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Liga MX · Apertura - 12 October 18, 2026 05:10 Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Cruz Azul
#3 · 23 pts
5 – 0
Final score
FC Juarez
#18 · 4 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Cruz Azul
Andrés Montaño (ast. Agustín Palavecino) 4'
Carlos Rodriguez (ast. Alan Mozo) 23'
Omar Campos (ast. Andrés Montaño) 45'+3
Agustín Palavecino 55'
Rogelio Gonzalez 75'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 67% win probability (draw 17%, FC Juarez 14%). The final result was Cruz Azul 5–0 FC Juarez. In 2 previous meetings, Cruz Azul have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC Juarez.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
10
9
Shots on target
4
2.76
Actual xG
1.20
4
Saves
4
57%
Possession
43%
2
Corners
8
14
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽Andrés Montaño · ast. Agustín Palavecino
4'
⚽Carlos Rodriguez · ast. Alan Mozo
23'
28'
Francisco Nevarez
⚽Omar Campos · ast. Andrés Montaño
45'+3
45'
Guilherme Castilho / Eder Lopez ↕
45'
Madson de Souza Silva / Ricardo Oliveira ↕
↕ Alan Mozo / Rogelio Gonzalez
45'
↕ Carlos Rodriguez / Luka Romero
45'
51'
Guilherme Castilho
51'
Madson de Souza Silva
⚽Agustín Palavecino
55'
↕ Agustín Palavecino / Ariel Castro
61'
↕ Nicolás Ibañez / Gabriel Fernández
61'
72'
Luca Dupuy / José Luis Rodríguez ↕
↕ Andrés Montaño / Osinachi Ebere
74'
⚽Rogelio Gonzalez
75'
77'
Brayan Adrián Molina Hernández / Oscar Estupiñan ↕
80'
Juan Sigala / Denzell Garcia ↕
Gabriel Fernández
89'
89'
Gilberto Sepulveda
Pre-match prediction
67.37%
Cruz ←
17.72%
X
14.91%
FC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cruz Azul) 67.37% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cruz
3.41
2.76
-0.65
FC
1.03
1.20
+0.17
Cruz Azul dominated by xG (2.76 vs 1.20). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Club America Club America 12 27
2 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 13 23
3 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 13 23
4 Toluca Toluca 13 22
5 Leon Leon 13 21
6 Atlas Atlas 13 21
7 Monterrey Monterrey 12 20
8 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 12 20
9 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 13 19
10 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 12 17
11 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 13 16
12 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 13 16
13 Puebla Puebla 13 16
14 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 13 14
15 Atlante FC Atlante FC 13 14
16 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 13 13
17 Necaxa Necaxa 13 9
18 FC Juarez FC Juarez 13 4
Lineups
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 5-3-2
1 A. Gudiño A. Gudiño G 7.61
3 O. Campos O. Campos 1 ⚽ D 8.06
33 G. Piovi G. Piovi D 8.00
12 A. Montes A. Montes D 8.00
17 A. García A. García D 7.34
2 A. Mozo A. Mozo 1 👟 45' D 7.93
19 C. Rodríguez C. Rodríguez 1 ⚽ 45' M 8.20
6 É. Lira É. Lira M 7.05
8 A. Palavecino A. Palavecino 1 ⚽ 1 👟 61' M 9.00
10 A. Montaño A. Montaño 1 ⚽ 1 👟 74' F 9.00
7 N. Ibáñez N. Ibáñez 61' F 6.36
Bench
60 Ariel Castro Sevilla Ariel Castro Sevilla 29' M 6.94
11 C. Ebere C. Ebere 16' F 6.48
21 G. Fernández G. Fernández 29' F 6.43
14 J. Calero J. Calero F 0.00
16 J. Márquez J. Márquez M 0.00
