Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 20
July 26, 2026 21:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Criciuma, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Criciuma a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Nautico Recife 18%). The final result was Criciuma 0–0 Nautico Recife. In 1 previous meetings, Criciuma have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nautico Recife.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
1.55
Actual xG
0.70
4
Saves
5
56%
Possession
44%
7
Corners
4
9
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
20'
B. Borasi
/
Luiz Felipe
30'
Gustavo Henrique
40'
Matheus Ribeiro
45'+1
Betao
/
Matheus Ribeiro
46'
Wanderson
/
Gustavo Henrique
48'
Betao
Eduardo
/ Nicolas
59'
Waguininho
/ Jhonata Robert
67'
R. Otero
/ Diego Goncalves
68'
68'
Auremir
/
Samuel Felix
68'
Reginaldo
/
Derek
Gui Lobo
/ Ronald Lopes
82'
Luciano Castan
/ Hiago Alves
82'
90'
Wenderson
Pre-match prediction
58.01%
Criciuma
23.34%
X ←
18.65%
Nautico
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.67
1.55
-0.12
0.79
0.70
-0.09
Criciuma dominated by xG (1.55 vs 0.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
70
Pedro
G
Pedro
G
4
Luciano Castan
82'
D
Luciano Castan
82'
D
3
Rodrigo Fagundes
D
Rodrigo Fagundes
D
37
César Martins
D
César Martins
D
22
Marcelo Hermes
M
Marcelo Hermes
M
8
Guilherme Lobo
82'
M
Guilherme Lobo
82'
M
5
Eduardo Biasi
59'
M
Eduardo Biasi
59'
M
97
Willean Lepo
M
Willean Lepo
M
7
Fellipe Mateus
F
Fellipe Mateus
F
13
Waguininho
67'
F
Waguininho
67'
F
91
Rómulo Otero
68'
F
Rómulo Otero
68'
F
Bench
1
Alisson
G
Alisson
G
34
Bruno Alves
D
Bruno Alves
D
88
Cauê
F
Cauê
F
77
Diego Gonçalves
22'
F
Diego Gonçalves
22'
F
31
Hiago Alves
8'
M
Hiago Alves
8'
M
41
Jean Irmer
M
Jean Irmer
M
10
Jhonata Robert
23'
F
Jhonata Robert
23'
F
21
João Carlos
F
João Carlos
F
9
Nicolas
31'
F
Nicolas
31'
F
11
Romarinho
F
Romarinho
F
14
Ronald
8'
M
Ronald
8'
M
50
Thiaguinho
M
Thiaguinho
M
1
Muriel
G
Muriel
G
14
Matheus Ribeiro
44'
D
Matheus Ribeiro
44'
D
46
Gustavo Henrique
45'
D
Gustavo Henrique
45'
D
15
Léo Índio
D
Léo Índio
D
2
Arnaldo
D
Arnaldo
D
8
Wenderson
M
Wenderson
M
41
Samuel
68'
M
Samuel
68'
M
72
Derek Freitas
68'
M
Derek Freitas
68'
M
20
Jean Carlos
M
Jean Carlos
M
27
Luiz Felipe
20'
M
Luiz Felipe
20'
M
19
Kauã Maranhão
F
Kauã Maranhão
F
Bench
5
Auremir
22'
M
Auremir
22'
M
24
Benjamín Borasi
70'
M
Benjamín Borasi
70'
M
3
Betão
46'
D
Betão
46'
D
55
Gastón Guruceaga
G
Gastón Guruceaga
G
37
Juan Rikelme
D
Juan Rikelme
D
16
Luiz Claudio
F
Luiz Claudio
F
93
Reginaldo
22'
D
Reginaldo
22'
D
11
Victor Andrade
F
Victor Andrade
F
34
Wanderson
45'
D
Wanderson
45'
D
Best on the pitch
Pedro
G · Criciuma
7.70
· 24 pass
Rómulo Otero
F · Criciuma
7.60
3 shots
· 10 pass
Muriel
G · Nautico
7.50
· 40 pass
Rodrigo Fagundes
D · Criciuma
7.30
· 50 pass
Luciano Castan
D · Criciuma
7.20
· 20 pass
César Martins
D · Criciuma
7.00
1 shots
· 59 pass
Criciuma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Castan | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Fagundes | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| César Martins | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Marcelo Hermes | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Guilherme Lobo | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Biasi | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Willean Lepo | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Fellipe Mateus | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Waguininho | F | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Rómulo Otero | F | 68 | 7.60 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Gonçalves | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Hiago Alves | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jhonata Robert | F | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ronald | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Nautico Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muriel | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 40 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Ribeiro | D | 44 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Léo Índio | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Arnaldo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Wenderson | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Samuel | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Derek Freitas | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Jean Carlos | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 27 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Felipe | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kauã Maranhão | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Auremir | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Benjamín Borasi | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Betão | D | 46 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Reginaldo | D | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Wanderson | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Nautico Recife?
The final score was Criciuma 0–0 Nautico Recife.
What did the model predict before Criciuma vs Nautico Recife?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Criciuma win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Nautico Recife win.