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← Brasileirão Série B

Criciuma - Ceara

Brasileirão Série B June 16, 2026 02:00
Criciuma
#6 · 20 pts
vs
Ceara
#13 · 16 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.28%
Win
Criciuma
29.22%
Draw
28.49%
Win
Ceara
1.32
Expected xG
1.0
Most likely result 1–0 (13.0%)
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
41%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Criciuma a 42% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Ceara. Expected goals are 1.3 for Criciuma and 1.0 for Ceara (total 2.3), with a 67% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.0% probability.

Season Stats

Criciuma
4W 5D 2L
Ceara
4W 4D 4L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.2
0.8
Conceded
1.2
3.2
Shots OT
4.6
6.8
Corners
5.4
52%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
55%
O 1.5
75%
18%
O 2.5
42%
55%
BTTS
58%
36%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in Brasileirão Série B. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
65%
O 1.5
10%
O 2.5
0%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Criciuma
2W 2D 0L · at home
Ceara
1W 2D 2L · away
1.0
gls/g
0.8
0.5
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
20%
100%
Win or Draw
60%
50%
O 1.5
80%
0%
O 2.5
20%
0%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
40%
50%
Clean Sht
40%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Criciuma Ceara →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8% 9.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.0% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% —
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Criciuma Criciuma
W Londrina 1–0
W Avai 1–2
D Operario-PR 1–1
D Atletico Goianiense 1–1
D Juventude 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Ceara Ceara
W Avai 2–1
L Operario-PR 1–2
L Novorizontino 2–1
W Fortaleza EC 2–1
L Atletico Goianiense 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 43%

Playing profile

Criciuma Criciuma
Attack
31
Defence
71
Form
56
Ceara Ceara
Attack
36
Defence
64
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Vila Nova Vila Nova 12 25
2 São Bernardo São Bernardo 12 24
3 Sport Recife Sport Recife 12 23
4 Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC 12 21
5 Novorizontino Novorizontino 12 20
6 Criciuma Criciuma 12 20
7 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 12 19
8 Operario-PR Operario-PR 12 19
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 12 18
10 Goias Goias 12 17
11 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 13 17
12 Juventude Juventude 12 16
13 Ceara Ceara 12 16
14 Cuiaba Cuiaba 12 16
15 CRB CRB 13 15
16 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 12 10
17 Avai Avai 12 10
18 Londrina Londrina 12 8
19 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 12 8
20 America Mineiro America Mineiro 12 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Criciuma vs Ceara?
The model gives Criciuma a 42% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 28% for an Ceara win.
How many goals are expected in Criciuma vs Ceara?
Expected goals: Criciuma 1.3, Ceara 1.0 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 67%.
What is the most likely score in Criciuma vs Ceara?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.0%.