World Cup
· Group Stage - 3
June 27, 2026 23:00
P. Sucic
(ast. M. Kovacic)
31'
N. Vlasic
(ast. L. Modric)
83'
73'
(ast. E. Nuamah)
D. Luckassen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Croatia a 45% win probability (draw 34%, Ghana 20%). The final result was Croatia 2–1 Ghana.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
3
4
Shots on target
1
0.46
Actual xG
0.71
0
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
2
14
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽P. Sucic
· ast. M. Kovacic
31'
46'
K. Peprah
/
J. Adjetey
46'
I. Fatawu
/
E. Owusu
A. Budimir
/ I. Matanovic
66'
I. Perisic
68'
71'
B. Thomas-Asante
/
J. Ayew
71'
E. Nuamah
/
K. Sulemana
73'
ast. E. Nuamah ·
D. Luckassen⚽
M. Kovacic
/ M. Pasalic
78'
⚽N. Vlasic
· ast. L. Modric
83'
85'
C. Yirenkyi
/
K. Sibo
M. Baturina
/ M. Pasalic
88'
N. Vlasic
/ J. Gvardiol
88'
90'+4
K. Peprah
Pre-match prediction
45.35%
Croatia ←
34.6%
X
20.05%
Ghana
we assigned to the actual result (Croatia)
45.35%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
0.46
-0.8
0.64
0.71
+0.07
xG dominance was balanced (0.46 – 0.71).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Dominik Livaković
G
Dominik Livaković
G
14
I. Perišić
D
I. Perišić
D
3
M. Pongračić
D
M. Pongračić
D
6
Josip Šutalo
D
Josip Šutalo
D
2
Josip Stanišić
D
Josip Stanišić
D
8
Mateo Kovačić
1 👟
78'
M
Mateo Kovačić
1 👟
78'
M
10
Luka Modrić
1 👟
M
Luka Modrić
1 👟
M
16
M. Baturina
88'
M
M. Baturina
88'
M
13
N. Vlašić
1 ⚽
88'
M
N. Vlašić
1 ⚽
88'
M
17
P. Sučić
1 ⚽
M
P. Sučić
1 ⚽
M
11
Ante Budimir
66'
F
Ante Budimir
66'
F
Bench
9
A. Kramarić
F
A. Kramarić
F
5
D. Ćaleta-Car
D
D. Ćaleta-Car
D
23
Dominik Kotarski
G
Dominik Kotarski
G
20
Igor Matanović
30'
F
Igor Matanović
30'
F
12
Ivor Pandur
G
Ivor Pandur
G
4
Joško Gvardiol
8'
D
Joško Gvardiol
8'
D
18
Kristijan Jakić
M
Kristijan Jakić
M
21
L. Sučić
M
L. Sučić
M
22
Luka Vušković
D
Luka Vušković
D
24
Marco Pasalic
8'
F
Marco Pasalic
8'
F
25
Martin Erlić
D
Martin Erlić
D
15
M. Pašalić
18'
M
M. Pašalić
18'
M
7
N. Moro
M
N. Moro
M
26
P. Musa
F
P. Musa
F
19
Toni Fruk
M
16
Benjamin Asare
G
Benjamin Asare
G
14
Gideon Mensah
D
Gideon Mensah
D
23
D. Luckassen
1 ⚽
D
D. Luckassen
1 ⚽
D
4
Jonas Adjei Adjetey
45'
D
Jonas Adjei Adjetey
45'
D
26
Marvin Senaya
D
Marvin Senaya
D
5
T. Partey
M
T. Partey
M
22
K. Sulemana
71'
M
K. Sulemana
71'
M
8
Kwasi Sibo
85'
M
Kwasi Sibo
85'
M
15
Elisha Owusu
45'
M
Elisha Owusu
45'
M
11
A. Semenyo
M
A. Semenyo
M
9
Jordan Ayew
71'
F
Jordan Ayew
71'
F
Bench
7
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
51'
F
Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
51'
F
6
Abdul Mumin
D
Abdul Mumin
D
2
Alidu Seidu
D
Alidu Seidu
D
20
Augustine Boakye
M
Augustine Boakye
M
10
Brandon Thomas-Asante
25'
F
Brandon Thomas-Asante
25'
F
3
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
11'
M
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
11'
M
13
C. Bonsu Baah
F
C. Bonsu Baah
F
24
Ernest Nuamah
1 👟
25'
F
Ernest Nuamah
1 👟
25'
F
19
Iñaki Williams
F
Iñaki Williams
F
18
Jerome Opoku
D
Jerome Opoku
D
12
Joseph Anang
G
Joseph Anang
G
21
Kojo Peprah Oppong
51'
D
Kojo Peprah Oppong
51'
D
1
Lawrence Ati Zigi
G
Lawrence Ati Zigi
G
25
Prince Kwabena Adu
F
Prince Kwabena Adu
F
17
Rahman Baba
D
Best on the pitch
P. Sučić
M · Croatia
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
Luka Modrić
M · Croatia
7.90
1 👟
· 87 pass
N. Vlašić
M · Croatia
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
D. Luckassen
D · Ghana
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 80 pass
Josip Šutalo
D · Croatia
7.20
· 87 pass
Ernest Nuamah
F · Ghana
7.20
1 👟
· 6 pass
Croatia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Livaković | G | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| I. Perišić | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Pongračić | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 69% | 3 | — | — |
| Josip Šutalo | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 87 | 82% | 2 | — | — |
| Josip Stanišić | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Kovačić | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 61 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Luka Modrić | M | 96 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 87 | 81% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Baturina | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Vlašić | M | 88 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Sučić | M | 96 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Ante Budimir | F | 66 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Igor Matanović | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Joško Gvardiol | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Pasalic | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Pašalić | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
Ghana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Asare | G | 96 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Gideon Mensah | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Luckassen | D | 96 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 80 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Jonas Adjei Adjetey | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Marvin Senaya | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 5 | — | — |
| T. Partey | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 75 | 69% | — | — | — |
| K. Sulemana | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Kwasi Sibo | M | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Elisha Owusu | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Semenyo | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Ayew | F | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Abdul Fatawu Issahaku | F | 51 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Brandon Thomas-Asante | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ernest Nuamah | F | 25 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Kojo Peprah Oppong | D | 51 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Croatia vs Ghana?
The final score was Croatia 2–1 Ghana.
What did the model predict before Croatia vs Ghana?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Croatia win, 34% to a draw, and 20% to an Ghana win.