✗Model wrong — prediction CRB, result Botafogo SP wins
79'
(ast. Thiago Henrique Moraes)
Hygor
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CRB a 68% win probability (draw 17%, Botafogo SP 13%). The final result was CRB 0–1 Botafogo SP. In 1 previous meetings, CRB have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Botafogo SP.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
4
1.20
Actual xG
1.79
2
Saves
3
67%
Possession
33%
7
Corners
8
13
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
20'
22'
(missed pen.)
Rafael Gava⚽
Matheus Simonete Bressanelli
22'
45'+1
Gabriel de Souza Inocencio
Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues
55'
58'
Darlan Batista Cobo Da Silva
61'
Patrick Brey
61'
Hebert Willian Badaro Oliveira
/
Darlan Batista Cobo Da Silva
Thiago Fernandes Rodrigues
/ Vinicius Barata
63'
Diogo Hereda da Silva
68'
Diogo Hereda da Silva
/ Kevin
72'
72'
Felipe Vieira Augusto
/
José Hugo Sousa dos Santos
72'
Thiago Henrique Moraes
/
Rafael Gava
72'
Matheus Sales
/
Marco Antonio de Freitas Batistussi
79'
ast. Thiago Henrique Moraes ·
Hygor⚽
Daniel Sampaio Simões
/ Estevão Barreto de Oliveira
80'
Mikael
/ Ygor Catatau
80'
Pedro Castro
/ Geovane
80'
Vinicius Barata
86'
89'
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição
/
Leandro Maciel
Pre-match prediction
68.75%
CRB
17.91%
X
13.34%
Botafogo ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Botafogo SP)
13.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.21
1.20
-1.01
0.76
1.79
+1.03
Botafogo SP dominated by xG (1.79 vs 1.20).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Vitor Caetano
G
Vitor Caetano
G
36
Lucas Lovat
D
Lucas Lovat
D
33
Lyncon
D
Lyncon
D
22
Bressan
D
Bressan
D
32
Hereda
72'
D
Hereda
72'
D
21
Pedro Castro
80'
M
Pedro Castro
80'
M
97
Dadá Belmonte
M
Dadá Belmonte
M
10
Daniel
80'
M
Daniel
80'
M
8
Crystopher
M
Crystopher
M
17
Thiaguinho
63'
M
Thiaguinho
63'
M
28
Mikael
80'
F
Mikael
80'
F
Bench
45
De Lucca
M
De Lucca
M
7
Douglas Baggio
F
Douglas Baggio
F
26
Estevão
10'
M
Estevão
10'
M
27
Fábio Alemão
D
Fábio Alemão
D
18
Geovane
10'
M
Geovane
10'
M
44
Henri
D
Henri
D
9
João Neto
F
João Neto
F
2
Kevin
18'
D
Kevin
18'
D
12
Matheus
G
Matheus
G
16
Maycon
D
Maycon
D
20
Vinicius Barata
27'
F
Vinicius Barata
27'
F
95
Ygor Catatau
10'
F
Ygor Catatau
10'
F
1
Victor Souza
G
Victor Souza
G
6
Patrick Brey
D
Patrick Brey
D
27
Darlan
61'
D
Darlan
61'
D
4
Vilar
D
Vilar
D
2
Jonathan
D
Jonathan
D
22
Gabriel Inocêncio
D
Gabriel Inocêncio
D
30
Zé Hugo
72'
M
Zé Hugo
72'
M
5
L. Maciel
89'
M
L. Maciel
89'
M
10
Rafael Gava
72'
M
Rafael Gava
72'
M
28
Marco Antônio
72'
M
Marco Antônio
72'
M
9
Hygor
1 ⚽
F
Hygor
1 ⚽
F
Bench
18
Arthur Caíke
F
Arthur Caíke
F
33
Badaró
29'
D
Badaró
29'
D
26
Felipe Vieira
18'
D
Felipe Vieira
18'
D
17
Guilherme Queiróz
F
Guilherme Queiróz
F
12
Jordan
G
Jordan
G
7
Kelvin
F
Kelvin
F
16
Matheus Sales
18'
M
Matheus Sales
18'
M
31
Pedro Henrique
D
Pedro Henrique
D
29
Thiago Henrique
1 👟
18'
M
Thiago Henrique
1 👟
18'
M
20
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição
1'
M
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição
1'
M
Best on the pitch
Hygor
F · Botafogo
7.93
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Thiago Henrique
M · Botafogo
7.42
1 👟
1 shots
· 4 pass
Jonathan
D · Botafogo
7.21
· 30 pass
Daniel
M · CRB
7.20
2 shots
· 51 pass
Vilar
D · Botafogo
7.15
· 31 pass
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição
M · Botafogo
7.10
· 1 pass
CRB — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Caetano | G | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Lucas Lovat | D | 90 | 6.88 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Lyncon | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 0 | 72 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Bressan | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 71% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Hereda | D | 72 | 6.74 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Castro | M | 80 | 6.75 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Dadá Belmonte | M | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Daniel | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Crystopher | M | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 3 | 53 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Thiaguinho | M | 63 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mikael | F | 80 | 6.27 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Estevão | M | 10 | 6.85 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Geovane | M | 10 | 6.09 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Kevin | D | 18 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Vinicius Barata | F | 27 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ygor Catatau | F | 10 | 6.18 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Botafogo SP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Souza | G | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Patrick Brey | D | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Darlan | D | 61 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 16% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Vilar | D | 90 | 7.15 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Jonathan | D | 90 | 7.21 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Inocêncio | D | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Zé Hugo | M | 72 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Maciel | M | 89 | 6.86 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| Rafael Gava | M | 72 | 6.55 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| Marco Antônio | M | 72 | 6.68 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Hygor | F | 90 | 7.93 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Badaró | D | 29 | 7.05 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Felipe Vieira | D | 18 | 7.05 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Sales | M | 18 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Thiago Henrique | M | 18 | 7.42 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição | M | 1 | 7.10 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CRB vs Botafogo SP?
The final score was CRB 0–1 Botafogo SP.
What did the model predict before CRB vs Botafogo SP?
The model assigned 68% probability to a CRB win, 17% to a draw, and 13% to an Botafogo SP win.