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Cruz Azul - New York City FC

Leagues Cup August 10, 2026 01:30
Cruz Azul
vs
New York City FC
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.96%
Win
Cruz Azul
24.75%
Draw
23.29%
Win
New York City FC
2.75
Expected xG
1.18

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.57%)
1X2 Result
1 52%
X 25%
2 23%
Double Chance
1X 77%
X2 48%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cruz Azul a 51% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 23% for New York City FC. Expected goals are 2.7 for Cruz Azul and 1.2 for New York City FC (total 3.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.57% probability.

Season Stats

Cruz Azul
7W 6D 2L
New York City FC
6W 3D 6L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.7
1.3
Conceded
1.4
5.8
Shots OT
4.7
5.8
Corners
2.8
54%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
53%
80%
BTTS
60%
13%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Cruz Azul
4W 5D 1L · at home
New York City FC
5W 1D 4L · away
1.6
gls/g
1.5
0.9
Conceded
1.2
40%
Win %
50%
90%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
20%
70%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Cruz Azul New York City FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% —
1 5.4% 6.4% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.4% 8.8% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.8% 8.0% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.7% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.6% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% —

Recent form

Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
New York City FC New York City FC
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 17%

Playing profile

Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
Attack
54
Defence
62
Form
65
New York City FC New York City FC
Attack
34
Defence
63
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cruz Azul vs New York City FC?
The model gives Cruz Azul a 51% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 23% for an New York City FC win.
How many goals are expected in Cruz Azul vs New York City FC?
Expected goals: Cruz Azul 2.7, New York City FC 1.2 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Cruz Azul vs New York City FC?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.57%.