Championship
· Regular Season - 45
April 26, 2026 13:00
✓Model correct — prediction Coventry
B. Thomas-Asante
(ast. E. Mason-Clark)
19'
V. Torp
80'
E. Mason-Clark
90'+4
25'
(ast. I. Kabore)
O. Rathbone
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coventry a 69% win probability (draw 16%, Wrexham 13%). The final result was Coventry 3–1 Wrexham. In 1 previous meetings, Coventry have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Wrexham.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
2
1.19
Actual xG
1.06
1
Saves
3
61%
Possession
39%
4
Corners
4
15
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽B. Thomas-Asante
· ast. E. Mason-Clark
19'
25'
ast. I. Kabore ·
O. Rathbone⚽
F. Onyeka
29'
40'
M. James
J. Eccles
50'
53'
O. Rathbone
60'
L. O'Brien
/
O. Rathbone
H. Wright
/ E. Simms
71'
J. Eccles
/ V. Torp
71'
71'
N. Broadhead
/
J. Windass
72'
K. Moore
/
S. Smith
⚽V. Torp
80'
B. Thomas-Asante
/ R. Esse
81'
M. Grimes
/ J. Allen
87'
⚽E. Mason-Clark
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
69.49%
Coventry ←
16.77%
X
13.74%
Wrexham
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Coventry)
69.49%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.62
1.19
-1.43
0.76
1.06
+0.3
xG dominance was balanced (1.19 – 1.06).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
19
G
3
J. Dasilva
D
15
D
4
B. Thomas
D
27
M. van Ewijk
D
M. van Ewijk
D
6
Matt Grimes
87'
M
16
F. Onyeka
M
10
E. Mason-Clark
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
E. Mason-Clark
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
28
J. Eccles
71'
M
23
B. Thomas-Asante
1 ⚽
82'
M
B. Thomas-Asante
1 ⚽
82'
M
11
H. Wright
71'
F
H. Wright
71'
F
Bench
9
E. Simms
25'
F
E. Simms
25'
F
22
J. Latibeaudiere
D
20
K. Kesler-Hayden
D
14
R. Esse
14'
M
29
V. Torp
1 ⚽
25'
M
V. Torp
1 ⚽
25'
M
21
G
2
Callum Doyle
D
24
D. Scarr
D
5
D
14
G. Thomason
M
20
Oliver Rathbone
1 ⚽
60'
M
37
Matty James
M
15
G. Dobson
M
12
I. Kaboré
1 👟
M
I. Kaboré
1 👟
M
10
J. Windass
71'
F
J. Windass
71'
F
28
S. Smith
72'
F
Bench
19
K. Moore
24'
F
K. Moore
24'
F
4
Max Cleworth
D
33
Nathan Broadhead
25'
F
47
R. Longman
M
Best on the pitch
E. Mason-Clark
M · Coventry
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 25 pass
B. Thomas-Asante
M · Coventry
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
V. Torp
M · Coventry
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
F. Onyeka
M · Coventry
7.90
· 46 pass
B. Thomas
D · Coventry
7.30
· 53 pass
Oliver Rathbone
M · Wrexham
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
Coventry — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| J. Dasilva | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 51% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | — | — | — | |
| B. Thomas | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| M. van Ewijk | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Matt Grimes | M | 87 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Onyeka | M | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | 3 | 1 | — |
| E. Mason-Clark | M | 96 | 8.70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Eccles | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Thomas-Asante | M | 82 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| H. Wright | F | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Simms | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Esse | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Torp | M | 25 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Wrexham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Callum Doyle | D | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D. Scarr | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| D | 96 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — | |
| G. Thomason | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Oliver Rathbone | M | 60 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Matty James | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Dobson | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Kaboré | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Windass | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| S. Smith | F | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| K. Moore | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Broadhead | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coventry vs Wrexham?
The final score was Coventry 3–1 Wrexham.
What did the model predict before Coventry vs Wrexham?
The model assigned 69% probability to a Coventry win, 16% to a draw, and 13% to an Wrexham win.