Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 4
April 11, 2026 01:30
R. Otero
90'+7
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Criciuma a 33% win probability (draw 33%, Botafogo SP 32%). The final result was Criciuma 1–0 Botafogo SP. In 1 previous meetings, Criciuma have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Botafogo SP.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
1
1.66
Actual xG
0.69
1
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
9
Corners
6
11
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
43'
Patrick Brey
45'+1
Carlao
46'
Leandro Maciel
/
Rafael Gava
Romarinho
/ Nicolas
46'
49'
Ze Hugo
/
Hygor
Waguininho
/ R. Otero
57'
Fellipe Mateus
/ Hiago Alves
57'
Willean Lepo
60'
Thiaguinho
/ Jean Irmer
64'
Jean Irmer
66'
69'
Wallace
/
Carlao
70'
Jefferson Nem
/
Thiago Moraes
Gui Lobo
/ Diego Goncalves
76'
85'
Marco Antonio
/
Pedro Henrique
Marcelo Hermes
89'
Luciano Castan
90'+1
⚽R. Otero
90'+7
R. Otero
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
33.58%
Criciuma ←
33.56%
X
32.86%
Botafogo
we assigned to the actual result (Criciuma)
33.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.95
1.66
+0.71
0.93
0.69
-0.24
Criciuma dominated by xG (1.66 vs 0.69).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
32
G
4
Luciano Castán
D
Luciano Castán
D
37
D
43
D
22
Marcelo Hermes
M
Marcelo Hermes
M
50
Thiaguinho
64'
M
Thiaguinho
64'
M
8
Guilherme Lobo
76'
M
Guilherme Lobo
76'
M
97
Willean Lepo
60'
M
Willean Lepo
60'
M
7
Fellipe Mateus
57'
F
Fellipe Mateus
57'
F
11
Romarinho
45'
F
Romarinho
45'
F
13
Waguininho
57'
F
Waguininho
57'
F
Bench
34
Bruno Alves
D
Bruno Alves
D
77
Diego Gonçalves
14'
F
Diego Gonçalves
14'
F
41
Jean Irmer
26'
M
Jean Irmer
26'
M
6
Marcinho
D
Marcinho
D
9
Nicolas
45'
F
Nicolas
45'
F
91
R. Otero
1 ⚽
33'
M
R. Otero
1 ⚽
33'
M
1
G
6
Patrick Brey
D
Patrick Brey
D
14
Carlao
69'
D
4
D
31
Pedro Henrique
85'
D
Pedro Henrique
85'
D
16
Matheus Sales
M
Matheus Sales
M
7
Kelvin
M
Kelvin
M
10
Rafael Gava
45'
M
Rafael Gava
45'
M
8
Everton Morelli
M
Everton Morelli
M
29
Thiago Henrique
70'
M
Thiago Henrique
70'
M
9
Hygor
49'
F
Hygor
49'
F
Bench
11
Jefferson Nem
20'
F
Jefferson Nem
20'
F
5
L. Maciel
45'
M
L. Maciel
45'
M
21
Luizão
F
Luizão
F
28
Marco Antônio
14'
M
Marco Antônio
14'
M
13
Wallace
21'
D
Wallace
21'
D
30
Zé Hugo
41'
F
Zé Hugo
41'
F
Best on the pitch
R. Otero
M · Criciuma
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Fellipe Mateus
F · Criciuma
8.20
· 20 pass
Luciano Castán
D · Criciuma
7.30
1 shots
· 48 pass
G · Criciuma
7.20
· 16 pass
D · Criciuma
7.20
· 36 pass
Patrick Brey
D · Botafogo
7.20
2 shots
· 40 pass
Criciuma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| Luciano Castán | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 4 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 26% | 1 | — | — | |
| Marcelo Hermes | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Thiaguinho | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Lobo | M | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Willean Lepo | M | 60 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Fellipe Mateus | F | 57 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Romarinho | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Waguininho | F | 57 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Gonçalves | F | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jean Irmer | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Nicolas | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| R. Otero | M | 33 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
Botafogo SP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Patrick Brey | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 24% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Carlao | D | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Sales | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Kelvin | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Gava | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Everton Morelli | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Henrique | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Hygor | F | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Nem | F | 20 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| L. Maciel | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Antônio | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Wallace | D | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Hugo | F | 41 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Botafogo SP?
The final score was Criciuma 1–0 Botafogo SP.
What did the model predict before Criciuma vs Botafogo SP?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Criciuma win, 33% to a draw, and 32% to an Botafogo SP win.