Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 4
April 13, 2026 03:00
Pedro Castro
(ast. Hereda)
21'
Douglas Baggio
45'+5
(pen.)
49'
(ast. Jota)
R. Tavares
79'
(ast. Zeca)
R. Tavares
(pen.)
90'+11
R. Tavares
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Athletic Club a 35% win probability (draw 31%, CRB 32%). The final result was CRB 2–3 Athletic Club.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
1.19
Actual xG
1.85
2
Saves
2
48%
Possession
52%
1
Corners
6
16
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Pedro Castro
· ast. Hereda
21'
⚽Douglas Baggio
(pen.)
45'+5
Hereda
/ Kevin
46'
49'
ast. Jota ·
R. Tavares⚽
50'
Diogo Batista
Dada Belmonte
50'
53'
61'
Leo Chu
/
Bruninho
Luizao
/ De Lucca
64'
Luiz Phellype
/ Guilherme Pato
64'
70'
D. Vera
/
Ruan Assis
70'
Joao Miguel
/
G. Cabezas
70'
Marcelo Henrique
/
Diogo Batista
Pedro Castro
/ Wallace
77'
79'
ast. Zeca ·
R. Tavares⚽
Bressan
/ Guilherme Estrella
83'
88'
Pedro Oliveira
/
Jota
Guilherme Estrella
90'+4
90'+6
Kauan Rodrigues
90'+11
(pen.)
R. Tavares⚽
Pre-match prediction
32.1%
CRB
31.94%
X
35.96%
Athletic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Athletic Club)
35.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
1.19
+0.1
1.67
1.85
+0.18
Athletic Club dominated by xG (1.85 vs 1.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
G
36
Lucas Lovat
D
Lucas Lovat
D
27
Fábio Alemão
D
Fábio Alemão
D
22
Bressan
83'
D
Bressan
83'
D
32
Hereda
1 👟
45'
D
Hereda
1 👟
45'
D
10
Daniel
M
Daniel
M
50
Luizão
64'
M
Luizão
64'
M
21
Pedro Castro
1 ⚽
77'
M
Pedro Castro
1 ⚽
77'
M
97
Dadá Belmonte
F
Dadá Belmonte
F
19
Luiz Phellype
64'
F
Luiz Phellype
64'
F
7
Douglas Baggio
1 ⚽
F
Douglas Baggio
1 ⚽
F
Bench
14
Guilherme Estrella
19'
M
Guilherme Estrella
19'
M
11
Guilherme Pato
26'
F
Guilherme Pato
26'
F
1
G
6
Zeca
1 👟
D
Zeca
1 👟
D
4
Lucas Belezi
D
Lucas Belezi
D
3
Jhonatan
D
Jhonatan
D
2
Diogo Batista de Souza
70'
D
Diogo Batista de Souza
70'
D
8
Gian Cabezas
70'
M
Gian Cabezas
70'
M
15
Jota
1 👟
88'
M
Jota
1 👟
88'
M
17
Kauan Rodrigues
M
Kauan Rodrigues
M
11
Ruan Lucas de Assis
70'
F
Ruan Lucas de Assis
70'
F
9
Ronaldo Tavares
3 ⚽
F
Ronaldo Tavares
3 ⚽
F
7
Bruninho
61'
F
Bruninho
61'
F
Bench
21
D. Vera
20'
F
D. Vera
20'
F
14
Marcelo Henrique
20'
D
Marcelo Henrique
20'
D
19
Oluwasegun Samuel Otusanya
F
Oluwasegun Samuel Otusanya
F
Best on the pitch
Ronaldo Tavares
F · Athletic
10.00
3 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
Pedro Castro
M · CRB
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Dadá Belmonte
F · CRB
7.90
1 shots
· 15 pass
Fábio Alemão
D · CRB
7.30
· 56 pass
Hereda
D · CRB
7.20
1 👟
· 19 pass
Marcelo Henrique
D · Athletic
6.90
· 13 pass
CRB — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Lucas Lovat | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Fábio Alemão | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | 5 | — | — |
| Bressan | D | 83 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Hereda | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Luizão | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Castro | M | 77 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Dadá Belmonte | F | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Luiz Phellype | F | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Douglas Baggio | F | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Guilherme Estrella | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Guilherme Pato | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
Athletic Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| Zeca | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Belezi | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhonatan | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Diogo Batista de Souza | D | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Gian Cabezas | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Jota | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Kauan Rodrigues | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Ruan Lucas de Assis | F | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo Tavares | F | 90 | 10.00 | 3 | — | 3 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Bruninho | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vera | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcelo Henrique | D | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CRB vs Athletic Club?
The final score was CRB 2–3 Athletic Club.
What did the model predict before CRB vs Athletic Club?
The model assigned 32% probability to a CRB win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Athletic Club win.