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← Serie C - Girone C

Crotone - Salernitana

Serie C - Girone C September 26, 2026 14:30 Stadio Ezio Scida, Crotone
Crotone
#20 · 0 pts
vs
Salernitana
#9 · 9 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 22.1°C 💨 31 km/h · Crotone
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.4%
Win
Crotone
33.46%
Draw
35.15%
Win
Salernitana
0.66
Expected xG
0.87

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.76%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 33%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 69%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 47%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Salernitana a 35% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Crotone. Expected goals are 0.7 for Crotone and 0.9 for Salernitana (total 1.5), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.76% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Crotone have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Salernitana.

Season Stats

Crotone
5W 4D 6L
Salernitana
8W 3D 4L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.5
1.4
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
73%
47%
O 2.5
53%
53%
BTTS
73%
13%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Serie C - Girone C. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Crotone
5W 1D 4L · at home
Salernitana
4W 3D 3L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.3
1.3
Conceded
1.2
50%
Win %
40%
60%
Win or Draw
70%
70%
O 1.5
70%
40%
O 2.5
30%
40%
O 3.5
20%
40%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
30%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Crotone Salernitana →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 21.8% 18.9% 8.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 12.4% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.7% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% — —
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Crotone Crotone
D SS Monopoli 2–2
L Inter U23 0–2
D Savoia 1–1
D Barletta 2–2
L Sorrento 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
Salernitana Salernitana
W Giugliano 1–0
D Barletta 1–1
W Potenza 4–2
D Cavese 1–1
D Foggia 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Crotone Crotone
Attack
24
Defence
54
Form
30
Salernitana Salernitana
Attack
35
Defence
62
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Crotone
1
Draw
1
Salernitana
15 Mar 2026 Serie C - Girone C 0–1
10 Nov 2025 Serie C - Girone C 0–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Sorrento Sorrento 6 15
2 Potenza Potenza 6 13
3 Bari Bari 6 13
4 Casertana Casertana 6 12
5 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 6 10
6 Inter U23 Inter U23 6 10
7 Casarano Casarano 6 10
8 AZ Picerno AZ Picerno 6 9
9 Salernitana Salernitana 6 9
10 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 6 8
11 Catania Catania 6 7
12 Barletta Barletta 6 7
13 Scafatese Scafatese 6 7
14 Team Altamura Team Altamura 6 7
15 Savoia Savoia 6 6
16 Foggia Foggia 6 5
17 Cavese Cavese 6 5
18 Giugliano Giugliano 6 4
19 Cosenza Cosenza 6 2
20 Crotone Crotone 6 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Crotone vs Salernitana?
The model gives Crotone a 31% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 35% for an Salernitana win.
How many goals are expected in Crotone vs Salernitana?
Expected goals: Crotone 0.7, Salernitana 0.9 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Crotone vs Salernitana?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.76%.