Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 14
June 21, 2026 21:00
Mikael
(ast. Dada Belmonte)
6'
81'
(ast. Paulo Baya)
J. B. Miritello
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CRB a 53% win probability (draw 22%, Fortaleza EC 23%). The final result was CRB 1–1 Fortaleza EC.
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
5
1.11
Actual xG
2.06
41%
Possession
59%
7
Corners
7
Match Events
⚽Mikael
· ast. Dada Belmonte
6'
Kevin
40'
46'
Paulo Baya
/
G. Fuentes
46'
Rodrigo
/
Ryan
Kevin
/ Wallace
46'
74'
Pierre
/
Lucas Sasha
75'
Welliton
/
Vitinho
77'
Rodriguinho
Dada Belmonte
/ Reverson
80'
81'
ast. Paulo Baya ·
J. B. Miritello⚽
Henri
/ Guilherme Pato
87'
Mikael
/ Luiz Phellype
87'
90'
Lucas Crispim
/
Luiz Fernando
Pre-match prediction
53.76%
CRB
22.6%
X ←
23.64%
Fortaleza
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.6%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.15
1.11
-1.04
1.15
2.06
+0.91
Fortaleza EC dominated by xG (2.06 vs 1.11).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CRB vs Fortaleza EC?
The final score was CRB 1–1 Fortaleza EC.
What did the model predict before CRB vs Fortaleza EC?
The model assigned 53% probability to a CRB win, 22% to a draw, and 23% to an Fortaleza EC win.