Cruz Azul - Philadelphia Union
Leagues Cup
August 07, 2026 02:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.51%
Win
Cruz Azul
26.56%
Draw
27.94%
Win
Philadelphia Union
2.75
1.75
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.96%)
1X2 Result
1
46%
X
27%
2
28%
Double Chance
1X
72%
X2
55%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cruz Azul a 45% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Philadelphia Union. Expected goals are 2.7 for Cruz Azul and 1.7 for Philadelphia Union (total 4.5), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.96% probability.
Season Stats
7W
6D
2L
3W
5D
7L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.5
1.3
Conceded
1.9
5.8
Shots OT
4.9
5.8
Corners
5.6
54%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
73%
13%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
4W
5D
1L
· at home
1W
2D
7L
· away
1.6
gls/g
1.6
0.9
Conceded
2.5
40%
Win %
10%
90%
Win or Draw
30%
80%
O 1.5
90%
50%
O 2.5
70%
20%
O 3.5
40%
70%
BTTS
80%
30%
Clean Sht
0%
10%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Cruz Azul
Philadelphia Union →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Cruz Azul
Attack
54
Defence
62
Form
65
Philadelphia Union
Attack
52
Defence
63
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union?
The model gives Cruz Azul a 45% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 27% for an Philadelphia Union win.
How many goals are expected in Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union?
Expected goals: Cruz Azul 2.7, Philadelphia Union 1.7 (total 4.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.96%.