Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 36
October 30, 2026 23:30
Estadio Heriberto Hülse, Chrissyuma
✓Model correct — prediction Criciuma
Fellipe Mateus
(ast. Nicolas Godinho Johann)
45'+5
Diego Gonçalves
89'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Criciuma a 75% win probability (draw 16%, Ponte Preta 8%). The final result was Criciuma 2–0 Ponte Preta. In 1 previous meetings, Criciuma have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Ponte Preta.
Match statistics
31
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
2
2.09
Actual xG
0.16
2
Saves
5
73%
Possession
27%
11
Corners
3
18
Tackles
22
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
24'
25'
Danilo Barcelos
38'
Rodrigo Souza
⚽Fellipe Mateus
· ast. Nicolas Godinho Johann
45'+5
Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva
/ Diego Gonçalves
45'
45'
Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade
/
David da Hora
45'
Gustavo Felipe Almeida
/
Denis
Diego Gonçalves
49'
Guilherme Teixeira Lobo
57'
61'
Miguel Morais Silva Santos
/
Danilo
Guilherme Teixeira Lobo
/ Eduardo Biasi
61'
Willean Bernardo
71'
Willean Bernardo
/ Marcio Almeida de Oliveira
75'
Nicolas Godinho Johann
/ Yuri Jonathan
75'
80'
Gabriel Caran
81'
Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade
Fellipe Mateus
/ Waguininho
86'
86'
Vinicius Ferrari Andreoli
88'
Cauã Felipi Silva Coelho
/
Karl Cachoeira Della Vedova Júnior
Eduardo Biasi
89'
⚽Diego Gonçalves
89'
Rómulo Otero
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
75.09%
Criciuma ←
16.49%
X
8.43%
Ponte
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Criciuma)
75.09%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.95
2.09
+0.14
0.50
0.16
-0.34
Criciuma dominated by xG (2.09 vs 0.16).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
32
Airton
G
Airton
G
22
Marcelo Hermes
D
Marcelo Hermes
D
4
Luciano Castán
D
Luciano Castán
D
37
César Martins
D
César Martins
D
97
Willean Lepo
75'
D
Willean Lepo
75'
D
14
Ronald
M
Ronald
M
8
Guilherme Lobo
61'
M
Guilherme Lobo
61'
M
10
Jhonata Robert
45'
M
Jhonata Robert
45'
M
7
Fellipe Mateus
1 ⚽
86'
M
Fellipe Mateus
1 ⚽
86'
M
91
R. Otero
M
R. Otero
M
9
Nicolas
1 👟
75'
F
Nicolas
1 👟
75'
F
Bench
34
Bruno Alves
D
Bruno Alves
D
77
Diego Gonçalves
1 ⚽
45'
F
Diego Gonçalves
1 ⚽
45'
F
5
Eduardo
29'
M
Eduardo
29'
M
31
Hiago Accinelli da Roza
M
Hiago Accinelli da Roza
M
41
Jean Irmer
M
Jean Irmer
M
21
João Carlos
F
João Carlos
F
6
Marcinho
15'
D
Marcinho
15'
D
70
Pedro
G
Pedro
G
3
Rodrigo
D
Rodrigo
D
13
Waguininho
4'
F
Waguininho
4'
F
33
Yuri
15'
F
Yuri
15'
F
30
Vinicius
G
Vinicius
G
19
45'
D
14
Danilo Barcelos
25'
D
Danilo Barcelos
25'
D
15
Gabriel Caran
D
Gabriel Caran
D
23
S. Palacios
D
S. Palacios
D
32
45'
D
8
Karl
88'
M
Karl
88'
M
22
45'
M
5
Rodrigo Souza
M
Rodrigo Souza
M
18
David da Hora
45'
M
David da Hora
45'
M
9
Brandão
F
Brandão
F
Bench
35
C. Coelho
2'
F
C. Coelho
2'
F
1
Guilherme Viana
G
Guilherme Viana
G
44
Gustavo Almeida
45'
D
Gustavo Almeida
45'
D
6
Juan
D
Juan
D
20
Kawann
D
Kawann
D
17
Miguel
29'
M
Miguel
29'
M
Best on the pitch
Fellipe Mateus
M · Criciuma
8.18
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
César Martins
D · Criciuma
7.87
1 shots
· 85 pass
Nicolas
F · Criciuma
7.57
1 👟
2 shots
· 18 pass
Diego Gonçalves
F · Criciuma
7.45
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
R. Otero
M · Criciuma
7.20
9 shots
· 28 pass
Ronald
M · Criciuma
7.20
5 shots
· 57 pass
Criciuma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airton | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Marcelo Hermes | D | 90 | 7.09 | — | — | 3 | 57 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano Castán | D | 90 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 63 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| César Martins | D | 90 | 7.87 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| Willean Lepo | D | 75 | 6.47 | — | — | 4 | 49 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ronald | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 5 | 57 | 51% | 6 | — | — |
| Guilherme Lobo | M | 61 | 6.63 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 47% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Jhonata Robert | M | 45 | 6.84 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Fellipe Mateus | M | 86 | 8.18 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Otero | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 9 | 28 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nicolas | F | 75 | 7.57 | — | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Diego Gonçalves | F | 45 | 7.45 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eduardo | M | 29 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 19% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Marcinho | D | 15 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Waguininho | F | 4 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Yuri | F | 15 | 6.71 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Ponte Preta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinicius | G | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 13% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D | 45 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — | |
| Danilo Barcelos | D | 25 | 5.28 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | 1 |
| Gabriel Caran | D | 90 | 6.13 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Palacios | D | 90 | 5.65 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 45 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — | |
| Karl | M | 88 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 45 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — | |
| Rodrigo Souza | M | 90 | 5.56 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| David da Hora | M | 45 | 5.95 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Brandão | F | 90 | 5.87 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Coelho | F | 2 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Gustavo Almeida | D | 45 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Miguel | M | 29 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?
The final score was Criciuma 2–0 Ponte Preta.
What did the model predict before Criciuma vs Ponte Preta?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Criciuma win, 16% to a draw, and 8% to an Ponte Preta win.