Cruz Azul - Chicago Fire
Leagues Cup
August 14, 2026 03:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.09%
Win
Cruz Azul
25.17%
Draw
25.74%
Win
Chicago Fire
3.22
1.64
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.84%)
1X2 Result
1
49%
X
25%
2
26%
Double Chance
1X
74%
X2
51%
12
75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cruz Azul a 49% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Chicago Fire. Expected goals are 3.2 for Cruz Azul and 1.6 for Chicago Fire (total 4.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.84% probability.
Season Stats
7W
6D
2L
8W
1D
6L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.9
1.3
Conceded
1.5
5.8
Shots OT
5.0
5.8
Corners
4.1
54%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
87%
60%
O 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
73%
13%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
32%
O 3.5
74%
BTTS
4W
5D
1L
· at home
4W
2D
3L
· away
1.6
gls/g
1.8
0.9
Conceded
1.6
40%
Win %
44%
90%
Win or Draw
67%
80%
O 1.5
89%
50%
O 2.5
78%
20%
O 3.5
44%
70%
BTTS
78%
30%
Clean Sht
22%
10%
Failed to Score
11%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Cruz Azul
Chicago Fire →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Cruz Azul
Attack
54
Defence
62
Form
65
Chicago Fire
Attack
49
Defence
54
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Chicago Fire?
The model gives Cruz Azul a 49% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 25% for an Chicago Fire win.
How many goals are expected in Cruz Azul vs Chicago Fire?
Expected goals: Cruz Azul 3.2, Chicago Fire 1.6 (total 4.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Cruz Azul vs Chicago Fire?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.84%.