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← Brasileirão Série B
#7 · 48 pts
2 – 3
Final score
#14 · 42 pts
Pedro Castro (ast. Hereda) 21'
Douglas Baggio 45'+5 (pen.)
49' (ast. Jota) R. Tavares
79' (ast. Zeca) R. Tavares
(pen.) 90'+11 R. Tavares
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Athletic Club a 35% win probability (draw 31%, CRB 32%). The final result was CRB 2–3 Athletic Club. In 1 previous meetings, CRB have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Athletic Club.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
1.19
Actual xG
1.85
2
Saves
2
48%
Possession
52%
1
Corners
6
16
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Pedro Castro · ast. Hereda
21'
⚽Douglas Baggio (pen.)
45'+5
↕ Hereda / Kevin
46'
49'
ast. Jota · R. Tavares⚽
50'
Diogo Batista
Dada Belmonte
50'
53'
61'
Leo Chu / Bruninho ↕
↕ Luizao / De Lucca
64'
↕ Luiz Phellype / Guilherme Pato
64'
70'
D. Vera / Ruan Assis ↕
70'
Joao Miguel / G. Cabezas ↕
70'
Marcelo Henrique / Diogo Batista ↕
↕ Pedro Castro / Wallace
77'
79'
ast. Zeca · R. Tavares⚽
↕ Bressan / Guilherme Estrella
83'
88'
Pedro Oliveira / Jota ↕
Guilherme Estrella
90'+4
90'+6
Kauan Rodrigues
90'+11
(pen.) R. Tavares⚽
Pre-match prediction
32.1%
CRB
31.94%
X
35.96%
Athletic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Athletic Club) 35.96% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
CRB
1.09
1.19
+0.1
Athletic
1.67
1.85
+0.18
Athletic Club dominated by xG (1.85 vs 1.19). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vila Nova Vila Nova 31 57
2 Juventude Juventude 31 56
3 Novorizontino Novorizontino 31 54
4 Criciuma Criciuma 31 53
5 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 31 53
6 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 31 52
7 CRB CRB 31 48
8 Operario-PR Operario-PR 31 48
9 Sport Recife Sport Recife 31 47
10 Cuiaba Cuiaba 31 46
11 São Bernardo São Bernardo 31 45
12 Goias Goias 31 42
13 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 31 42
14 Athletic Club Athletic Club 31 42
15 Ceara Ceara 31 39
16 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 31 35
17 Avai Avai 31 30
18 Londrina Londrina 31 28
19 America Mineiro America Mineiro 31 17
20 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 31 13
Lineups
CRB CRB 4-3-3
12
G 5.60
36 Lucas Lovat Lucas Lovat D 6.50
27 Fábio Alemão Fábio Alemão D 7.30
22 Bressan Bressan 83' D 6.00
32 Hereda Hereda 1 👟 45' D 7.20
10 Daniel Daniel M 6.30
50 Luizão Luizão 64' M 6.90
21 Pedro Castro Pedro Castro 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.90
97 Dadá Belmonte Dadá Belmonte F 7.90
19 Luiz Phellype Luiz Phellype 64' F 6.50
7 Douglas Baggio Douglas Baggio 1 ⚽ F 6.90
Bench
14 Guilherme Estrella Guilherme Estrella 19' M 6.30
11 Guilherme Pato Guilherme Pato 26' F 6.30
1
G 6.60
6 Zeca Zeca 1 👟 D 6.90
4 Lucas Belezi Lucas Belezi D 6.70
3 Jhonatan Jhonatan D 6.50
2 Diogo Batista Diogo Batista 70' D 6.30
8 G. Cabezas G. Cabezas 70' M 6.30
15 Jota Jota 1 👟 88' M 6.90
17 Kauan Kauan M 6.90
11
Ruan Lucas de Assis 70' F 6.50
9 Ronaldo Tavares Ronaldo Tavares 3 ⚽ F 10.00
7 Bruninho Bruninho 61' F 6.30
Bench
21 D. Vera D. Vera 20' F 6.30
14 Marcelo Henrique Marcelo Henrique 20' D 6.90
19 Oluwasegun Samuel Otusanya Oluwasegun Samuel Otusanya F
Best on the pitch
Ronaldo Tavares
Ronaldo Tavares
F · Athletic
10.00
3 ⚽
3 shots · 13 pass
Pedro Castro
Pedro Castro
M · CRB
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
Dadá Belmonte
Dadá Belmonte
F · CRB
7.90
1 shots · 15 pass
Fábio Alemão
Fábio Alemão
D · CRB
7.30
· 56 pass
Hereda
Hereda
D · CRB
7.20
1 👟
· 19 pass
Marcelo Henrique
Marcelo Henrique
D · Athletic
6.90
· 13 pass
CRB CRB — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.60 — — — 20 14% — — —
Lucas Lovat D 90 6.50 — — — 23 20% 2 — —
Fábio Alemão D 90 7.30 — — — 56 48% 5 — —
Bressan D 83 6.00 — — — 24 22% — — —
Hereda D 45 7.20 — 1 — 19 18% 1 — —
Daniel M 90 6.30 — — 2 44 37% — — —
Luizão M 64 6.90 — — 1 22 20% 1 — —
Pedro Castro M 77 7.90 1 — 1 19 15% — — —
Dadá Belmonte F 90 7.90 — — 1 15 12% 3 1 —
Luiz Phellype F 64 6.50 — — 1 6 5% — — —
Douglas Baggio F 90 6.90 1 — 1 22 18% 1 — —
Guilherme Estrella M 19 6.30 — — — 4 3% 1 1 —
Guilherme Pato F 26 6.30 — — 1 7 4% 2 — —
Athletic Club Athletic Club — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 12 6% — — —
Zeca D 90 6.90 — 1 — 50 44% — — —
Lucas Belezi D 90 6.70 — — 1 53 44% 1 — —
Jhonatan D 90 6.50 — — — 47 45% 1 — —
Diogo Batista D 70 6.30 — — 2 23 17% 3 1 —
G. Cabezas M 70 6.30 — — — 32 29% 2 — —
Jota M 88 6.90 — 1 — 35 31% 1 — —
Kauan M 90 6.90 — — — 28 21% — 1 —
Ruan Lucas de Assis F 70 6.50 — — — 16 16% — — —
Ronaldo Tavares F 90 10.00 3 — 3 13 10% — — —
Bruninho F 61 6.30 — — 1 11 9% 1 — —
D. Vera F 20 6.30 — — 1 10 9% 1 — —
Marcelo Henrique D 20 6.90 — — — 13 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CRB vs Athletic Club?
The final score was CRB 2–3 Athletic Club.
What did the model predict before CRB vs Athletic Club?
The model assigned 32% probability to a CRB win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Athletic Club win.