EFL Cup
· Round of 128
August 08, 2026 16:00
J. Lankester
7'
(pen.)
L. Moore
(ast. L. Billington)
85'
65'
(ast. S. Mols)
F. Rawson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Crewe a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Accrington ST 32%). The final result was Crewe 2–1 Accrington ST. In 2 previous meetings, Crewe have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Accrington ST.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
1
Corners
5
14
Tackles
8
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽J. Lankester
(pen.)
7'
45'+5
F. Rawson
58'
T. Moore
/
D. Matthews
J. Lankester
/ J. Tabiner
61'
62'
S. Mols
/
A. Henderson
62'
C. Caton
/
C. Stockton
65'
ast. S. Mols ·
F. Rawson⚽
J. White
/ A. Thibaut
72'
74'
J. Anderson
79'
F. Sass
/
D. Tutonda
79'
C. Brown
/
S. Conneely
J. Gibson
/ L. Moore
82'
⚽L. Moore
· ast. L. Billington
85'
90'+2
D. Love
Pre-match prediction
35.98%
Crewe ←
32.01%
X
32.01%
Accrington
we assigned to the actual result (Crewe)
35.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.00
—
—
0.95
—
—
Lineups
1
Tom Booth
G
Tom Booth
G
3
Reece Hutchinson
D
Reece Hutchinson
D
5
M. Demetriou
D
M. Demetriou
D
6
Luke Offord
D
Luke Offord
D
2
L. Billington
1 👟
D
L. Billington
1 👟
D
10
Joe White
72'
M
Joe White
72'
M
17
Matúš Holíček
M
Matúš Holíček
M
14
Jordan Gibson
82'
M
Jordan Gibson
82'
M
7
Jack Lankester
1 ⚽
62'
M
Jack Lankester
1 ⚽
62'
M
20
Calum Agius
M
Calum Agius
M
9
J. March
F
J. March
F
Bench
29
Adrien Thibaut
21'
F
Adrien Thibaut
21'
F
13
Ian Lawlor
G
Ian Lawlor
G
11
J. Tabiner
31'
M
J. Tabiner
31'
M
32
Luca Moore
1 ⚽
11'
M
Luca Moore
1 ⚽
11'
M
27
Patrick Mlynarski
F
Patrick Mlynarski
F
22
Phil Croker
D
Phil Croker
D
30
Stan Dancey
D
Stan Dancey
D
1
Louie Moulden
G
Louie Moulden
G
22
Joseph Anderson
D
Joseph Anderson
D
5
Farrend Rawson
1 ⚽
D
Farrend Rawson
1 ⚽
D
17
Devon Matthews
59'
D
Devon Matthews
59'
D
28
Seamus Conneely
79'
M
Seamus Conneely
79'
M
33
David Tutonda
79'
M
David Tutonda
79'
M
10
Alex Henderson
62'
M
Alex Henderson
62'
M
2
Donald Love
M
Donald Love
M
38
C. O'Brien
M
C. O'Brien
M
13
Cole Stockton
62'
F
Cole Stockton
62'
F
39
Josh Woods
F
Josh Woods
F
Bench
18
C. Caton
31'
F
C. Caton
31'
F
20
Charlie Brown
14'
F
Charlie Brown
14'
F
3
Freddie Sass
14'
D
Freddie Sass
14'
D
21
James Rogerson
G
James Rogerson
G
25
Joshua Smith
D
Joshua Smith
D
14
Stefan Mols
1 👟
31'
M
Stefan Mols
1 👟
31'
M
4
Tom Moore
34'
D
Tom Moore
34'
D
Best on the pitch
M. Demetriou
D · Crewe
7.70
· 40 pass
Luca Moore
M · Crewe
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Tom Booth
G · Crewe
7.30
· 38 pass
Donald Love
M · Accrington
7.30
2 shots
· 38 pass
Joe White
M · Crewe
7.20
· 31 pass
Jack Lankester
M · Crewe
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
Crewe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Booth | G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Reece Hutchinson | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Demetriou | D | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Luke Offord | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 23% | — | — | — |
| L. Billington | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 50 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Joe White | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Matúš Holíček | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Jordan Gibson | M | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 20 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Jack Lankester | M | 62 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Calum Agius | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. March | F | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Adrien Thibaut | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Tabiner | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Luca Moore | M | 11 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Accrington ST — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louie Moulden | G | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Joseph Anderson | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Farrend Rawson | D | 93 | 5.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Devon Matthews | D | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Seamus Conneely | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| David Tutonda | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Henderson | M | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Donald Love | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| C. O'Brien | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Cole Stockton | F | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Josh Woods | F | 93 | 5.60 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Caton | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Charlie Brown | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Freddie Sass | D | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Stefan Mols | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Tom Moore | D | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Crewe vs Accrington ST?
The final score was Crewe 2–1 Accrington ST.
What did the model predict before Crewe vs Accrington ST?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Crewe win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Accrington ST win.