L. Romero
(ast. J. Marquez)
44'
C. Ebere
(ast. J. Paradela)
82'
28'
(ast. A. Herrera)
F. Monarrez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruz Azul a 41% win probability (draw 29%, Puebla 28%). The final result was Cruz Azul 2–1 Puebla. In 2 previous meetings, Cruz Azul have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Puebla.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
4
1.31
Actual xG
0.86
3
Saves
5
67%
Possession
33%
7
Corners
3
21
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
28'
ast. A. Herrera ·
F. Monarrez⚽
L. Romero
37'
⚽L. Romero
· ast. J. Marquez
44'
N. Ibanez
45'+2
56'
C. Baltazar
/
A. Herrera
56'
E. Mustre
/
L. Hernandez
N. Ibanez
/ A. Palavecino
58'
G. Piovi
/ W. Ditta
58'
L. Romero
/ A. Garcia
67'
G. Fernandez
/ O. Campos
67'
C. Rotondi
/ C. Ebere
68'
77'
A. Ramirez
/
A. Organista
78'
B. Garnica
/
K. Velasco
⚽C. Ebere
· ast. J. Paradela
82'
84'
A. Ramirez
87'
M. Tomas
/
S. Sanabria
90'+1
E. Mustre
90'+5
F. Monarrez
Pre-match prediction
41.78%
Cruz ←
29.7%
X
28.51%
Puebla
we assigned to the actual result (Cruz Azul)
41.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.94
1.31
-0.63
1.05
0.86
-0.19
Cruz Azul dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.86).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
K. Mier
G
K. Mier
G
29
C. Rotondi
68'
D
C. Rotondi
68'
D
5
J. Orozco
D
J. Orozco
D
33
G. Piovi
58'
D
G. Piovi
58'
D
16
J. Márquez
1 👟
D
J. Márquez
1 👟
D
19
C. Rodríguez
M
C. Rodríguez
M
6
É. Lira
M
É. Lira
M
18
L. Romero
1 ⚽
67'
M
L. Romero
1 ⚽
67'
M
20
J. Paradela
1 👟
M
J. Paradela
1 👟
M
21
G. Fernández
67'
F
G. Fernández
67'
F
7
N. Ibáñez
58'
F
N. Ibáñez
58'
F
Bench
17
A. García
23'
M
A. García
23'
M
1
A. Gudiño
G
A. Gudiño
G
10
A. Montaño
M
A. Montaño
M
12
A. Montes
D
A. Montes
D
8
A. Palavecino
32'
M
A. Palavecino
32'
M
11
C. Ebere
1 ⚽
22'
F
C. Ebere
1 ⚽
22'
F
14
J. Calero
F
J. Calero
F
22
J. Rodarte
D
J. Rodarte
D
3
O. Campos
23'
D
O. Campos
23'
D
4
W. Ditta
32'
D
W. Ditta
32'
D
28
R. Gutiérrez
G
R. Gutiérrez
G
7
F. Monárrez
1 ⚽
D
F. Monárrez
1 ⚽
D
4
J. Vargas
D
J. Vargas
D
5
F. Almada
D
F. Almada
D
2
Á. Leyva
D
Á. Leyva
D
3
A. Herrera
1 👟
56'
M
A. Herrera
1 👟
56'
M
21
S. Sanabria
87'
M
S. Sanabria
87'
M
24
A. Organista
77'
M
A. Organista
77'
M
11
E. Gómez
F
E. Gómez
F
9
L. Hernández
56'
F
L. Hernández
56'
F
26
K. Velasco
78'
F
K. Velasco
78'
F
Bench
16
A. Ramírez
13'
M
A. Ramírez
13'
M
27
B. Garnica
12'
F
B. Garnica
12'
F
22
C. Baltazar
34'
M
C. Baltazar
34'
M
13
Eduardo Navarro
D
Eduardo Navarro
D
29
E. Mustre
34'
F
E. Mustre
34'
F
33
J. Rodríguez
G
J. Rodríguez
G
10
M. Tomás
10'
M
M. Tomás
10'
M
8
O. Moreno
F
O. Moreno
F
15
Ó. Villa
D
Ó. Villa
D
17
Raúl Castillo
M
Raúl Castillo
M
Best on the pitch
F. Monárrez
D · Puebla
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
J. Márquez
D · Cruz
7.60
1 👟
2 shots
· 52 pass
E. Gómez
F · Puebla
7.30
· 20 pass
C. Ebere
F · Cruz
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
L. Romero
M · Cruz
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 35 pass
S. Sanabria
M · Puebla
7.20
1 shots
· 17 pass
Cruz Azul — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mier | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| C. Rotondi | D | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Orozco | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Piovi | D | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 77 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Márquez | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 52 | 46% | 6 | — | — |
| C. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 79 | 70% | — | — | — |
| É. Lira | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Romero | M | 67 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Paradela | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 48 | 39% | — | — | — |
| G. Fernández | F | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Ibáñez | F | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| A. García | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Palavecino | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Ebere | F | 22 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| O. Campos | D | 23 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| W. Ditta | D | 32 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
Puebla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Gutiérrez | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| F. Monárrez | D | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Vargas | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| F. Almada | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Á. Leyva | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Herrera | M | 56 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Sanabria | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Organista | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| E. Gómez | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Hernández | F | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| K. Velasco | F | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ramírez | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Garnica | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Baltazar | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Mustre | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Tomás | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
The final score was Cruz Azul 2–1 Puebla.
What did the model predict before Cruz Azul vs Puebla?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Cruz Azul win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Puebla win.