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← Brasileirão Série B
#7 · 32 pts
1 – 1
Final score
#3 · 35 pts
Mikael (ast. Dada Belmonte) 6'
81' (ast. Paulo Baya) J. B. Miritello
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CRB a 53% win probability (draw 22%, Fortaleza EC 23%). The final result was CRB 1–1 Fortaleza EC. In 2 previous meetings, CRB have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Fortaleza EC.

Match statistics
7
Shots on target
5
1.11
Actual xG
2.06
41%
Possession
59%
7
Corners
7
Match Events
Mikael · ast. Dada Belmonte
6'
Kevin
40'
46'
Paulo Baya / G. Fuentes
46'
Rodrigo / Ryan
Kevin / Wallace
46'
74'
Pierre / Lucas Sasha
75'
Welliton / Vitinho
77'
Rodriguinho
Dada Belmonte / Reverson
80'
81'
ast. Paulo Baya · J. B. Miritello
Henri / Guilherme Pato
87'
Mikael / Luiz Phellype
87'
90'
Lucas Crispim / Luiz Fernando
Pre-match prediction
53.76%
CRB
22.6%
X ←
23.64%
Fortaleza
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
CRB
2.15
1.11
-1.04
Fortaleza
1.15
2.06
+0.91
Fortaleza EC dominated by xG (2.06 vs 1.11). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Criciuma Criciuma 21 40
2 Juventude Juventude 21 38
3 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 21 35
4 Operario-PR Operario-PR 21 35
5 Vila Nova Vila Nova 21 34
6 Novorizontino Novorizontino 21 33
7 CRB CRB 21 32
8 Goias Goias 21 32
9 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 21 32
10 Sport Recife Sport Recife 21 32
11 Athletic Club Athletic Club 21 31
12 São Bernardo São Bernardo 21 30
13 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 21 27
14 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 21 26
15 Cuiaba Cuiaba 21 26
16 Ceara Ceara 21 25
17 Londrina Londrina 21 20
18 Avai Avai 21 20
19 America Mineiro America Mineiro 21 11
20 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 21 9
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CRB vs Fortaleza EC?
The final score was CRB 1–1 Fortaleza EC.
What did the model predict before CRB vs Fortaleza EC?
The model assigned 53% probability to a CRB win, 22% to a draw, and 23% to an Fortaleza EC win.