30'
(ast. Duk)
E. Zaldivar
45'
F. Monzon
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 45% win probability (draw 28%, Atlas 25%). The final result was Cruz Azul 0–2 Atlas. In 4 previous meetings, Cruz Azul have won 3 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Atlas.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
5
1.46
Actual xG
1.65
52%
Possession
48%
9
Corners
4
Match Events
30'
ast. Duk ·
E. Zaldivar⚽
45'
F. Monzon⚽
C. Ebere
/ L. Romero
46'
A. Montano
/ A. Garcia
46'
68'
Gustavo Ferrareis
/
A. Gonzalez
68'
V. H. Rios De Alba
/
Duk
J. Marquez
/ R. Gonzalez
69'
C. Rodriguez
/ G. Fernandez
75'
78'
S. Hernandez
/
E. Zaldivar
O. Campos
/ I. Silva
85'
88'
J. Rodriguez
/
M. Valenzuela
89'
J. Serrato
/
L. Esteves
Pre-match prediction
45.3%
Cruz
28.83%
X
25.87%
Atlas ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atlas)
25.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.23
1.46
-0.77
0.92
1.65
+0.73
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.65).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
The final score was Cruz Azul 0–2 Atlas.
What did the model predict before Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Cruz Azul win, 28% to a draw, and 25% to an Atlas win.