World Cup
· Group Stage - 3
June 27, 2026 23:00
P. Sucic
(ast. M. Kovacic)
31'
N. Vlasic
(ast. L. Modric)
83'
73'
(ast. E. Nuamah)
D. Luckassen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Croatia a 45% win probability (draw 34%, Ghana 20%). The final result was Croatia 2–1 Ghana.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
3
4
Shots on target
1
0.46
Actual xG
0.71
0
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
2
14
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽P. Sucic
· ast. M. Kovacic
31'
46'
K. Peprah
/
J. Adjetey
46'
I. Fatawu
/
E. Owusu
A. Budimir
/ I. Matanovic
66'
I. Perisic
68'
71'
B. Thomas-Asante
/
J. Ayew
71'
E. Nuamah
/
K. Sulemana
73'
ast. E. Nuamah ·
D. Luckassen⚽
M. Kovacic
/ M. Pasalic
78'
⚽N. Vlasic
· ast. L. Modric
83'
85'
C. Yirenkyi
/
K. Sibo
M. Baturina
/ M. Pasalic
88'
N. Vlasic
/ J. Gvardiol
88'
90'+4
K. Peprah
Pre-match prediction
45.35%
Croatia ←
34.6%
X
20.05%
Ghana
we assigned to the actual result (Croatia)
45.35%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
0.46
-0.8
0.64
0.71
+0.07
xG dominance was balanced (0.46 – 0.71).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
D. Livaković
G
D. Livaković
G
14
I. Perišić
D
I. Perišić
D
3
M. Pongračić
D
M. Pongračić
D
6
J. Šutalo
D
J. Šutalo
D
2
J. Stanišić
D
J. Stanišić
D
8
M. Kovačić
1 👟
78'
M
M. Kovačić
1 👟
78'
M
10
L. Modrić
1 👟
M
L. Modrić
1 👟
M
16
M. Baturina
88'
M
M. Baturina
88'
M
13
N. Vlašić
1 ⚽
88'
M
N. Vlašić
1 ⚽
88'
M
17
P. Sučić
1 ⚽
M
P. Sučić
1 ⚽
M
11
A. Budimir
66'
F
A. Budimir
66'
F
Bench
9
A. Kramarić
F
A. Kramarić
F
5
D. Ćaleta-Car
D
D. Ćaleta-Car
D
23
D. Kotarski
G
D. Kotarski
G
20
I. Matanović
30'
F
I. Matanović
30'
F
12
I. Pandur
G
I. Pandur
G
4
J. Gvardiol
8'
D
J. Gvardiol
8'
D
18
K. Jakić
M
K. Jakić
M
21
L. Sučić
M
L. Sučić
M
22
L. Vušković
D
L. Vušković
D
24
Marco Pasalic
8'
F
Marco Pasalic
8'
F
15
Mario Pasalic
18'
M
Mario Pasalic
18'
M
25
M. Erlić
D
M. Erlić
D
7
N. Moro
M
N. Moro
M
26
P. Musa
F
P. Musa
F
19
T. Fruk
M
T. Fruk
M
16
B. Asare
G
B. Asare
G
14
G. Mensah
D
G. Mensah
D
23
D. Luckassen
1 ⚽
D
D. Luckassen
1 ⚽
D
4
J. Adjetey
45'
D
J. Adjetey
45'
D
26
Marvin Senaya
D
Marvin Senaya
D
5
T. Partey
M
T. Partey
M
22
K. Sulemana
71'
M
K. Sulemana
71'
M
8
K. Sibo
85'
M
K. Sibo
85'
M
15
Elisha Owusu
45'
M
Elisha Owusu
45'
M
11
A. Semenyo
M
A. Semenyo
M
9
J. Ayew
71'
F
J. Ayew
71'
F
Bench
17
A. Baba
D
A. Baba
D
6
Abdul Mumin
D
Abdul Mumin
D
20
A. Boakye
M
A. Boakye
M
7
A. Fatawu
51'
F
A. Fatawu
51'
F
2
A. Seidu
D
A. Seidu
D
10
B. Thomas-Asante
25'
F
B. Thomas-Asante
25'
F
3
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
11'
M
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
11'
M
13
C. Bonsu Baah
F
C. Bonsu Baah
F
24
E. Nuamah
1 👟
25'
F
E. Nuamah
1 👟
25'
F
19
I. Williams
F
I. Williams
F
12
J. Anang
G
J. Anang
G
18
J. Opoku
D
J. Opoku
D
21
Kojo Peprah Oppong
51'
D
Kojo Peprah Oppong
51'
D
1
L. Zigi
G
L. Zigi
G
25
Prince Kwabena Adu
F
Prince Kwabena Adu
F
Best on the pitch
P. Sučić
M · Croatia
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
L. Modrić
M · Croatia
7.90
1 👟
· 87 pass
N. Vlašić
M · Croatia
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
D. Luckassen
D · Ghana
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 80 pass
J. Šutalo
D · Croatia
7.20
· 87 pass
E. Nuamah
F · Ghana
7.20
1 👟
· 6 pass
Croatia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Livaković | G | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| I. Perišić | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Pongračić | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 69% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Šutalo | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 87 | 82% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Stanišić | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| M. Kovačić | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 61 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Modrić | M | 96 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 87 | 81% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Baturina | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Vlašić | M | 88 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Sučić | M | 96 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Budimir | F | 66 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| I. Matanović | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Gvardiol | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Pasalic | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mario Pasalic | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
Ghana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Asare | G | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| G. Mensah | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Luckassen | D | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 80 | 70% | — | — | — |
| J. Adjetey | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Marvin Senaya | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 5 | — | — |
| T. Partey | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 75 | 69% | — | — | — |
| K. Sulemana | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Sibo | M | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Elisha Owusu | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Semenyo | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Ayew | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Fatawu | F | 51 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| B. Thomas-Asante | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Nuamah | F | 25 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Kojo Peprah Oppong | D | 51 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Croatia vs Ghana?
The final score was Croatia 2–1 Ghana.
What did the model predict before Croatia vs Ghana?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Croatia win, 34% to a draw, and 20% to an Ghana win.