Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 18
July 18, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Criciuma
Fellipe Mateus
(ast. Gui Lobo)
9'
Marcelo Hermes
(ast. Ronald Lopes)
85'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Criciuma a 56% win probability (draw 24%, Vila Nova 19%). The final result was Criciuma 2–0 Vila Nova.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
0.37
Actual xG
0.55
2
Saves
2
37%
Possession
63%
5
Corners
2
10
Tackles
13
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Fellipe Mateus
· ast. Gui Lobo
9'
Luciano Castan
26'
Gui Lobo
34'
39'
Tiago Pagnussat
Gui Lobo
/ Ronald Lopes
46'
Bruno Alves
49'
Eduardo
51'
Eduardo
/ Jean Irmer
58'
R. Otero
/ Romarinho
58'
61'
Nathan Camargo
/
Igor Carius
61'
Enzo Bizzotto
/
Higor Meritao
61'
Emerson Urso
/
Dudu
63'
Higor
69'
Enzo Bizzotto
78'
Caique
/
Janderson
⚽Marcelo Hermes
· ast. Ronald Lopes
85'
Waguininho
/ Joao Carlos
89'
90'+1
Hayner
/
Dellatorre
Fellipe Mateus
/ Jhonata Robert
90'+5
Jean Irmer
90'
Pre-match prediction
56.49%
Criciuma ←
24.23%
X
19.27%
Vila
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Criciuma)
56.49%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.62
0.37
-1.25
0.80
0.55
-0.25
xG dominance was balanced (0.37 – 0.55).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
70
Pedro
G
Pedro
G
4
Luciano Castán
D
Luciano Castán
D
3
Rodrigo
D
Rodrigo
D
34
Bruno Alves
D
Bruno Alves
D
22
Marcelo Hermes
1 ⚽
M
Marcelo Hermes
1 ⚽
M
8
Guilherme Lobo
1 👟
45'
M
Guilherme Lobo
1 👟
45'
M
5
Eduardo
58'
M
Eduardo
58'
M
97
Willean Lepo
M
Willean Lepo
M
7
Fellipe Mateus
1 ⚽
F
Fellipe Mateus
1 ⚽
F
13
Waguininho
89'
F
Waguininho
89'
F
91
R. Otero
58'
F
R. Otero
58'
F
Bench
1
Alisson
G
Alisson
G
88
Cauê
F
Cauê
F
77
Diego Gonçalves
F
Diego Gonçalves
F
31
Hiago Accinelli da Roza
M
Hiago Accinelli da Roza
M
41
Jean Irmer
39'
M
Jean Irmer
39'
M
10
Jhonata Robert
2'
F
Jhonata Robert
2'
F
21
João Carlos
8'
F
João Carlos
8'
F
9
Nicolas
F
Nicolas
F
11
Romarinho
39'
F
Romarinho
39'
F
14
Ronald
1 👟
52'
M
Ronald
1 👟
52'
M
43
Ruan
D
Ruan
D
50
Thiaguinho
M
Thiaguinho
M
1
Helton Leite
G
Helton Leite
G
6
Higor
D
Higor
D
23
Breno
D
Breno
D
3
Tiago Pagnussat
D
Tiago Pagnussat
D
16
Igor Cariús
61'
D
Igor Cariús
61'
D
21
Higor Meritão
61'
M
Higor Meritão
61'
M
5
João Vieira
M
João Vieira
M
99
Janderson
78'
M
Janderson
78'
M
10
Marquinhos Gabriel
M
Marquinhos Gabriel
M
15
Dudu
61'
M
Dudu
61'
M
49
Dellatorre
F
Dellatorre
F
Bench
19
Caique Jesus
19'
F
Caique Jesus
19'
F
29
Dalberson
G
Dalberson
G
31
Dodô
M
Dodô
M
70
Emerson Urso
36'
F
Emerson Urso
36'
F
18
Enzo
36'
M
Enzo
36'
M
22
Hayner
6'
D
Hayner
6'
D
20
Nathan Camargo
36'
M
Nathan Camargo
36'
M
9
Puskas Gustavo
F
Puskas Gustavo
F
4
Samuel Lucas
D
Samuel Lucas
D
13
Willian Formiga
D
Willian Formiga
D
Best on the pitch
Fellipe Mateus
F · Criciuma
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Rodrigo
D · Criciuma
7.50
1 shots
· 20 pass
Marcelo Hermes
M · Criciuma
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
Ronald
M · Criciuma
7.20
1 👟
· 13 pass
Guilherme Lobo
M · Criciuma
7.20
1 👟
· 13 pass
Breno
D · Vila
7.20
· 67 pass
Criciuma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro | G | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Castán | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo | D | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Alves | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marcelo Hermes | M | 97 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Guilherme Lobo | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eduardo | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Willean Lepo | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Fellipe Mateus | F | 95 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Waguininho | F | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Otero | F | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jean Irmer | M | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jhonata Robert | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| João Carlos | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Romarinho | F | 39 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Ronald | M | 52 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Vila Nova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helton Leite | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Higor | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Breno | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Tiago Pagnussat | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 71 | 60% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Igor Cariús | D | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Higor Meritão | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| João Vieira | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Janderson | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Marquinhos Gabriel | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Dudu | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Dellatorre | F | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Caique Jesus | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Emerson Urso | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Enzo | M | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| Hayner | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Camargo | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Vila Nova?
The final score was Criciuma 2–0 Vila Nova.
What did the model predict before Criciuma vs Vila Nova?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Criciuma win, 24% to a draw, and 19% to an Vila Nova win.