Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 18
July 17, 2026 01:00
Mikael
34'
(pen.)
Crystopher Ribeiro
(ast. Dada Belmonte)
83'
81'
(ast. Jean Carlos)
Kauan Maranhao
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CRB a 54% win probability (draw 21%, Nautico Recife 24%). The final result was CRB 2–1 Nautico Recife.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
2
2.64
Actual xG
0.32
1
Saves
6
43%
Possession
57%
4
Corners
3
6
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
20'
Wenderson
⚽Mikael
(pen.)
34'
46'
Arnaldo
/
Matheus Ribeiro
60'
Derek
/
Junior Todinho
Hereda
/ Kevin
63'
65'
Kauan Maranhao
/
Victor Andrade
72'
Luiz Paulo
/
Gustavo Henrique
72'
Samuel Felix
/
Luiz Felipe
Danielzinho
/ Guilherme Pato
75'
Thiaguinho
/ Geovane
75'
81'
ast. Jean Carlos ·
Kauan Maranhao⚽
⚽Crystopher Ribeiro
· ast. Dada Belmonte
83'
Dada Belmonte
85'
Bressan
/ Lyncon
85'
Dada Belmonte
/ De Lucca
85'
Pre-match prediction
54.0%
CRB ←
21.8%
X
24.2%
Nautico
we assigned to the actual result (CRB)
54.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.08
2.64
+0.56
1.28
0.32
-0.96
CRB dominated by xG (2.64 vs 0.32).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Vitor Caetano
G
Vitor Caetano
G
36
Lucas Lovat
D
Lucas Lovat
D
27
Fábio Alemão
D
Fábio Alemão
D
22
Bressan
85'
D
Bressan
85'
D
32
Hereda
63'
D
Hereda
63'
D
10
Daniel
75'
M
Daniel
75'
M
21
Pedro Castro
M
Pedro Castro
M
8
Crystopher
1 ⚽
M
Crystopher
1 ⚽
M
97
Dadá Belmonte
1 👟
85'
F
Dadá Belmonte
1 👟
85'
F
28
Mikael
1 ⚽
F
Mikael
1 ⚽
F
17
Thiaguinho
75'
F
Thiaguinho
75'
F
Bench
45
De Lucca
11'
M
De Lucca
11'
M
7
Douglas Baggio
F
Douglas Baggio
F
23
Fábio
G
Fábio
G
18
Geovane
21'
M
Geovane
21'
M
11
Guilherme Pato
21'
F
Guilherme Pato
21'
F
2
Kevin
33'
D
Kevin
33'
D
77
Leo Campos
D
Leo Campos
D
33
Lyncon
11'
D
Lyncon
11'
D
6
Reverson
D
Reverson
D
14
Ruy Marcos Levino de Oliveira
D
Ruy Marcos Levino de Oliveira
D
20
Vinicius Barata
F
Vinicius Barata
F
1
Muriel
G
Muriel
G
23
Igor Fernandes
D
Igor Fernandes
D
46
Gustavo Henrique
72'
D
Gustavo Henrique
72'
D
15
Léo Índio
D
Léo Índio
D
14
Matheus Ribeiro
45'
D
Matheus Ribeiro
45'
D
8
Wenderson
M
Wenderson
M
27
Luiz Felipe
72'
M
Luiz Felipe
72'
M
11
Victor Andrade
65'
M
Victor Andrade
65'
M
20
Jean Carlos
1 👟
M
Jean Carlos
1 👟
M
93
Reginaldo Lopes
M
Reginaldo Lopes
M
29
Júnior Todinho
60'
F
Júnior Todinho
60'
F
Bench
2
Arnaldo
51'
D
Arnaldo
51'
D
5
Auremir
M
Auremir
M
72
Derek
36'
F
Derek
36'
F
13
Gabriel Severino de Sousa
D
Gabriel Severino de Sousa
D
55
G. Guruceaga
G
G. Guruceaga
G
18
Halan
M
Halan
M
19
Kaua Almeida da Costa
1 ⚽
31'
F
Kaua Almeida da Costa
1 ⚽
31'
F
60
Luiz Paulo
24'
D
Luiz Paulo
24'
D
41
Samuel
24'
M
Samuel
24'
M
34
Wanderson
D
Wanderson
D
Best on the pitch
Muriel
G · Nautico
9.30
· 33 pass
Daniel
M · CRB
7.70
· 34 pass
Crystopher
M · CRB
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 36 pass
Dadá Belmonte
F · CRB
7.60
1 👟
3 shots
· 16 pass
Kaua Almeida da Costa
F · Nautico
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
Mikael
F · CRB
7.00
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 10 pass
CRB — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitor Caetano | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Lovat | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Fábio Alemão | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Bressan | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Hereda | D | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel | M | 75 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Castro | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Crystopher | M | 96 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Dadá Belmonte | F | 85 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Mikael | F | 96 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 5 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Thiaguinho | F | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| De Lucca | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Geovane | M | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Pato | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin | D | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Lyncon | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Nautico Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muriel | G | 96 | 9.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Fernandes | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Léo Índio | D | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 77 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Ribeiro | D | 45 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Wenderson | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 51% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luiz Felipe | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Andrade | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Jean Carlos | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Reginaldo Lopes | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Júnior Todinho | F | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Arnaldo | D | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Derek | F | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Kaua Almeida da Costa | F | 31 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Luiz Paulo | D | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel | M | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CRB vs Nautico Recife?
The final score was CRB 2–1 Nautico Recife.
What did the model predict before CRB vs Nautico Recife?
The model assigned 54% probability to a CRB win, 21% to a draw, and 24% to an Nautico Recife win.