Crewe - Accrington ST
EFL Cup
August 08, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.86%
Win
Crewe
33.17%
Draw
31.97%
Win
Accrington ST
0.93
0.88
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.19%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
33%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
65%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
59%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Crewe a 34% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Accrington ST. Expected goals are 0.9 for Crewe and 0.9 for Accrington ST (total 1.8), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.19% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Crewe have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Accrington ST.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
2W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.7
3.0
Conceded
1.3
4.0
Shots OT
4.7
4.0
Corners
1.7
44%
Poss.
35%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Crewe
Accrington ST →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.5% | 14.5% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Crewe
Attack
37
Defence
65
Form
49
Accrington ST
Attack
35
Defence
76
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Crewe vs Accrington ST?
The model gives Crewe a 34% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 31% for an Accrington ST win.
How many goals are expected in Crewe vs Accrington ST?
Expected goals: Crewe 0.9, Accrington ST 0.9 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Crewe vs Accrington ST?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.19%.