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#3 · 3 pts
0 – 7
Final score
#2 · 9 pts
8' (ast. Jude Bellingham) Harry Kane
21' (ast. Anthony Gordon) Jude Bellingham
39' (ast. Jarell Quansah) Anthony Gordon
45' (ast. Jude Bellingham) Bukayo Saka
53' (ast. Elliot Anderson) Harry Kane
68' (ast. Harry Kane) Bukayo Saka
87' (ast. Jude Bellingham) Morgan Rogers
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave England a 42% win probability (draw 32%, Croatia 24%). The final result was Croatia 0–7 England. In 1 previous meetings, Croatia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for England.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
19
1
Shots on target
10
3
Saves
1
36%
Possession
64%
1
Corners
6
15
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
8'
ast. Jude Bellingham · Harry Kane⚽
21'
ast. Anthony Gordon · Jude Bellingham⚽
39'
ast. Jarell Quansah · Anthony Gordon⚽
45'
ast. Jude Bellingham · Bukayo Saka⚽
↕ Petar Musa / Igor Matanovic
45'
↕ Petar Sučić / Mario Pašalić
45'
↕ Martin Baturina / Nikola Vlašić
45'
53'
ast. Elliot Anderson · Harry Kane⚽
↕ Luka Modrić / Kristijan Jakić
57'
68'
ast. Harry Kane · Bukayo Saka⚽
Mateo Kovačić
68'
70'
Eberechi Eze / Anthony Gordon ↕
70'
James Garner / Alex Scott ↕
70'
Morgan Rogers / Harry Kane ↕
↕ Josip Stanišić / Josip Šutalo
76'
79'
Morgan Gibbs-White / Elliot Anderson ↕
79'
Myles Lewis-Skelly / Lewis Hall ↕
87'
ast. Jude Bellingham · Morgan Rogers⚽
Pre-match prediction
24.69%
Croatia
32.46%
X
42.85%
England ←
we assigned to the actual result (England) 42.85% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Croatia
0.98
—
—
England
1.30
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Spain Spain 4 12
2 England England 4 9
3 Croatia Croatia 4 3
4 Czechia Czechia 4 0
Lineups
Croatia Croatia 4-2-3-1
1 D. Livaković D. Livaković G 5.66
14 I. Perišić I. Perišić D 6.23
4 J. Gvardiol J. Gvardiol D 5.89
5 L. Vušković L. Vušković D 6.02
2 J. Stanišić J. Stanišić 76' D 5.91
8 M. Kovačić M. Kovačić M 6.25
10 L. Modrić L. Modrić 57' M 6.49
16 M. Baturina M. Baturina 45' M 5.80
17 P. Sučić P. Sučić 45' M 6.01
7 F. Ivanović F. Ivanović M 5.69
11 P. Musa P. Musa 45' F 6.80
Bench
9 A. Kramarić A. Kramarić F 0.00
23 D. Kotarski D. Kotarski G 0.00
20 I. Matanović I. Matanović 45' F 6.38
12 I. Pandur I. Pandur G 0.00
3 I. Smolčić I. Smolčić D 0.00
22 J. Mišić J. Mišić M 0.00
6 J. Šutalo J. Šutalo 14' D 5.60
18 K. Jakić K. Jakić 33' M 6.31
21 L. Sučić L. Sučić M 0.00
19 Marco Pasalic Marco Pasalic F 0.00
15 Mario Pasalic Mario Pasalic 45' M 5.52
13 N. Vlašić N. Vlašić 45' M 6.07
England England 4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford J. Pickford G 7.13
3 L. Hall L. Hall 79' D 8.00
6 M. Guéhi M. Guéhi D 7.39
5 E. Konsa E. Konsa D 7.59
22 J. Quansah J. Quansah 1 👟 D 7.73
4 A. Scott A. Scott 70' M 7.20
