles 71' M 6.70
23 B. Thomas-Asante B. Thomas-Asante 1 ⚽ 82' M 8.30
11 Haji Wright Haji Wright 71' F 7.00
Bench
9 E. Simms E. Simms 25' F 6.60
22 J. Latibeaudiere J. Latibeaudiere D
20 K. Kesler-Hayden K. Kesler-Hayden D
14 R. Esse R. Esse 14' M 6.30
29 V. Torp V. Torp 1 ⚽ 25' M 7.90
Wrexham Wrexham 3-5-1-1
21
G 7.00
2 C. Doyle C. Doyle D 5.90
24 Dan Scarr Dan Scarr D 6.50
5
D 5.30
14 George Thomason George Thomason M 7.20
20 O. Rathbone O. Rathbone 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.30
37 M. James M. James M 6.30
15 G. Dobson G. Dobson M 6.90
12 I. Kaboré I. Kaboré 1 👟 M 6.90
10 J. Windass J. Windass 71' F 6.30
28 S. Smith S. Smith 72' F 6.90
Bench
19 K. Moore K. Moore 24' F 6.20
4 M. Cleworth M. Cleworth D
33 N. Broadhead N. Broadhead 25' F 6.30
47 R. Longman R. Longman M
Best on the pitch
E. Mason-Clark
E. Mason-Clark
M · Coventry
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 25 pass
B. Thomas-Asante
B. Thomas-Asante
M · Coventry
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 25 pass
V. Torp
V. Torp
M · Coventry
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
F. Onyeka
F. Onyeka
M · Coventry
7.90
· 46 pass
B. Thomas
B. Thomas
D · Coventry
7.30
· 53 pass
O. Rathbone
O. Rathbone
M · Wrexham
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
Coventry Coventry — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.60 — — — 39 27% — — —
J. Dasilva D 96 7.20 — — 1 57 51% 4 — —
D 96 6.20 — — 1 45 37% — — —
B. Thomas D 96 7.30 — — — 53 43% 1 — —
M. van Ewijk D 96 6.60 — — 1 51 45% 1 — —
M. Grimes M 87 7.30 — — 1 62 55% 1 — —
F. Onyeka M 96 7.90 — — — 46 42% 3 1 —
E. Mason-Clark M 96 8.70 1 1 1 25 22% 1 — —
Josh Eccles M 71 6.70 — — — 23 19% 2 1 —
B. Thomas-Asante M 82 8.30 1 — 1 25 19% — — —
Haji Wright F 71 7.00 — — 1 9 6% — — —
E. Simms F 25 6.60 — — 1 5 2% — — —
R. Esse M 14 6.30 — — — 3 1% 1 — —
V. Torp M 25 7.90 1 — 2 9 8% 1 — —
Wrexham Wrexham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 7.00 — — — 25 17% — — —
C. Doyle D 96 5.90 — — — 35 25% — — —
Dan Scarr D 96 6.50 — — 1 29 21% — — —
D 96 5.30 — — — 21 14% 1 — —
George Thomason M 96 7.20 — — 1 30 22% 4 — —
O. Rathbone M 60 7.30 1 — 1 16 13% 3 1 —
M. James M 96 6.30 — — 1 22 18% — 1 —
G. Dobson M 96 6.90 — — — 34 31% 3 — —
I. Kaboré M 96 6.90 — 1 — 17 14% 1 — —
J. Windass F 71 6.30 — — 1 22 17% — — —
S. Smith F 72 6.90 — — 1 13 7% — — —
K. Moore F 24 6.20 — — 1 10 7% — — —
N. Broadhead F 25 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coventry vs Wrexham?
The final score was Coventry 3–1 Wrexham.
What did the model predict before Coventry vs Wrexham?
The model assigned 69% probability to a Coventry win, 16% to a draw, and 13% to an Wrexham win.