Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 33
October 13, 2026 00:30
Estadio Heriberto Hülse, Chrissyuma
✓Model correct — prediction Criciuma
César Martins
(ast. Rómulo Otero)
49'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Criciuma a 57% win probability (draw 28%, America Mineiro 14%). The final result was Criciuma 1–0 America Mineiro. In 1 previous meetings, Criciuma have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for America Mineiro.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
2
1.55
Actual xG
0.21
2
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
9
Corners
6
9
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
12'
Rafael Raul Barcelos
13'
17'
Luidy Montes Carneiro
Marcelo Hermes
41'
45'+4
Waguininho
/ Rómulo Otero
45'
⚽César Martins
· ast. Rómulo Otero
49'
58'
Guilherme Parede
/
Luidy Montes Carneiro
Guilherme Teixeira Lobo
/ Jean
70'
Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva
70'
Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva
/ Diego Gonçalves
76'
Nicolas Godinho Johann
/ Yuri Jonathan
76'
77'
Fernando Elizari
/
Paulo Victor·Ferreira de Jesus
Fellipe Mateus
/ Eduardo Biasi
84'
Eduardo Biasi
87'
89'
Julio César Leme Do Nascimento
/
Matías Segovia
89'
Otavio Goncalves
/
Jorge Jiménez
Pre-match prediction
57.59%
Criciuma ←
28.26%
X
14.15%
America
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Criciuma)
57.59%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
1.55
+0.29
0.47
0.21
-0.26
Criciuma dominated by xG (1.55 vs 0.21).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
32
Airton
G
Airton
G
4
Luciano Castán
D
Luciano Castán
D
97
Willean Lepo
D
Willean Lepo
D
37
César Martins
1 ⚽
D
César Martins
1 ⚽
D
13
Waguininho
45'
D
Waguininho
45'
D
7
Fellipe Mateus
84'
M
Fellipe Mateus
84'
M
8
Guilherme Lobo
70'
M
Guilherme Lobo
70'
M
14
Ronald
M
Ronald
M
22
Marcelo Hermes
D
Marcelo Hermes
D
9
Nicolas
76'
F
Nicolas
76'
F
10
Jhonata Robert
76'
F
Jhonata Robert
76'
F
Bench
34
Bruno Alves
D
Bruno Alves
D
77
Diego Gonçalves
14'
F
Diego Gonçalves
14'
F
5
Eduardo
6'
M
Eduardo
6'
M
31
Hiago Accinelli da Roza
M
Hiago Accinelli da Roza
M
41
Jean Irmer
20'
M
Jean Irmer
20'
M
6
Marcinho
D
Marcinho
D
70
Pedro
G
Pedro
G
11
Romarinho
F
Romarinho
F
91
R. Otero
1 👟
45'
M
R. Otero
1 👟
45'
M
43
Ruan
D
Ruan
D
50
Thiaguinho
M
Thiaguinho
M
33
Yuri
14'
F
Yuri
14'
F
91
Bruno Brígido
G
Bruno Brígido
G
25
T. Ostchega
D
T. Ostchega
D
3
L. Sosa
D
L. Sosa
D
45
Ricardo Silva
D
Ricardo Silva
D
4
Rafael Barcelos
D
Rafael Barcelos
D
93
J. Jiménez
89'
M
J. Jiménez
89'
M
88
Barreto
M
Barreto
M
30
L. Montes
58'
M
L. Montes
58'
M
77
M. Segovia
89'
M
M. Segovia
89'
M
20
Paulo Victor
77'
M
Paulo Victor
77'
M
9
Willian
F
Willian
F
Bench
37
Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio
1'
M
Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio
1'
M
8
Felipe Amaral
M
Felipe Amaral
M
5
F. Elizari
13'
M
F. Elizari
13'
M
32
Filipe
D
Filipe
D
7
Guilherme Parede
32'
F
Guilherme Parede
32'
F
99
Marcelo Macola
F
Marcelo Macola
F
19
William
G
William
G
Best on the pitch
César Martins
D · Criciuma
8.52
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 62 pass
Willean Lepo
D · Criciuma
7.51
· 52 pass
Luciano Castán
D · Criciuma
7.50
· 58 pass
Guilherme Lobo
M · Criciuma
7.20
2 shots
· 57 pass
Ronald
M · Criciuma
7.20
2 shots
· 55 pass
Yuri
F · Criciuma
7.09
2 shots
· 9 pass
Criciuma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airton | G | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Luciano Castán | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 0 | 58 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Willean Lepo | D | 90 | 7.51 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| César Martins | D | 90 | 8.52 | 1 | — | 2 | 62 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Waguininho | D | 45 | 6.81 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Fellipe Mateus | M | 84 | 6.28 | — | — | 4 | 34 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| Guilherme Lobo | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 52% | 0 | — | — |
| Ronald | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 55 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcelo Hermes | D | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nicolas | F | 76 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Jhonata Robert | F | 76 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Diego Gonçalves | F | 14 | 6.44 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 6 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Jean Irmer | M | 20 | 6.64 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Otero | M | 45 | 6.88 | — | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Yuri | F | 14 | 7.09 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
America Mineiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Brígido | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Ostchega | D | 90 | 5.63 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Sosa | D | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Ricardo Silva | D | 90 | 6.83 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafael Barcelos | D | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Jiménez | M | 89 | 6.99 | — | — | 4 | 50 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Barreto | M | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Montes | M | 58 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Segovia | M | 89 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 38% | 0 | — | — |
| Paulo Victor | M | 77 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Willian | F | 90 | 6.34 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio | M | 1 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Elizari | M | 13 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Guilherme Parede | F | 32 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Criciuma vs America Mineiro?
The final score was Criciuma 1–0 America Mineiro.
What did the model predict before Criciuma vs America Mineiro?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Criciuma win, 28% to a draw, and 14% to an America Mineiro win.