Crema - Pistoiese
Serie D - Girone D
September 13, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.79%
Win
Crema
31.93%
Draw
36.29%
Win
Pistoiese
0.61
2.69
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.36%)
1X2 Result
1
32%
X
32%
2
36%
Double Chance
1X
64%
X2
68%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Pistoiese a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Crema. Expected goals are 0.6 for Crema and 2.7 for Pistoiese (total 3.3), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.36% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Crema have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Pistoiese.
Season Stats
3W
5D
7L
9W
4D
2L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
1.9
1.2
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
53%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
47%
33%
BTTS
40%
53%
Clean Sht
53%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Serie D - Girone D. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
35%
BTTS
2W
4D
4L
· at home
5W
5D
0L
· away
0.7
gls/g
1.4
1.0
Conceded
0.4
20%
Win %
50%
60%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
50%
20%
O 2.5
30%
20%
O 3.5
20%
30%
BTTS
40%
50%
Clean Sht
60%
50%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Crema
Pistoiese →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.7% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 4 | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Crema
Attack
8
Defence
35
Form
18
Pistoiese
Attack
29
Defence
45
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Castellanzese
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Pistoiese
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Varesina
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Lentigione
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Pro Patria
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
USD Casatese
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Correggese
|
1 | 1 |
| 8 |
Città di Varese
|
1 | 1 |
| 9 |
Sant'Angelo
|
1 | 1 |
| 10 |
Coriano
|
1 | 1 |
| 11 |
Pavia
|
1 | 1 |
| 12 |
Crema
|
1 | 1 |
| 13 |
Pro Sesto
|
1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Cittadella Vis Modena
|
1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Arconatese
|
1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Oltrepò
|
1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Pontedera
|
1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Solbiatese
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Crema vs Pistoiese?
The model gives Crema a 31% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 36% for an Pistoiese win.
How many goals are expected in Crema vs Pistoiese?
Expected goals: Crema 0.6, Pistoiese 2.7 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Crema vs Pistoiese?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.36%.