8 E. Anderson E. Anderson 1 👟 79' M 7.70
11 A. Gordon A. Gordon 1 ⚽ 1 👟 70' M 9.00
10 J. Bellingham J. Bellingham 1 ⚽ 3 👟 M 9.25
7 B. Saka B. Saka 2 ⚽ M 9.06
9 H. Kane H. Kane 2 ⚽ 1 👟 70' F 9.76
Bench
19 D. Calvert-Lewin D. Calvert-Lewin F 0.00
21 E. Eze E. Eze 20' M 6.88
15 J. Branthwaite J. Branthwaite D 0.00
18 J. Garner J. Garner 20' M 6.85
23 J. Steele J. Steele G 0.00
13 J. Trafford J. Trafford G 0.00
20 M. Gibbs-White M. Gibbs-White 11' M 6.76
16 M. Lewis-Skelly M. Lewis-Skelly 11' D 7.05
17 M. Rogers M. Rogers 1 ⚽ 20' M 8.10
14 R. Ngumoha R. Ngumoha F 0.00
2 T. Alexander-Arnold T. Alexander-Arnold D 0.00
12 T. Chalobah T. Chalobah D 0.00
Best on the pitch
H. Kane
H. Kane
F · England
9.76
2 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 37 pass
J. Bellingham
J. Bellingham
M · England
9.25
1 ⚽ 3 👟
3 shots · 79 pass
B. Saka
B. Saka
M · England
9.06
2 ⚽
5 shots · 44 pass
A. Gordon
A. Gordon
M · England
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots · 44 pass
M. Rogers
M. Rogers
M · England
8.10
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
L. Hall
L. Hall
D · England
8.00
· 59 pass
Croatia Croatia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Livaković G 90 5.66 — — 0 26 15% 0 — —
I. Perišić D 90 6.23 — — 2 27 26% 2 — —
J. Gvardiol D 90 5.89 — — 0 43 40% 0 — —
L. Vušković D 90 6.02 — — 0 39 38% 2 — —
J. Stanišić D 76 5.91 — — 0 39 34% 1 — —
M. Kovačić M 90 6.25 — — 2 53 50% 0 1 —
L. Modrić M 57 6.49 — — 0 39 36% 0 — —
M. Baturina M 45 5.80 — — 0 22 17% 1 — —
P. Sučić M 45 6.01 — — 0 17 14% 1 — —
F. Ivanović M 90 5.69 — — 0 25 21% 2 — —
P. Musa F 45 6.80 — — 2 8 6% 1 — —
I. Matanović F 45 6.38 — — 3 13 7% 0 — —
J. Šutalo D 14 5.60 — — 0 8 7% 1 — —
K. Jakić M 33 6.31 — — 0 20 14% 2 — —
Mario Pasalic M 45 5.52 — — 1 18 17% 1 — —
N. Vlašić M 45 6.07 — — 2 25 21% 1 — —
England England — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Pickford G 90 7.13 — — 0 41 36% 0 — —
L. Hall D 79 8.00 — — 0 59 54% 4 — —
M. Guéhi D 90 7.39 — — 1 97 92% 1 — —
E. Konsa D 90 7.59 — — 0 80 77% 3 — —
J. Quansah D 90 7.73 — 1 0 39 36% 1 — —
A. Scott M 70 7.20 — — 0 74 68% 3 — —
E. Anderson M 79 7.70 — 1 1 94 91% 2 — —
A. Gordon M 70 9.00 1 1 5 44 40% 0 — —
J. Bellingham M 90 9.25 1 3 3 79 69% 1 — —
B. Saka M 90 9.06 2 — 5 44 37% 2 — —
H. Kane F 70 9.76 2 1 3 37 33% 1 — —
E. Eze M 20 6.88 — — 0 13 9% 0 — —
J. Garner M 20 6.85 — — 0 18 17% 1 — —
M. Gibbs-White M 11 6.76 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
M. Lewis-Skelly D 11 7.05 — — 0 9 9% 0 — —
M. Rogers M 20 8.10 1 — 1 13 10% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Croatia vs England?
The final score was Croatia 0–7 England.
What did the model predict before Croatia vs England?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Croatia win, 32% to a draw, and 42% to an England win.