L. Romero
(ast. J. Marquez)
44'
C. Ebere
(ast. J. Paradela)
82'
28'
(ast. A. Herrera)
F. Monarrez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 41% win probability (draw 29%, Puebla 28%). The final result was Cruz Azul 2–1 Puebla. In 2 previous meetings, Cruz Azul have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Puebla.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
4
1.31
Actual xG
0.86
3
Saves
5
67%
Possession
33%
7
Corners
3
21
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
28'
ast. A. Herrera ·
F. Monarrez⚽
L. Romero
37'
⚽L. Romero
· ast. J. Marquez
44'
N. Ibanez
45'+2
56'
C. Baltazar
/
A. Herrera
56'
E. Mustre
/
L. Hernandez
N. Ibanez
/ A. Palavecino
58'
G. Piovi
/ W. Ditta
58'
L. Romero
/ A. Garcia
67'
G. Fernandez
/ O. Campos
67'
C. Rotondi
/ C. Ebere
68'
77'
A. Ramirez
/
A. Organista
78'
B. Garnica
/
K. Velasco
⚽C. Ebere
· ast. J. Paradela
82'
84'
A. Ramirez
87'
M. Tomas
/
S. Sanabria
90'+1
E. Mustre
90'+5
F. Monarrez
Pre-match prediction
41.78%
Cruz ←
29.7%
X
28.51%
Puebla
we assigned to the actual result (Cruz Azul)
41.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.94
1.31
-0.63
1.05
0.86
-0.19
Cruz Azul dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.86).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Kevin Mier
G
Kevin Mier
G
29
Carlos Rotondi
68'
D
Carlos Rotondi
68'
D
5
Jesús Orozco
D
Jesús Orozco
D
33
Gonzalo Piovi
58'
D
Gonzalo Piovi
58'
D
16
J. Márquez
1 👟
D
J. Márquez
1 👟
D
19
C. Rodríguez
M
C. Rodríguez
M
6
Erik Lira
M
Erik Lira
M
18
L. Romero
1 ⚽
67'
M
L. Romero
1 ⚽
67'
M
20
J. Paradela
1 👟
M
J. Paradela
1 👟
M
21
Gabriel Fernández
67'
F
Gabriel Fernández
67'
F
7
N. Ibáñez
58'
F
N. Ibáñez
58'
F
Bench
8
Agustín Palavecino
32'
M
Agustín Palavecino
32'
M
12
Alan Montes
D
Alan Montes
D
17
Amaury Garcia
23'
M
Amaury Garcia
23'
M
1
Andrés Gudiño
G
Andrés Gudiño
G
10
Andres Montaño
M
Andres Montaño
M
11
C. Ebere
1 ⚽
22'
F
C. Ebere
1 ⚽
22'
F
22
Jorge Rodarte Barragan
D
Jorge Rodarte Barragan
D
14
Juan Calero
F
Juan Calero
F
3
Omar Campos
23'
D
Omar Campos
23'
D
4
Willer Ditta
32'
D
Willer Ditta
32'
D
28
Daniel Gutierrez
G
Daniel Gutierrez
G
7
Fernando Monarrez
1 ⚽
D
Fernando Monarrez
1 ⚽
D
4
Juan Pablo Vargas
D
Juan Pablo Vargas
D
5
Facundo Almada
D
Facundo Almada
D
2
Angel Leyva
D
Angel Leyva
D
3
A. Herrera
1 👟
56'
M
A. Herrera
1 👟
56'
M
21
S. Sanabria
87'
M
S. Sanabria
87'
M
24
Alejandro Organista
77'
M
Alejandro Organista
77'
M
11
Emiliano Gómez
F
Emiliano Gómez
F
9
Luifer Hernández
56'
F
Luifer Hernández
56'
F
26
Kevin Velasco
78'
F
Kevin Velasco
78'
F
Bench
16
A. Ramírez
13'
M
A. Ramírez
13'
M
27
Brayan Garnica
12'
F
Brayan Garnica
12'
F
22
Carlos Baltazar
34'
M
Carlos Baltazar
34'
M
13
Eduardo Navarro
D
Eduardo Navarro
D
29
E. Mustre
34'
F
E. Mustre
34'
F
33
Jesús Rodríguez
G
Jesús Rodríguez
G
10
M. Tomás
10'
M
M. Tomás
10'
M
8
Omar Moreno
F
Omar Moreno
F
15
Óscar Villa
D
Óscar Villa
D
17
Raúl Castillo
M
Raúl Castillo
M
Best on the pitch
Fernando Monarrez
D · Puebla
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
J. Márquez
D · Cruz
7.60
1 👟
2 shots
· 52 pass
Emiliano Gómez
F · Puebla
7.30
· 20 pass
C. Ebere
F · Cruz
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
L. Romero
M · Cruz
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 35 pass
S. Sanabria
M · Puebla
7.20
1 shots
· 17 pass
Cruz Azul — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Mier | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Rotondi | D | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| Jesús Orozco | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Piovi | D | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 77 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Márquez | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 52 | 46% | 6 | — | — |
| C. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 79 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Erik Lira | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Romero | M | 67 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Paradela | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 48 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Fernández | F | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Ibáñez | F | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Agustín Palavecino | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Amaury Garcia | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| C. Ebere | F | 22 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Omar Campos | D | 23 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Willer Ditta | D | 32 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
Puebla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Gutierrez | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Fernando Monarrez | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Juan Pablo Vargas | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Almada | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Angel Leyva | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Herrera | M | 56 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Sanabria | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Alejandro Organista | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Emiliano Gómez | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Luifer Hernández | F | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Velasco | F | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ramírez | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Brayan Garnica | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Baltazar | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Mustre | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Tomás | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
The final score was Cruz Azul 2–1 Puebla.
What did the model predict before Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Cruz Azul win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Puebla win.