5 J. Orozco J. Orozco D 0.00
22 J. Rodarte J. Rodarte D 0.00
23 K. Mier K. Mier G 0.00
18 L. Romero L. Romero 45' F 7.20
55 R. Gonzalez R. Gonzalez 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.65
FC Juarez FC Juarez 4-2-3-1
1 S. Jurado S. Jurado G 6.33
14 E. López E. López 45' D 5.30
26 D. Piña D. Piña D 6.11
2 G. Sepúlveda G. Sepúlveda D 5.59
203 L. A. Carmona L. A. Carmona D 5.87
183 L. Silva L. Silva M 6.70
5 D. García D. García 80' M 6.34
11 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez 72' M 6.43
21 Ricardinho Ricardinho 45' M 5.84
33 F. Nevárez F. Nevárez M 5.69
19 Ó. Estupiñán Ó. Estupiñán 77' F 6.25
Bench
4 A. Mayorga A. Mayorga D 0.00
250 B. Molina B. Molina 13' M 5.83
8 Guilherme Castilho Guilherme Castilho 45' M 6.59
27 Guillermo Ruiz Guillermo Ruiz G 0.00
201 J. Carmona J. Carmona M 0.00
3 J. Murillo J. Murillo D 0.00
16 J. Sigala J. Sigala 10' M 5.72
17 L. Martínez Dupuy L. Martínez Dupuy 18' F 6.00
9 Madson Madson 45' F 6.53
13 Rodrigo Dourado Rodrigo Dourado M 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Palavecino
A. Palavecino
M · Cruz
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 44 pass
A. Montaño
A. Montaño
F · Cruz
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 26 pass
C. Rodríguez
C. Rodríguez
M · Cruz
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 39 pass
O. Campos
O. Campos
D · Cruz
8.06
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
G. Piovi
G. Piovi
D · Cruz
8.00
2 shots · 97 pass
A. Montes
A. Montes
D · Cruz
8.00
· 72 pass
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Gudiño G 90 7.61 — — 0 37 33% 0 — —
O. Campos D 90 8.06 1 — 1 33 27% 1 — —
G. Piovi D 90 8.00 — — 2 97 88% 2 — —
A. Montes D 90 8.00 — — 0 72 64% 2 — —
A. García D 90 7.34 — — 0 61 55% 1 — —
A. Mozo D 45 7.93 — 1 0 29 25% 2 — —
C. Rodríguez M 45 8.20 1 — 2 39 32% 0 — —
É. Lira M 90 7.05 — — 1 53 47% 1 — —
A. Palavecino M 61 9.00 1 1 1 44 33% 0 — —
A. Montaño F 74 9.00 1 1 1 26 23% 0 — —
N. Ibáñez F 61 6.36 — — 1 9 6% 0 — —
Ariel Castro Sevilla M 29 6.94 — — 1 12 12% 0 — —
C. Ebere F 16 6.48 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
G. Fernández F 29 6.43 — — 2 2 2% 0 1 —
L. Romero F 45 7.20 — — 2 11 10% 3 — —
R. Gonzalez M 45 7.65 1 — 1 8 4% 2 — —
FC Juarez FC Juarez — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Jurado G 90 6.33 — — 0 34 27% 0 — —
E. López D 45 5.30 — — 0 14 11% 0 — —
D. Piña D 90 6.11 — — 1 48 42% 2 — —
G. Sepúlveda D 90 5.59 — — 0 47 42% 0 1 —
L. A. Carmona D 90 5.87 — — 1 44 36% 2 — —
L. Silva M 90 6.70 — — 0 33 32% 3 — —
D. García M 80 6.34 — — 0 38 30% 0 — —
J. Rodríguez M 72 6.43 — — 3 13 13% 0 — —
Ricardinho M 45 5.84 — — 0 13 10% 2 — —
F. Nevárez M 90 5.69 — — 0 38 31% 1 1 —
Ó. Estupiñán F 77 6.25 — — 1 16 13% 0 — —
B. Molina M 13 5.83 — — 0 3 3% 2 — —
Guilherme Castilho M 45 6.59 — — 2 33 33% 0 1 —
J. Sigala M 10 5.72 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
L. Martínez Dupuy F 18 6.00 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Madson F 45 6.53 — — 2 12 11% 0 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez?
The final score was Cruz Azul 5–0 FC Juarez.
What did the model predict before Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Cruz Azul win, 17% to a draw, and 14% to an FC Juarez win.