N. Ibanez
(ast. C. Rodriguez)
60'
A. Palavecino
(ast. G. Fernandez)
90'+10
44'
(ast. W. Portales)
L. Puente
47'
(ast. Jhojan Julio)
L. Calzadilla
(pen.)
75'
Jhojan Julio
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Atlante FC 31%). The final result was Cruz Azul 2–3 Atlante FC.
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
7
2.72
Actual xG
1.89
61%
Possession
39%
7
Corners
5
Match Events
15'
L. Calzadilla
44'
ast. W. Portales ·
L. Puente⚽
47'
ast. Jhojan Julio ·
L. Calzadilla⚽
G. Piovi
/ C. Rodriguez
57'
A. Montano
/ J. Paradela
57'
59'
D. Gonzalez
/
L. Puente
⚽N. Ibanez
· ast. C. Rodriguez
60'
C. Ebere
/ G. Fernandez
61'
L. Romero
/ E. Lira
61'
C. Rodriguez
68'
69'
L. Mejia
/
E. Pizzuto
W. Ditta
73'
75'
(pen.)
Jhojan Julio⚽
81'
A. Escobar
/
W. Portales
81'
W. Clar
/
L. Calzadilla
N. Ibanez
/ E. Castaneda
86'
⚽G. Fernandez
(missed pen.)
90'+3
⚽A. Palavecino
· ast. G. Fernandez
90'+10
Pre-match prediction
36.68%
Cruz
31.47%
X
31.85%
Atlante ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atlante FC)
31.85%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.21
2.72
+1.51
1.38
1.89
+0.5
Cruz Azul dominated by xG (2.72 vs 1.89).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC?
The final score was Cruz Azul 2–3 Atlante FC.
What did the model predict before Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Cruz Azul win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Atlante FC win.